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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...


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34 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM ticked east....kind of like RGEM did.

Monster hit for eastern areas seems locked in...but the western areas is where this matters.

I really, really think that one of them is initialized from the other...probably the rgem is initialized from the ggem if I had to guess. That or they use the same core or something.

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37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most folks that have been into storms and storm tracking for many years know not to factor the gfs into any big east coast snowstorm. If you simply don’t use it until the day of the storm , you will have a far better forecast and idea of final outcome. If you used it for this storm, you’d have forecast little to no snow for everyone 

I’m with you on this, I don’t use the gfs at all. Gfs = good for shit.

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7 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I really, really think that one of them is initialized from the other...probably the rgem is initialized from the ggem if I had to guess. That or they use the same core or something.

I think your right, So there is the answer to why it sucks.

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2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

NAM is suddenly all alone.

Better hope Euro doesn't go east and look like the GFS.

The performance from the GGEM and UKMET have been putrid for this event. Literally shifting every six hours from MECS to mostly whiff.

To be specific. No one east of ORH should really be worrying here. 

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Cmc move was much more than a tickle it was a sizable 75 mile or so Move ESE 

i didn’t look at ukmet but I’m guessing the same 

It’s a very different outcome if this doesn’t have the hook West or any type of slow down.

you go from major regional storm to nice storm for folks along the coast. 

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4 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

NAM is suddenly all alone.

Better hope Euro doesn't go east and look like the GFS.

The performance from the GGEM and UKMET have been putrid for this event. Literally shifting every six hours from MECS to mostly whiff.

GEM wasn't a huge shift, its just matters so much to us...

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