Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[CoastalWx]

EPS seems a little west of 6z. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Maybe it was. It was a surreal scene though. It looked like it went 32.5F for an hour before temps crashed and they got bombed. I wish Jimmy was here, he probably had pics under his mattress for an occasional self massage. 

There was also a lot of "freezing sea spray" mixed in down there because of the winds.

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Who else lost all focus at work?  Get me to 4pm and then 1pm tomorrow. 

im off until Sunday night 

[forkyfork]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

EPS seems a little west of 6z. 

it's still a dart throw. lol

[dan11295]

People gotta stop smoking the Kuchie. Those type of ratios aren't usually seen outside of deform bands. Plus winds near the coast especially will knock down ratios. The most important thing, models like GFS notwithstanding (which is trending W) in the upper levels are trending in the right direction. This was evident earlier when the actual upper air observations were showing generally more favorable setup then some of the models.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

There was also a lot of "freezing sea spray" mixed in down there because of the winds.

Ah yea, that would explain it. It looked like a pic from the coast of Newfoundland. 

[OrangeCTWX]

If forkys image is right then there are some reallyyy tucked in members there. Damn! 

[WeatherWilly]

Here comes the GFS again to pee on our snowflakes. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

A few EPS member throw WSNE a hail mary, full of weenies...

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I would pay to see the 51 on Kuchie.  I imagine Ray's Narcan is sick. Very cold with excellent omega 

Interesting that wxbell is about 10" lower on the max even though they are both using supposedly the same method, kuchera

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, WeatherWilly said:

Here comes the GFS again to pee on our snowflakes. 

Not until 5pm or so....and it will eventually cave. It always does in the big dogs even if it has to be dragged kicking and screaming 24 hours before the event starts.

[CT Rain]

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

it's still a dart throw. lol

Looks like more along track spread more than anything else.

[forkyfork]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Looks like more along track spread more than anything else.

still a massive difference for us on the edge

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not until 5pm or so....and it will eventually cave. It always does in the big dogs even if it has to be dragged kicking and screaming 24 hours before the event starts.

I had said tomorrow it would but it might even at 0z tonight cave, But its going too.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS seems a little west of 6z. 

Was 12z OP  on the western edge of ensemble positions 

not sure what hour forky posted for EPS but would like to see 6-12 hours later 

[SouthCoastMA]

Not sure who will get this reference, but KUCHERA is the snowfall map equivalent of 'Jet' from the Fallout games. 

Good for a quick high and burst of energy, but only leads to disappointment after it wears off.

[DomNH]

14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

EURO has the death band in the same EXACT spot as JUNO

Crushed.

[Rd9108]

Man I'm jealous of you guys. We've only seen two storms in the past 75 years that had blizzard conditions and I was either not born or too young to remember them. Very difficult to get blizzard conditions in western PA. Enjoy it and hopefully you get crushed.

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

31" below normal last winter, 14" below avg now, No 10" storms in 2.5 years, So yes.

 

I should be about halfway to climo after this storm, with a bit of luck.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Rd9108 said:

Man I'm jealous of you guys. We've only seen two storms in the past 75 years that had blizzard conditions and I was either not born or too young to remember them. Very difficult to get blizzard conditions in western PA. Enjoy it and hopefully you get crushed.

March 1993 and November 1995?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, DomNH said:

Crushed.

Its right over you on the euro

[TalcottWx]

40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Look at the weenie 36” total right over Scoots house in S Wey

Getting my haircut while reading this. Laughed and my barber got mad at me

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I should be about halfway to climo after this storm, with a bit of luck.

The cape could reach their climo with this storm. 25-35" avg

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

March 1993 and November 1995?

Nov 1950 has to be one of them.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

31" below normal last winter, 14" below avg now, No 10" storms in 2.5 years, So yes, I hope so too Luke, Thanks.

 

And when was your last 18+er?

[Rd9108]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

March 1993 and November 1995?

1993 and 1950. We can get the heavy snow 2010, 93, 94 but to get high winds is incredibly difficult.

[DomNH]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its right over you on the euro

Yep, I saw that. Someone's easily measuring 2' under that wherever it sets up.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Nov 1950 has to be one of them.

Right, but I thought he meant two around when he was born...I don't think he is 70

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Rd9108 said:

1993 and 1950. We can get the heavy snow 2010, 93, 94 but to get high winds is incredibly difficult.

Oh, I misunderstood, or else I would have said 1950

[moneypitmike]

44 minutes ago, RI Rob said:

Hmmmm stay in Boston for the storm or go down to Mashpee...

Go to Mashpee.  Might be more snow AND they'll be able to plow the roads after the storm's done.

31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

No problem...ratios are tough because you have to deal with multiple variables....also in larger storms, the weight of the snow on itself is going to limit ratios. IT's a lot easier to get a 20 to 1 fluff ratio in a 7-8" storm than it is in a 18" storm.

Clear the boards!