Typhoon Tip Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Have you started disc golf yet this season? My son is addicted to it now... ...heh, "season" is a thing of the past. We're all mid aged now ... kind of opportunistic when we can go. We did one back in January on one of those milder days with no snow on the ground, most realistically out of desperation to get an out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 This will be 2-4” in this area and half of it will be sleet . I know how these work here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What other storm did you have besides on Wednesday? There was 1-2" in the interior on 3/3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: There was 1-2" in the interior on 3/3 I don't even remember that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Definitely more progressive and later phasing on the actual low but RGEM wasn’t bad. The Greens up here should pack in some snow tomorrow morning with the mid-level Fronto. What’s going to happen is what normally happens… the NGreens will go longer duration while Whites will get it in shorter duration. By Sunday morning I bet it’s fairly similar for the mountains all across the North. Agreed. You guys always catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Oh I looked back. I remember that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I honestly have noticed like zero change in the expected snowfall output with this.....its always looked like potential for a backside inch or two, regardless of how cold the system looks. Out east I’d definitely agree…but WOR things have trended much colder and snowier. How it all pans out…we’ll find out tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is counting sleet I think though. But some hefty rates in western CT, western MA, into NH. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What other storm did you have besides on Wednesday? I had some accumulating snow on the 27thvthe first and 3rd. if we go back to the big storm on the 25th it definitely ends up being my snowiest period of the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Piv and COD have those darker reflectivities in NE CT at that time as sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 this is looking a little more interesting here, it feels great outside now, honestly, unless it's a major snowfall, I really don't want it, just prolongs the mud, but hey we stat pad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Piv and COD have those darker reflectivities in NE CT at that time as sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Piv and COD have those darker reflectivities in NE CT at that time as sleet. Pivotal is probably too wide with the sleet ptype looking at the soundings. Like it's showing sleet where the entire column is colder than -2C but because it's not saturated in the DGZ, it shows up as sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Don't see any sleet on there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pivotal is probably too wide with the sleet ptype looking at the soundings. Like it's showing sleet where the entire column is colder than -2C but because it's not saturated in the DGZ, it shows up as sleet. I mean it's not cold enough for nucleation unless you count a thin cold layer around 850. Obviously that can happen, but I wouldn't trust the model to be correct with it in this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Don't see any sleet on there. It's also the NAM...not the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 11, 2022 Author Share Posted March 11, 2022 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There was 1-2" in the interior on 3/3 I actually had 2 minor "events" back to back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I mean it's not cold enough for nucleation unless you count a thin cold layer around 850. Obviously that can happen, but I wouldn't trust the model to be correct with it in this situation. Around here I only really want to see about -5C or so which the top of the saturated layer achieves (at least on the western half of the sleet band)....there's so much salt nuclei in SNE sticking out into the ocean that the baseline numbers get skewed warmer for ice crystals. That said, my guess is the HRRR is too cold anyway, so it's prob a moot point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 2 hours ago, LSC97wxnut said: I was standing in line outside the Chestnut Hill Wegmans that morning and saying as if everything couldn't get any worse, it's now trying to snow in May... Holy crap-I was in the same line that day! I’m trying to forget the times of waiting outside to be “admitted” to shop... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Definitely moot. Do salt nuclei sufficiently mix into the midlevels? Just trying to imagine this hypothetical scenario with NW flow below 825 and the southerly flow above that. The low level nuclei in that 850 cold zone would be advecting the salt out of the low levels, but you could obviously still be advecting some in from the midlevel warm conveyor. But yeah, I usually see those ZR situations in a column below freezing out in the Plains and it's usually more drastic than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: lol no 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 NAM thermals for the win. Could be a nice last minute surprise west of 495/84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: It's also the NAM...not the HRRR I didn't see the HRRR posted anywhere, Looks like the comments were on the 3K Nam that steve posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This will be 2-4” in this area and half of it will be sleet . I know how these work here I think for this event, you'd be more apt to have more sleet over by you, with more snow over by me west of Hartford. But it has been ticking East.. so you never know what happens by tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gives me nearly half a foot lol (with ratios probably less). Im not really expecting any accumulation here, didn’t see the trends I was looking for for my area in the upper levels. It would be nice if that’s right though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 decent chance for Worcester to catch up, Boston’s probably getting nothing for the weekend storm while Worcester has a shot at a few inches on some of the snowier guidance. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 considering this winters event totals for this area, one would expect 4.5-5", seems to be a popular amount this season... that said I'm not expecting any more than a couple slushy inches, I think a lot of precipitation is wasted before cold push, be happy to bust high, but I think max 2.5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 Euro is pretty weak on the whole with moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 11, 2022 Share Posted March 11, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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