lee59 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Looks like sea breeze front setting up as I'm under blue sky and just to my North is dark. No rain here, at least not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Beautiful day out here. Temps upper 70's and low 80's and bright sunshine with a sea breeze. Cloudy this morning, but sunny all day with towering cumulonimbus clouds to my north. Almost a typical summertime day minus a couple degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Islip right at 10th coolest June so far. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of JunClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1982 64.5 0 2 1972 64.6 0 3 1979 64.8 0 - 1968 64.8 0 4 1985 65.4 0 5 2009 65.5 0 - 1965 65.5 0 6 2003 66.1 0 7 1992 66.3 0 - 1977 66.3 0 8 1964 66.5 0 9 1974 66.7 0 10 2023 66.8 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Islip right at 10th coolest June so far. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of JunClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 1982 64.5 0 2 1972 64.6 0 3 1979 64.8 0 - 1968 64.8 0 4 1985 65.4 0 5 2009 65.5 0 - 1965 65.5 0 6 2003 66.1 0 7 1992 66.3 0 - 1977 66.3 0 8 1964 66.5 0 9 1974 66.7 0 10 2023 66.8 3 Several of those years stick out as El Niño years. Is that majority ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 12 minutes ago, bkviking said: Several of those years stick out as El Niño years. Is that majority ? Nearly all were near the beginning or the end of El Niños. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 A few more solid downpours with this cluster. Probably closing in on 0.75 of rain today. Decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 6 hours ago, TriPol said: Any chance of lowering that dew point below 60? It's moderately uncomfortable without the AC. enjoy the brief window tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 44 minutes ago, forkyfork said: enjoy the brief window tomorrow When’s our next chance at flash flooding? The last few days have been interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 28, 2023 Author Share Posted June 28, 2023 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: When’s our next chance at flash flooding? The last few days have been interesting Only about a half inch thru the 4th on the gfs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 monday looks mildly interesting 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Finally some showers/storms today east of the city on the sea breeze front. One did clip my backyard earlier but the best has been just south/east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 58 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Only about a half inch thru the 4th on the gfs Sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Raining... again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 41 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Finally some showers/storms today east of the city on the sea breeze front. One did clip my backyard earlier but the best has been just south/east. Looks like my place in lynbrook did well. Where I grew up in south wantagh and is still my dads house has managed to miss every single rain event in the last week. I remember as a kid old (original buyers) saying it never rains in south wantagh in the summer. Only north of the southern state. Looks like that’s dead on accurate. Based on current water temps being close to what they were in the 60-80s during the summer. Moving forward Long Island as done well, including south wantagh once the water cracks 75. We had a record flash flood event about 10 years ago in august were we received about 6 inches in 2 hours. (Not the islip event) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted June 28, 2023 Share Posted June 28, 2023 Good soaking in Brightwaters finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Finally a good rain shower, .39 of an inch. Still raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Picked up 0.23” from that cell that moved through, 0.65” since Sunday night here, 3.55” on the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 59 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Looks like my place in lynbrook did well. Where I grew up in south wantagh and is still my dads house has managed to miss every single rain event in the last week. I remember as a kid old (original buyers) saying it never rains in south wantagh in the summer. Only north of the southern state. Looks like that’s dead on accurate. Based on current water temps being close to what they were in the 60-80s during the summer. Moving forward Long Island as done well, including south wantagh once the water cracks 75. We had a record flash flood event about 10 years ago in august were we received about 6 inches in 2 hours. (Not the islip event) We (some of us) lucked out with the northerly flow intersecting with the daily sea breeze and lots of moisture available. Unfortunately looks like we’re going into a dry pattern so we might be waiting a while for anything more widespread. Still a long way from any kind of drought buster and a month from now, east of the city might be in severe drought especially if we finally get a hot pattern in the 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: enjoy the brief window tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through the remainder of June. However, temperatures will gradually warm toward seasonal levels during the first week of July. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around June 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +1.41 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.842 today. On June 26 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.342 (RMM). The June 25-adjusted amplitude was 1.508 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.0° (2.0° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 6/28 EWR: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 LGA: 84 JFK: 83 ACY: 83 New Brnswck: 82 NYC: 82 ISP: 81 TTN: 80 PHL: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 https://i.imgur.com/FaR0e7z.png. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 83 here today and ended up with .46 inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Definitely feels better so far today than it has been the last week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 The last 2 days of June are averaging 78degs.(68/88) or +3. Month to date is 69.6[-2.2]. June should end at 70.2[-1.6]. Reached 80 here yesterday at 7pm. Today: 81-86, wind w., variable clouds, 69 tomorrow AM. 68*(76%RH) here at 7am{was 66 at 5am}. 71* at 9am. 75* at 11am. 81* at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 It’s back… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 No real heat in sight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: It’s back… Yep, stepped outside and smelled the smoke this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 71 / 60 and a brief reprieve from the higher humidity and storms the next 40 hours or so. Sunny/ worst of the smoke is south of the area and clearly seen over SNJ into the DelMarVa. Low / mid 0s today and a dry out day. Much of the same Fri (6/30) to close the month. Sunny mid 80s perhaps some upper 80s as warmer surge comes in from the TX/Southern Plains ridge. Holiday weekend. Warmer / humid and storm chances return Sat (7/1) - Tue (July Fourth AM). A surge of very humid and hot airmass over the region with 850 temperatures forecast >18c will heat things up when its sunny and fuel evening storm Sat and Sun (7/2). Mon (7/3) looks most widespread in the evening and overnight. July fourth will continue warm and humid with scattered storms around still. Beyond there warmer drier 7/5 - 7/8 period before next trough into the northeast. Overall warm and still storm chances could popup. 7/9 and Way beyond The W. Atl Ridge coming west would allow a period of much warmer to get into the region. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Rainfall maps over the last week. Quick glance spots an 8" over Morris County and 9"+ near Easton, PA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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