TugHillMatt Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: Several models are doing this now…. I take what I can get, but still this overall regime so really resisting going full on snow mode. I’m seeing hints of a pattern change toward that…. But nothing more. Yeah, everything has to be taken with such a grain of salt. The models and the pattern have been rather ugly for exciting/substantial snowfalls. Sort of "don't really accept it until it's actually happening" these days. Hopefully we can work towards a better outcome than what the 0Z runs are showing for almost all of us this New Year's weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, everything has to be taken with such a grain of salt. The models and the pattern have been rather ugly for exciting/substantial snowfalls. Sort of "don't really accept it until it's actually happening" these days. Hopefully we can work towards a better outcome than what the 0Z runs are showing for almost all of us this New Year's weekend. The 00z runs were a boost for the near term treat, but they eroded the signals for a big one next week didn’t they. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 0z GFS down to 949mb in Maine this one has potential models are on and off showing a huge storm those are usually the monsters we get around here 12z CMC was 942mb 0z CMC gets down to 930mb but for Canada thats insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 0z GFS and CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Also if you compare the 12z CMC and 0z GFS at the same time at hr180 they were very close and both were in the 940's interesting 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light- 1 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 5 hours ago, Modfan2 said: In his 60’s and sounds as good live as when it was recorded 30 years ago That would be 40 years ago my man. 1983! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 2 hours ago, IowaStorm05 said: The 00z runs were a boost for the near term treat, but they eroded the signals for a big one next week didn’t they. There was a weak signal that is muted now. If I were you I wouldn’t expect a big event before the 1/5-10 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Congrats everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Congrats everyone My brother lives in Houston. On Christmas Day it was 81F. He and his girlfriend were watching Christmas lights and getting mosquitoe bites. And it's also very humid. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 06z runs blow. Suck. Whatever: the bad one Multi love got me on my knee. We were one. Then become three. Mama what have you done to me? I’m half crazy. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 The NAM runs this morning are giving a bit more snow tonight. 2-3” for a good chunk of SNE on the 12km….3km is more like 1-2”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The NAM runs this morning are giving a bit more snow tonight. 2-3” for a good chunk of SNE on the 12km….3km is more like 1-2”. Everytime Kevin says nothing to look forward to, there is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light- Nice meltdown kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 enjoy it before it melts <3 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 brrr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 8 minutes ago, forkyfork said: brrr What are your thoughts for January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 I'm sitll bummed you're not allowed to "ignore" a moderator. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Everytime Kevin says nothing to look forward to, there is. I’ve been high on this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Gonna need a strong cutter to melt it up here. The positive 850 anomalies this weekend resulted in a net gain of over 3”. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 don't you average over 80" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: don't you average over 80" Nah. Closer to 75”. Around 14” so far on the season so maybe a hair BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Gonna need a strong cutter to melt it up here. The positive 850 anomalies this weekend resulted in a net gain of over 3”. And another 1-2 tonight? A bit more mixed Thursday? And then a question mark but probably at least somewhat frozen as the new year starts? That’s a solid pack that one 6-10 inch storm makes very nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 RGEM also has an inch or two overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM also has an inch or two overnight. You think it all furnaces away tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: enjoy it before it melts <3 You were awfully quiet last week after posting all those warm maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: enjoy it before it melts <3 Looks like some awesome LE snow potential up on the UP of Michigan! Would love to spend some time up that way some day. BTW what is the average 850 mb temp in our region this time of year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 GFS is a couple inches here for tonight now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Yeah GFS is on board for overnight as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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