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July 2022


bluewave
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45 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Pending on clouds / storms arrival, outside chance for more strong heat.   Storms in PA now moving closer to NJ

Take a look at the various CAMS from 00z/24 available to forecasters this afternoon. My model based guess: coming  across NJ and grazing NYC later this eve.  Some recent GFS cycles have had this event into NNJ. 12z/24 SPC HREF seems lackluster compared to reality.

 https://cams.nssl.noaa.gov/?model=wrf_nssl_3km-v3&product=qpf_006h&sector=spc_ne&postage_stamp=false

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

At the Mets game and LgA is now 94 degrees. No wind here. Absolutely unbearable 

Met offense as dry as Central NJ these days.

 

9PM Round up:

LGA: 94
EWR: 93
TEB: 92
New Brnswck: 90
NYC: 89

 

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Just 92* here today, 1500' from the ocean.

79*(83%RH) here at 7am.        83*(59%RH) at 9am.      85* at Noon.       89* at 1pm.      90* at 1:30pm.       91* at 2pm.     Same T collapse as yesterday, plus high thin clouds have appeared......86* at 3pm.         85*(75%RH) at 4pm---feels like 95*.        Back to 90* at 7pm.       New high for the day of 92*  near 7:30pm.      86*(72%RH) at 11pm---feels like 96*.

SREF is 0.75" for tomorrow, up from 0.60" on this morning's run.

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10 hours ago, wdrag said:

Take a look at the various CAMS from 00z/24 available to forecasters this afternoon. My model based guess: coming  across NJ and grazing NYC later this eve.  Some recent GFS cycles have had this event into NNJ. 12z/24 SPC HREF seems lackluster compared to reality.

 https://cams.nssl.noaa.gov/?model=wrf_nssl_3km-v3&product=qpf_006h&sector=spc_ne&postage_stamp=false

CAMS ended up too aggressive to the south edge except NSSL WRF, HRRR,  SPC HREF.

0.18 in Wantage. Looks like svr occurred just along the western border of NJ.

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Sunday had the most 100° readings across the area in a long time. There were at least 11 stations that made it to 100°. Newark, Berkeley Twp, and Somerset County reached 102°. So the addition of these new micronet stations shows that Newark really isn’t that unique. People need to look at more than just the NWS hourly round up of major airports to get a full picture of the climate in our area.  So posters on twitter should feel free to join the fuller discussion in this thread rather than issue random tweets that don’t do reflect the actual conditions in our area.
 

NYC micronet

Tremont / Van Nest 101
Corona 101
Fresh Kills 100


OKX forecast zones

Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 102
NJ HARRISON COOP 101


Philly forecast zones


 

Data for July 24, 2022 through July 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 101
NJ SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 101
NJ FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 101


 

Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102
Berkeley Twp. NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 102
Toms River
NJ 2022-07-24 Mesonet 100

 

 

 

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The last 7 days of July are averaging  83degs.(75/92) or +5.

Month to date is  79.8[+2.3].        July should end at  80.5[+3.0].

Reached 92 here late yesterday.

Today: 85-89, wind w., wind s., breezy, cloudy, rain late.

81*(85%RH) here at 7am.     83*(78%RH) at 9am.        86* at Noon.       Disappointing TS ^^^ around 3pm.....was  88*  but down to 79* at 3:30pm.

Got up to 90* at 5:15pm.

^^^Looked like this:

1658777040-rAgT6PCpFdo.png

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The continuing marine heatwave in the NW Atlantic has helped Nantucket reach the warmest July on record so far. This part of the Atlantic is one of the fastest warming in the world. So it’s no surprise how many 70°+ Julys Nantucket has had in recent years. 
 

Time Series Summary for NANTUCKET MEMORIAL AP, MA - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 72.8 7
2 2013 72.3 0
3 2010 72.2 0
4 1975 72.0 0
5 2021 71.6 1
- 1952 71.6 0
6 2012 71.2 0
- 1999 71.2 1
7 1949 71.0 0
8 1979 70.6 0
- 1971 70.6 0
9 2020 70.5 0
- 2019 70.5 0
- 2008 70.5 0
10 2015 70.2 0
11 2016 70.0 0
- 1980 70.0 0


6E13345F-4E99-4A18-8936-793E1549A4BC.thumb.jpeg.951d533f38d8d67ca2c2135c20f1471b.jpeg

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Morning thoughts…

It will be variably cloudy and hot. Thunderstorms are likely as a cold front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms could be severe. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 96°

Philadelphia: 93°

Tomorrow and Wednesday will be cooler.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.9°; 15-Year: 88.3°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.8°; 15-Year: 88.8°

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