Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

Of course the BOX snowfall forecast is the upside potential, so I don't really see that changing any for the who are starting to dream. Or at least it shouldn't.

The Euro is just lending more credence to the BOX discussion.

[Hoth]

Pretty nice baroclinic leaf showing up on satellite.

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Of course the BOX snowfall forecast is the upside potential, so I don't really see that changing any for the who are starting to dream. Or at least it shouldn't.

Yeah not sure 24-30" here is gonna verify.  18-24" is my call.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Have you actually seen any of these new runs, this is based on the new runs lol don't worry you are still fine for your 6-12" + .. It's more from @CT Rain west to Litchfield county that is in trouble for snow totals.

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

[Hoth]

6 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

It just feels like the mother of all NAM final reversals lies just over the event horizon. 

Congrats Detroit?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

He’s raising legit concerns out here. Doesn’t mean it will happen but Jan15 robbed us to give EOR more. 

[dendrite]

Really wish the euro didn’t flinch at 12z…

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

yes on one off hour euro run you are at 13" plus ratios

[radarman]

 

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dude .. I had one of those tonight . We Treehouse 

We picked up a 4 pack of The Reverend today, not by coincidence

[OceanStWx]

4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

The Euro is just lending more credence to the BOX discussion.

 

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah not sure 24-30" here is gonna verify.  18-24" is my call.

Yeah I'm more of the mind that you take the low number on the BOX ranges and that's a good expectation right now.

[DavisStraight]

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Yeah not sure 24-30" here is gonna verify.  18-24" is my call.

If you get 24" you both verify

[Chrisrotary12]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Harvey ftw

Or you know the 8 of us who kept telling you to stay the course.

[JC-CT]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

 

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

yes on one off hour euro run you are at 13" plus ratios

 

Kevin likes to pretend he knows what I think, so I'll throw out my forecast for him. I like BOX's 12-18 for him.

[Chrisrotary12]

32 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Ya the Only option is me Spending money vs. My SW flights which are free, and get into either Newark at 8:30am or JFK at 7:30.  And THOSE would get canceled.  I'm F'd.  

 

I Honestly want to jump off a bridge.  ZERO Sarcasm.   

Please don’t do that. Rhode Island is a snow hole. 6-12” if its lucky.

[40/70 Benchmark]

47 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Nah. BOX should be 5 ppd if they have 25:1 in their grids right now.

I would entertain 20:1, but only once I have complete confidence based on mesoanalysis where that band is setting up.

I agree....I laughed when I read that 

[Roger Smith]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

I have put your location in my supercomputer and your guaranteed snowfall amount is (whirr, click, sound of exploding vacuum tubes)

 

21.4 inches

Your snow will terminate at 0739 a.m. EST Sunday.

You will measure in absolute disbelief at the accuracy of this prediction.

Or not.

[Typhoon Tip]

You can see this thing explosively developing already …wow   

judging by radar it’s west of guidance? But I’m not really sure I didn’t actually measure this point to point over this early part of the game. I just get that feeling looking at these echoes moving parallel to the Va Caped not northeast like the GFS … Probably should move over to the Now cast thread

Also the euro came west at 18 Z pretty much gives us a beast blizzard to Boston musta been posted. talking big wind gusts and 20 to 28 inches of snow… It’s hard to say down by NYC maybe half that much. 

Like I said I wasn’t buying any of those runs earlier in the day I don’t know if that means it’s going to reconsolidate into the love of our lives and all that jazz but I don’t think it’s Diana Roma possibility that those were red herring model runs. We’ll see. Could’ve been a uniquely prone error for effective sensitivity and all the models were guilty of it but it’s really really difficult to actually believe that, I admit that

[IowaStorm05]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

6-12? It’s 18+ here 

We have climbed out of the lull from this morning right? I was horrified to start work when the 12z euro came out and put my phone away on a low note.

[JC-CT]

Just now, Roger Smith said:

I have put your location in my supercomputer and your guaranteed snowfall amount is (whirr, click, sound of exploding vacuum tubes)

 

21.4 inches

Your snow will terminate at 0739 a.m. EST Sunday.

You will measure in absolute disbelief at the accuracy of this prediction.

Or not.

He will measure 21.5 just to bust high

[ineedsnow]

12z and 18z

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You can see this thing explosively developing already …wow   

judging by radar it’s west of guidance? But I’m not really sure I didn’t actually measure this point the point of this early part of the game I just get that feeling looking at these echoes moving parallel to the Va Caped not north east like the GFS  Probably should move over to the Now cast thread

Also the euro came west at 18 Z pretty much gives us a beast blizzard to Boston musta been posted. talking big wind gusts and 20 to 28 inches of snow… It’s hard to say down by NYC maybe half that much. 

Like I said I wasn’t buying any of those runs earlier in the day I don’t know if that means it’s going to reconsolidate into the love of our lives and all that jazz but I don’t think it’s Diana Roma possibility that those were red herring model runs. We’ll see. Could’ve been a uniquely prone error for effective sensitivity and all the models were guilty of it but it’s really really difficult to actually believe that, I admit that

I like drunk Tip

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

 

 

Kevin likes to pretend he knows what I think, so I'll throw out my forecast for him. I like BOX's 12-18 for him.

He's on my 12-20" line pretty much.. we just put him on the 6-12" to get him fired up lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Did u have secret access to the EURO. Spot on.

Haha No, I was regretting not awaiting the 18z euro before issuing, and breathed a big MOFO sign of relief when it rolled out haha

[Roger Smith]

Just now, JC-CT said:

He will measure 21.5 just to bust high

I know. But I will edit this to 21.5 as soon as he posts that report.

By the way, I have entered your location (etc etc) and it's 17.8 inches. 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

yes on one off hour euro run you are at 13" plus ratios

Oh I see. Your’re just ripping and reading model output. Ok 

[Chrisrotary12]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I agree....I laughed when I read that 

When it was posted here I thought it was a joke.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

yes on one off hour euro run you are at 13" plus ratios

Qpf looks underdone though in his area.

[Baroclinic Zone]

00z HRRR continues to improve

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, radarman said:

 

We picked up a 4 pack of The Reverend today, not by coincidence

Lol. I’m not a porter guy. But I’d hit that. I was there on Monday but passed on getting that one

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

I have put your location in my supercomputer and your guaranteed snowfall amount is (whirr, click, sound of exploding vacuum tubes)

 

21.4 inches

Your snow will terminate at 0739 a.m. EST Sunday.

You will measure in absolute disbelief at the accuracy of this prediction.

Or not.

I just called to say .. I love you