IDA remnants OBS-nowcasts (storm total rain and/or unusual flooding, wind damage-power outage, gusts ~45+ MPH) Wed-Thu morning Sept 1-2, 2021

[winterwarlock]

confirmed tornado Rocky Hill which is just 5 miles south of me

[guinness77]

Sorry for the banter, but we’ve gotten to the point where everything is on the table when it comes to the entire Metro area. Literally, anything can happen, weather-wise, here, given the time of year. It’s insane. This is dangerous. 

[weathermedic]

1.03 so far here at my station in Sheepshead Bay.

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, Poker2015 said:

That tornado that dropped east of me was definitely getting ready overhead...heard the train noises and my ears were popping...

On that trajectory it's headed towards Staten island and Manhattan.

Lee Goldberg just said "We are in the middle of a historic unprecedented weather event".....2 minutes later he said "Now back to regular programming." LOL

 

[Rjay]

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Looks like it's weakening but nws confirmed on the ground 12 minutes ago 

A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
MORRIS...NORTH CENTRAL MERCER...CENTRAL SOMERSET AND NORTHERN
MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 739 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Rocky Hill, or
12 miles southwest of New Brunswick, moving northeast at 40 mph.
This strong has a history of producing strong tornadoes across
southern New Jersey.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
New Brunswick, Somerville, Somerset, Edison, East Brunswick, South
Brunswick, North Brunswick, Carteret, Middlesex, Princeton, Bound
Brook, Manville, Rocky Hill, Millstone, Colonia, Kingston, Dayton,
Plainsboro Center, Belle Mead and Martinsville.

This includes the following highways...
 New Jersey Turnpike between exits 10 and 13.
 Interstate 78 in New Jersey between mile markers 35 and 42.
 Interstate 287 in New Jersey between mile markers 0 and 16.
 Garden State Parkway between mile markers 129 and 134.

[gmendevils8204]

Just now, guinness77 said:

Sorry for the banter, but we’ve gotten to the point where everything is on the table when it comes to the entire Metro area. Literally, anything can happen, weather-wise, here, given the time of year. It’s insane. This is dangerous. 

I work at an insurance agency. We’re already preparing for a ton of claims calls tomorrow. Just hope the human toll in terms of injury and death is minimal.

[uncle W]

Just now, LibertyBell said:

On that trajectory it's headed towards Staten island and Manhattan.

Lee Goldberg just said "We are in the middle of a historic unprecedented weather event".....2 minutes later he said "Now back to regular programming." LOL

 

you need Lee Goldberg to confirm we are in a historic storm?...

[SnowGoose69]

JFK winds now SSE.  LGA ENE.  Funneling at LGA down LIS just insane.  41kts.  Low likely gonna track right over NYC.  GFS track may not be that bad after all but it’s QPF on southern side of metro will be too low 

[Maureen]

4+ inches at least in Carteret

[Rjay]

Looks to be over

 

 

[stockmanjr]

US Open going on with the roof closed. Not sure that's a great idea with what's going on....

[nycsnow]

Rotation 

[gpsnavigator]

Rain gauges in NW NJ anywhere from high 2s to over 5.

This needs to get out of here soon or parts of our state are going to be out of commission for weeks.

[LibertyBell]

4 minutes ago, uncle W said:

you need Lee Goldberg to confirm we are in a historic storm?...

No but I thought it was comical that ABC returned to "regular programming" they should be covering this all night

 

[crossbowftw3]

Just now, gpsnavigator said:

Rain gauges in NW NJ anywhere from high 2s to over 5.

This needs to get out of here soon or parts of our state are going to be out of commission for weeks.

It’s definitely a good thing that:

A. It’ll largely be done by overnight 

B. the next four or so days look to be high and dry, and very comfortable at that 

[gpsnavigator]

TWC calling situation over NJ serious and life threating, and imploring people to get off the roads immediately.

[bluewave]

4.27” already at the Harrison, NJ wxflow.

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNJHARRI36/table/2021-09-1/2021-09-1/daily

7:45 PM

66.4 °F

64.0 °F

92 %

South

7.4 mph

17.2 mph

29.55 in

2.18 in

4.27 in

[Stormlover74]

Another inch in the past 15 minutes

[RippleEffect]

Heavy rain in the Bronx. Looks like in a couple of hours we could get some real flooding here

[doncat]

Absolute deluge west shore si...3.25" so far.

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, doncat said:

Absolute deluge west shore si...3.25" so far.

Radar estimates have parts of island over 4 and we are def getting wind and lightning now too gonnA be a wild few hours 

[SnowGoose69]

5 minutes ago, stockmanjr said:

US Open going on with the roof closed. Not sure that's a great idea with what's going on....

I think they’ll be alright as it should go W but I’m not sure what the policy is if a warning comes.  You can’t get that many people underground 

[Gravity Wave]

Dumping here, water is pouring off of my upstairs neighbor's balcony, running down the underside to the top of my living room window, and dripping onto my interior windowsill. 

[MattPetrulli]

Those are some insane rates going into the Metro area

[dmillz25]

2.27” and counting 

[LibertyBell]

7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

JFK winds now SSE.  LGA ENE.  Funneling at LGA down LIS just insane.  41kts.  Low likely gonna track right over NYC.  GFS track may not be that bad after all but it’s QPF on southern side of metro will be too low 

Historically speaking and regarding the severe weather aspect of this would you rank this higher than November 1989 and Labor Day 1998?  Those are the only two I could compare the level of tornadic activity we are seeing compared to this event.

 

[winterwarlock]

4-6 inches in my area already

[stockmanjr]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I think they’ll be alright as it should go W but I’m not sure what the policy is if a warning comes.  You can’t get that many people underground 

Also, the grounds flood. I've been there in heavy rain events. Sure it's just the Jewish Mother in me over worrying though.

[winterwarlock]

Dave Curran and NJ News 12 is the place to be

[gmendevils8204]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

No but I thought it was comical that ABC returned to "regular programming" they should be covering this all night

 

Agreed. They interrupt programming for long stretches for far less than this.