Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,509
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    joxey
    Newest Member
    joxey
    Joined

December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

the "attitude" of the 12z operational Euro sort of makes the warm up more pedestrian looking than what it had last night's release.    Still a big warm lolly pop day but it's quite transient and fast to move off...and already D's 9/10 the pattern correction discussed is evident.  Decent cold load already into Ontario/Quebec...

It's one run. It's way out there. It is what it is... But, I've seen this sort of thing happen countless times in the active jet times of year ( such as now ;) )...where a huge sprawling dome of warmth ends up more like transient warm sector.   It's not impossible this ends up just as oversold as sometimes these lows do, too

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, A Moonlit Sky said:

I'd be more content with fall and winter warmth extremes if the spring and summer could get similar cold extreme treatment. We get 80 in February but I'm not seeing a 30 in August. It kinda sucks enjoying and wanting seasonable weather.

It’s true, ha.  But the cold season also has larger standard deviations for temps than the warm season.  More likely to see huge departures in cold season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It’s true, ha.  But the cold season also has larger standard deviations for temps than the warm season.  More likely to see huge departures in cold season.

Yeah seeing a +20 or -20 day in the summer is much harder than in the winter. In the winter, we can have a high of 0 or 5F or a high of 65-70F. In the summer your extremes are probably 55F to 100F for most of the area for highs. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah seeing a +20 or -20 day in the summer is much harder than in the winter. In the winter, we can have a high of 0 or 5F or a high of 65-70F. In the summer your extremes are probably 55F to 100F for most of the area for highs. 

Unless it’s 4th of july

  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah seeing a +20 or -20 day in the summer is much harder than in the winter. In the winter, we can have a high of 0 or 5F or a high of 65-70F. In the summer your extremes are probably 55F to 100F for most of the area for highs. 

Makes sense.....all of the gradients are steeper during the cold season given limited solar irradiance. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs brings the cold after the 18th fwiw

I am excited for the long range....I envision a gradient pattern lead in from the 20th into NY, than maybe a week to 10 days potential to go BOOM before we thaw again in January....then we await the real PV disruption.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I am excited for the long range....I envision a gradient pattern lead in from the 20th into NY, than maybe a week to 10 days potential to go BOOM before we thaw again in January....then we await the real PV disruption.

Hopefully it's real and the pattern gets fun soon

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I am excited for the long range....I envision a gradient pattern lead in from the 20th into NY, than maybe a week to 10 days potential to go BOOM before we thaw again in January....then we await the real PV disruption.

Hopefully NNE can score some snow by Xmas.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...