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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly cloudy and hot. Showers and thunderstorms are possible. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 93°

Newark: 98°

Philadelphia: 96°

It will turn cooler starting tomorrow.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.2°; 15-Year: 84.5°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.6°; 15-Year: 86.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 86.6°; 15-Year: 86.9°

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3 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Morning thoughts…

It will be partly cloudy and hot. Showers and thunderstorms are possible. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 93°

Newark: 98°

Philadelphia: 96°

It will turn cooler starting tomorrow.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.2°; 15-Year: 84.5°

Newark: 30-Year: 85.6°; 15-Year: 86.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 86.6°; 15-Year: 86.9°

Wow, much hotter than NWS

image.thumb.png.dcdb007769a171849e6061ef09892a8a.png

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The next 8 days are averaging  80degs.(72/88) or +3.

Reached 91 here late yesterday.

Today: 92-97, wind s. to sw., p. sunny, TS late/overnight?

The 16th to the 21st look unsettled with normal T's.     There are leftover upper level lows above the Great Lakes for a while.     New ridging in by the 22nd?

***Big HW going on in 2001 on this day.    103 NYC.    105 Newark.***    Then 9/11 a month later.

HRRR has rain north of City at 3pm, central LI about 5pm, and a miss for NYC out to midnight.

79*(96%RH) here at 7am.     82*(85%RH) at 9am.        87*(71%RH) at Noon.        90*(62%RH) at 1pm---feels like 101*.       94*(50%RH) at 3pm---feels like 103*.        95*(46%RH) at 3:30pm.        97*(47%RH)---feels like 107*{29,100MW IN NYS......STATUS>>>NORMAL}at 4pm.     98*(42%RH){106*} at 4:15pm.       99*(42%RH) at 4:45pm---feels like 109*        90* at 7pm.          85* at 11pm.

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7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The usual warm spots will reach 95°-100° today before the scattered thunderstorms arrive this afternoon.


08B14989-06BC-4B8C-A9DC-EE57352A83E6.thumb.png.2ab45e9a1afa9d45fc0f7a4b05e7001d.png

1632DAD3-5EC2-48F7-AD19-054E7BE613BB.thumb.png.3a06ee29ab044c52a57c895686940140.png

Might actually be a hotter day here near the coast than the last few because of a more westerly component to the wind. Hopefully this isn’t yet another dry frontal passage. Be thrilled if you see anything more than a brief shower that wets the ground.

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15 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Might actually be a hotter day here near the coast than the last few because of a more westerly component to the wind. Hopefully this isn’t yet another dry frontal passage. Be thrilled if you see anything more than a brief shower that wets the ground.

The higher resolution HRRR has a high of 99° north of the LIE today ahead of the sea breeze front. 

2118DAB1-8F3C-4F5E-A873-4B618C94B47E.thumb.png.7cab3c7dc00c3e090f277c568e3dc132.png

 

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13 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The higher resolution HRRR has a high of 99° north of the LIE today ahead of the sea breeze front. 

2118DAB1-8F3C-4F5E-A873-4B618C94B47E.thumb.png.7cab3c7dc00c3e090f277c568e3dc132.png

 

Blechhh. But it’ll feel just as disgusting if it’s 95/70 vs the 90/75 it’s been around here. 

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88 / 73 off with a real head start today.  More mid/upper 90s and potential century mark in the warm spots.  More pop up storms ahead of the main front that comes Wed (8/10).  Depending on the timing of the front and any widespread storms, Wed could continue the heat for some or many.  Beyond that it does look to clear Thu (8/11) by the afternoon and perhaps if its sunny enough, one sneaky 90 degree day before it cools back to regular mid august temps.  The weekend looks dry/ and gorgeous 80s for most a trough builds in.  Still think we need to watch a ULL closing off or cutting off but perhaps its uneventful and / or north of the area.

Beyond that caught between two ridges Rockies / Plains ridge refires along the WC as the Western Atlantic Ridge builds west by Wed (8/17).  Look for more southerly, perhaps humid onshore flow to develop then.  Warm / humid and what seems like more Miami style pop storms that could deliver some drenchers.  Perhaps some lows or tropical origin moisture enhances the storms.

 

Way beyond looks overall warm - hot to close the last 10 days of the month.

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