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August 2022


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88/72 here.  Quite humid and warm.  Clouds / sun and a real oppressive day ahead.  Still under the influence of the W. Atlantic ridge the next 36 hours with more heat, humidity and Florida style pop storms that could be drenchers.  Front timing looks Wed PM (8/10) and depending on clouds and storms arrival another shot at 90 with a high start like today with warm night time minimums.   

Thu (8/11) still kind of dealing with lingering front and clouds and could be a sub 80 day but more likely a sub 90 day.  Stuck between the two ridges as trough comes in Fri (8/12) and through the coming weekend Sat (8/13) and Sun *8/14.  Looks near / below normal and a break in the heat.   Rockies / Plain Ridge builds strong heat west of the GL.  See if there is any cut off ULL into the northeast in this time.

Start seeing the W/ Atlatnic Ridge build back by the middle of next week Tue (8/16) but its likely more humid / onshore flow before some of the heat from the Plains / Rockies moves east.    Back to an overall warmer pattern the second / last 10 days of the month, tropics to be watched with the W. AR near by to steer things up.

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1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

today's record low at central park is 54 degrees set in 1903. #summersofyesteryear

Think we got down into the 50s in 2014 around this same time of year but that was a big exception to the other years.

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1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

today's record low at central park is 54 degrees set in 1903. #summersofyesteryear

What an incredible summer of yesteryear in New York State. I see people say these temperatures are unattainable due to urban heat island, but when you look at the actual data, you see that it was unimaginably cold upstate as well with numerous locations in the 30s - even several freezing temperatures.

image.png.e7460b512629ba307cd6802b0e790e53.png

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From looking at the radar it looks like there is a leftover outflow boundary roughly along Rte 202 and then along I-287 to the north and northeast of Raritan NJ.  Yesterday evening there was activity that set up just to my north on the lee side of Blue Mountain in eastern PA.  Let’s see where things set up today.  The below photo is of last night’s activity.

33A58ACF-D209-4D50-841D-0201A60A0312.jpeg

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24 minutes ago, doncat said:

Big heatwave breaking without thunderstorms is kinda like a cold wave without the snow.

You can almost smell the drencher coming - it's inevitable.

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2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

looks like that trough will finally give us our rubber band snapping deluge

image.thumb.png.e60dcf9898a0eb65c3044a1267ef59c0.png

Maybe in the meantime we can all aim our A/C’s and fans upward so this disgusting humidity can condense and form T-storms? It’s always a matter of time here before the drenching comes but the sooner the better lol. 

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3 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

What an incredible summer of yesteryear in New York State. I see people say these temperatures are unattainable due to urban heat island, but when you look at the actual data, you see that it was unimaginably cold upstate as well with numerous locations in the 30s - even several freezing temperatures.

The August monthly minimum has been rising faster at Old Forge in the Adirondacks and Poughkeepsie than NYC since 1950. Old Forge would occasionally drop to 32°or colder before the end of August. That hasn’t happened since the 1980s. Poughkeepsie hasn’t dropped into the 30s in August since then. Same goes for NYC not drooping below 55° in August.

 

 

5C64008E-011D-4D92-A0C4-DCBE9E86530B.thumb.jpeg.e8baf53a0ad9448851318c5bb727ea99.jpeg


 

41C2FD5E-F126-48D3-B1A5-BA16EE6DAC09.thumb.jpeg.981de33ae1e1894d22007e48b29fafc4.jpeg
 

B69BA261-E5A2-4A2A-ABBD-EEDFFCA167CF.thumb.jpeg.be5bb4a102372c54a20881c032a3e3ab.jpeg

 

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34 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Maybe in the meantime we can all aim our A/C’s and fans upward so this disgusting humidity can condense and form T-storms? It’s always a matter of time here before the drenching comes but the sooner the better lol. 

Given how dry its been vs our new much wetter climate I shudder to think what it'll mean when the rubber band snaps 

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