Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 High for the day was 95 here. Current temp 79/DP 60/RH 53% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 High of 91 here, same as yesterday. Currently 79. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Currently 74 here, after a high of 91 today. DP 60/RH 63% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 7/27 EWR: 94 PHL: 94 ACY: 93 New Brnswck: 93 LGA: 91 TTN: 91 BLM: 91 TEB: 91 ISP: 89 NYC: 89 JFK: 88 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 Wantage NJ 0.48" rainfall so far since ~550P Tue and beneficial. Plenty of thunder since 6P, still here currently at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 @wdrag https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 28, 2021 Author Share Posted July 28, 2021 Not threading yet... will wait til late today. Could be tornadic near warm front. A couple of models have very heavy rain near a triple point and so its a concern, especially NJ and maybe LI? Have seen the wind fields. Don't like some of the instab parameters. Need to rereview with 12z/28 guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Picked up 0.44" of rain so far today with the rain/storms overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Picked up 0.27” with the overnight storms. This woke me up at 2:30am. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Models hinting at a very cool ending to July. Be interesting to see if a spot like Newark can actually dip under 60°. The last time this happened on July 31st at Newark was 1956. KEWR GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/28/2021 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 WED 28| THU 29| FRI 30| SAT 31| SUN 01| MON 02| TUE 03| WED 04 CLIMO X/N 85| 69 78| 69 85| 59 82| 66 83| 65 82| 64 81| 67 85 67 86 Data for July 31 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Min Temperature Precipitation Snowfall Snow Depth 1932-07-31 83 56 T 0.0 M 1956-07-31 81 58 0.00 0.0 0 1936-07-31 79 58 0.00 0.0 0 1964-07-31 82 61 0.00 0.0 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 The last 4 days of July are averaging 76(68/84), or -1.0. Month to date is. 76.5[-1.1]. July should end at 76.4[-1.1]. For tomorrow: EURO 1.8", CMC 1.2", GFS/SREF 0.4". 71*(85%RH) here at 6am, clearing skies, street wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will become partly to mostly sunny today. It will also be cooler than yesterday with high temperatures mainly in the lower and middle 80s. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 82° Newark: 86° Philadelphia: 87° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 85.0°; 15-Year: 86.0° Newark: 30-Year: 86.6°; 15-Year: 88.0° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.6°; 15-Year: 88.5° Cooler than normal conditions will likely prevail through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Moderate risk across Wisconsin this afternoon into night for definite derecho potential. Look at how much instability is already building across MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 While I am a summer and winter enthusiast, this summer has been in the bottom for me. I really hope we can pull of a dry, beautiful fall after this gross summer. The standing water has really increased the mosquito population to the point where it is uncomfortable too go outside near wet areas. The ticks have also been off the charts, but that was predicted after the winter we had. Luckily this summer I have an administrative and teaching role otherwise I’d be out there collecting ticks for surveillance. While I normally enjoy some field work, this summer is worse than most. Bottom line though, always check for ticks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: While I am a summer and winter enthusiast, this summer has been in the bottom for me. I really hope we can pull of a dry, beautiful fall after this gross summer. The standing water has really increased the mosquito population to the point where it is uncomfortable too go outside near wet areas. The ticks have also been off the charts, but that was predicted after the winter we had. Luckily this summer I have an administrative and teaching role otherwise I’d be out there collecting ticks for surveillance. While I normally enjoy some field work, this summer is worse than most. Bottom line though, always check for ticks! next week looks nice and dry-temps near 80 with low humidity..... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Projected low of 51 Friday a.m.; not sure that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Projected low of 51 Friday a.m.; not sure that happens. Saturday looks like it will be the coolest morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Little surprised with the 0.52" since midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Past 12 Hours Observations for NYC 10.62" now for the month. 10.48 + 0.14 MOST RECENT DATA: 8am edt 28-JUL-21 NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY ( 89') LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W STA TMP DP RH WD WS G PRS ALT PCPN CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP VIS WX NYC 9pm 78 59 51 050 3 137 2997 130eBKN 10 10pm 78 58 49 000 6 149 3000 80 BKN 130eBKN 10 11pm 77 59 53 000 0 135 2996 TR 100 SCT 120 SCT 130eBKN 10 R- 12am 76 59 55 000 0 136 2996 100 BKN 140eBKN 10 1am 76 59 55 000 3 147 3000 70 BKN 85 BKN 110 OVC 10 2am 70 65 83 290 4 142 2998 0.01 70 SCT 100 BKN 120 OVC 9 R- 0236 71 66 83 290 9 3000 43 SCT 70 BKN 85 OVC 1 3/4 R 3am 69 67 92 000 0 142 2998 44 SCT 70 BKN 110 OVC 3 R-F 0337 69 67 92 000 3 2996 55 SCT 80 BKN 100 OVC 2 1/2 R-F 0344 69 67 92 290 3 2997 80 BKN 95 BKN HI ??? 5 R-F 4am 69 66 89 270 4 140 2997 55 SCT 75 BKN 95 BKN 8 5am 70 66 87 060 3 143 2998 0.13 130eSCT 7 6am 7am 69 65 86 000 3 145 2999 LO CLR HI ??? 7 8am 70 65 83 000 3 153 3001 0.13 130eSCT 10 NYC 11 temps: high= 78 at 9pm low= 69 at 3am mean= 72.9 precip= 0.14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 I believe this is our first two consecutive Julys with 10.00”+ at any of our major stations. Hard to know if this has happened before at the smaller PWS or coop sites. But the strong subtropical flavor continues with very wet and high dew point regimes of recent summers. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1889 11.89 0 2 1975 11.77 0 3 2021 10.48 4 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2020 11.22 0 2 1988 9.98 0 3 1984 8.65 0 4 2004 8.39 0 5 2021 8.30 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 41 minutes ago, doncat said: Little surprised with the 0.52" since midnight. i'm not i was watching the nws radar last night ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 26 minutes ago, bluewave said: I believe this is our first two consecutive Julys with 10.00”+ at any of our major stations. Hard to know if this has happened before at the smaller PWS or coop sites. But the strong subtropical flavor continues with very wet and high dew point regimes of recent summers. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1889 11.89 0 2 1975 11.77 0 3 2021 10.48 4 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2020 11.22 0 2 1988 9.98 0 3 1984 8.65 0 4 2004 8.39 0 5 2021 8.30 4 the record is within reach for central park .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Friday would be the only outside chance for a 90 in the warmer spots if the advance (push) of the warmer air was delayed vs what models are showing. They show a push of 850 temos >16c overnight Thursday (7/29) into Friday (7/30) morning before the front comes through and dries us out / coold off. Then into the trough and coolest stretch (5 days) since May against the mean average. Onto August thread but both GFS and ECM continue second and third model cycle with humid / warm-hot pattern returning with the westward expanding W/ Atl Ridge in the 8/5 and beyond period with next potential chance at 90s. Its a matter of how that evolves to see how hot it can get. Right now the center of the ridge is anchored of the EC in the long range with a warm / humid Southerly flow. Id bet on humid and wet at this stage and temps bias warm before we can hone in on any spike in heat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 16 minutes ago, nycwinter said: the record is within reach for central park .. 15 inches is within reach at Port Washington. NY-NS-27 Port Washington 0.8 N Lat: 40.839167 Lon: -73.68025 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NY-NS-27 Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 1.04 07/02/2021 1.12 07/03/2021 2.26 07/04/2021 0.79 07/05/2021 0.00 07/06/2021 0.00 07/07/2021 0.43 07/08/2021 0.01 07/09/2021 3.07 07/10/2021 2.06 07/11/2021 0.02 07/12/2021 0.21 07/13/2021 0.04 07/14/2021 0.02 07/15/2021 T 07/16/2021 0.00 07/17/2021 0.00 07/18/2021 0.28 07/19/2021 0.05 07/20/2021 0.01 07/21/2021 T 07/22/2021 0.34 07/23/2021 0.01 07/24/2021 0.00 07/25/2021 0.22 07/26/2021 2.33 07/27/2021 0.01 07/28/2021 0.31 Totals : 14.63 in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Chances that we get some nice thunderstorms tomorrow with the low passing by? 3k NAM looks active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 2 hours ago, bluewave said: I believe this is our first two consecutive Julys with 10.00”+ at any of our major stations. Hard to know if this has happened before at the smaller PWS or coop sites. But the strong subtropical flavor continues with very wet and high dew point regimes of recent summers. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1889 11.89 0 2 1975 11.77 0 3 2021 10.48 4 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2020 11.22 0 2 1988 9.98 0 3 1984 8.65 0 4 2004 8.39 0 5 2021 8.30 4 NYC picked up 0,14" over night...Newark 0.04"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 2007 was in the 50's on the 2nd and 24th...This summer is a little similar to the 1963 and 1964 Summers...near 100 to start and cooler ending...both Augusts were cool in 63 and 64...I doubt we see anything like those years but who knows... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 Euro consistent with alot of rain tomorrow NY N and E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 tomorrow's forecast is dependent on how the mcs/derecho evolves over the upper midwest. all options are on the table from possible svr weather to boring stratiform rain all day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 28, 2021 Share Posted July 28, 2021 what ever gives us the most rain for tomorrow I'll take...one big cloud burst or an all day rain...the record rainfall for July is in reach...the years ahead of us are 1889 and 1975...the winters that followed those years were on the duddy side... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now