Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[ORH_wxman]

The key was that curling that started to happen around 42h and it got rid of the dual low that 12z had....if you recall, 12z looked like it was going to be more insane than 06z at first, but then ended up a little less because of the dual low. This run shed that idea pretty quickly.

 

These small nuances are going to wreak havoc on the final sensible wx outcomes....

[CT Rain]

The 18z NAM 3km is a disaster. Way east.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

This band may end up sitting and pivoting. If that happens...oh my lord. oh lord

HVN to Drunk to Ray crushed. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

18z yesterday… 18z today 

 

From Debbie’s to drinkers 

Hate to see it.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

I'm not sure I could draw it up any better in a textbook. Naked toboggan runs through the neighborhood here. 

That is one heck of an unstable layer. You may have to issue SVR's with heavy snow 

[Henry's Weather]

Just now, CT Rain said:

The 18z NAM 3km is a disaster. Way east.

reality check.... thank you

[CoastalWx]

That probably is a Kev-ORH-RAY -BOS-RI jack in that oval I made. Give or take 15 miles from that.

[Go Kart Mozart]

This is in the preliminary round....is there enough saturation here for snow to reach the ground?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

HVN to Drunk to Ray crushed. 

The NAM seems to be locking in 

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said:

I've never weenied like this before

Just swinging in the air

[SouthCoastMA]

Someone going to get it good, but well NW of me. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Interesting that wxbell is about 10" lower on the max even though they are both using supposedly the same method, kuchera

How about some Cobb

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

I'm a rear guy 

 

2 minutes ago, Greg said:

Same here.

I guess you guys wouldn't be a great match for each other

[CoastalWx]

LOL 3K NAM. WTF.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Trimming off the w side and pumping up the e side has begun.

[mreaves]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Look in your contacts for “Mommy”

Probably 8-10 versions of that in his phone

[JC-CT]

WOOO NAAAAAM

(don't look at the 3k)

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

LOL 3K NAM. WTF.

damn you ninja

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The dual band look comes back. This is a pounding for Connecticut 

I'm ground zero there.

[mostman]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO has the death band in the same EXACT spot as JUNO

I’ll take that. 

[Henry's Weather]

NAM drops the H5 from a 522 closed contour to a 510 closed contour in... 6 hours. What. How?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

The way this winter has gone , I’m sure this will break well for us ....

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

 

I guess you guys wouldn't be a great match for each other

We could just rub bums

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

The 12k is pretty nice… but looks like we’d get pretty close To flirting with subsistence or a dry slot here if that happened 

[Ginx snewx]

Double EE weekend rule

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Oh boy 

it's the NAM of NAMs

[ORH_wxman]

Best run for the queens yet

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL 3K NAM. WTF.

Looks like the GFS

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Look at 54!
 

 

 

Looks like this 'warm secludes' just east of the Cape ...not an uncommon attribute for upper tier bombogenesis cyclones.

[CoastalWx]

Interesting all the mesos are meh. 3K NAM, ARW, etc.