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Roger Smith

2021 North Atlantic hurricane forecast contest

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It's no longer Greek to me, the simplified format makes scoring easy, especially if everyone scores zero. :)

Hopefully we won't have a repeat of the astronomical distorted season last year, last time I checked, 59/8/-2. 

So this year once again just predict the count at the end of the year, Majors, all canes, all named storms (e.g. 18/10/5). 

We'll say June 10 for a deadline, may extend it if the season is slow to get going and/or entries have fallen short of a good number. 

Edit your entries without notice before June 10, won't be making any notes although I will read them. 

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19/11/5   Ace 141

 

Upped  my numbers. I am confident the Atl MDR will warm quite a  bit.

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35 minutes ago, yoda said:

So since we had TS Ana... how does that figure into things again?

You just count as 1 NS. It’s pre-deadline so you get credit for it.

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Just to confirm, Ana and any other named storms that occur before you post are in the final result for the contest which is simply this year's count (which people were nice enough not to comment, but I had it backwards in post one, it's named storms, canes, majors, but as everyone knows that probably didn't notice my mangling of the order). 

My guess is going to be 23/13/7 and there is no reasoning because I simply know this to be a fact (until proven otherwise). :)

 

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Do the various changes in the definition/recognition of such storms play a substantial role? 

It would be nice if we could avoid 'grade inflation' in meteorology.

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