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stormtracker

March Long Range Discussion

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17 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Sounds good to me. 

Shits over. Anybody that says otherwise is delusional. Split flow with not even any legit cold air around. Game over 

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16 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Shits over. Anybody that says otherwise is delusional. Split flow with not even any legit cold air around. Game over 

Love the dry look. Idc if it is +15 or -15. With little/no chance for snow, bring the dry and lots of wind. 

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23 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Love the dry look. Idc if it is +15 or -15. With little/no chance for snow, bring the dry and lots of wind. 

Sounds good to me also! Heading to Canaan valley for a long weekend 5-8th hoping for some upslope. After that... fishing season is on!! Also the season for hanging out on the patio with some cold ones and 73-74 dead on the stereo.

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1 hour ago, snowfan said:

Gfs is still a winter shutout thru the middle of March.

Excellent. All we need now is a drying  trend.  The last 18 months has been too wet.  I request normal temps and less high rainfall events. 

Huge failure for digital snowfall this month. ⁷

What a waste of output from the EPS and the GEFS regarding snowfall potential.  Should ban the Euro control and the Para.  

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48 minutes ago, frd said:

Excellent. All we need now is a drying  trend.  The last 18 months has been too wet.  I request normal temps and less high rainfall events. 

Huge failure for digital snowfall this month. ⁷

What a waste of output from the EPS and the GEFS regarding snowfall potential.  Should ban the Euro control and the Para.  

Agree with most, but let's keep posting those Kuchera maps.

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2 hours ago, Baltimorewx said:

Shits over. Anybody that says otherwise is delusional. Split flow with not even any legit cold air around. Game over 

I'm not delusional.....I don't think lol

and what you call shit I call my favorite hobby and sunny and 60 is year around but snow chances are brief so I and many others here will keep on keeping on ....tracking winter weather until its obvious it's done. 

 

But how many times do you have to remind us that YOU think winter is over . We heard you the 1st time . Why keep saying it every day . Me personally even if I lived on a house boat in the Potomac in DC I wouldn't cancel winter storm tracking on Feb 28th . Even there they have 2 weeks + of legit chances at accumulating events . Up here and many other n+w areas have almost 4 weeks left of legit chances.  I track discrete threats inside 7 days and the way mid range and long range has been . It'll definitely change in a day or 2 . 

Good day !

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1 minute ago, losetoa6 said:

I'm not delusional.....I don't think lol

and what you call shit I call my favorite hobby and sunny and 60 is year around but snow chances are brief so I and many others here will keep on keeping on ....tracking winter weather until its obvious it's done. 

 

But how many times do you have to remind us that YOU think winter is over . We heard you the 1st time . Why keep saying it every day . Me personally even if I lived on a house boat in the Potomac in DC I wouldn't cancel winter storm tracking on Feb 28th . Even there they have 2 weeks + of legit chances at accumulating events . Up here and many other n+w areas have almost 4 weeks left of legit chances.  I track discrete threats inside 7 days and the way mid range and long range has been . It'll definitely change in a day or 2 . 

Good day !

I know you’re trolling and so am I. It’s cool. It’s really all I have to say. You’re a troll mostly 

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5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

I'm not delusional.....I don't think lol

and what you call shit I call my favorite hobby and sunny and 60 is year around but snow chances are brief so I and many others here will keep on keeping on ....tracking winter weather until its obvious it's done. 

 

But how many times do you have to remind us that YOU think winter is over . We heard you the 1st time . Why keep saying it every day . Me personally even if I lived on a house boat in the Potomac in DC I wouldn't cancel winter storm tracking on Feb 28th . Even there they have 2 weeks + of legit chances at accumulating events . Up here and many other n+w areas have almost 4 weeks left of legit chances.  I track discrete threats inside 7 days and the way mid range and long range has been . It'll definitely change in a day or 2 . 

Good day !

You wouldn’t cancel winter if you lived in Florida. Thanks for your input. It’s useless 

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24 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

You wouldn’t cancel winter if you lived in Florida. Thanks for your input. It’s useless 

Speaking for the wide majority of this board, you my friend are what we call a grade A prime asshole.

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36 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

I'm not delusional.....I don't think lol

and what you call shit I call my favorite hobby and sunny and 60 is year around but snow chances are brief so I and many others here will keep on keeping on ....tracking winter weather until its obvious it's done. 

 

But how many times do you have to remind us that YOU think winter is over . We heard you the 1st time . Why keep saying it every day . Me personally even if I lived on a house boat in the Potomac in DC I wouldn't cancel winter storm tracking on Feb 28th . Even there they have 2 weeks + of legit chances at accumulating events . Up here and many other n+w areas have almost 4 weeks left of legit chances.  I track discrete threats inside 7 days and the way mid range and long range has been . It'll definitely change in a day or 2 . 

Good day !

 

33 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

I know you’re trolling and so am I. It’s cool. It’s really all I have to say. You’re a troll mostly 

 

An optimist and a pessimist walk into a bar...

 

5 minutes later they're escorted out by the bouncers.  

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18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

An optimist and a pessimist walk into a bar...

 

5 minutes later they're escorted out by the bouncers.  

And some girl named Winter is wiping a drink from her face.

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17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

 

 

An optimist and a pessimist walk into a bar...

 

5 minutes later they're escorted out by the bouncers.  

Is this mod code talk for take it to banter?

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A few days ago it looked like we might have 7-8" of rain in the next couple of weeks, then there were a couple of potential snow storms on the horizon.  Now I see I giant "fork" in winter and "dry and windy."  I'm perfectly content with dry and windy at this point.  It's been a fairly miserable winter for those of us south of PSU.  It was fun tracking, but it sucks to have the rug pulled almost every time.   I'm happy to start looking for Spring...

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2 hours ago, snowfan said:

13 days til 7pm sunsets

Spot on. If no snow, need sunny and dry until the time flip. Love that it will stay light till after 7.

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2 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

I'm not delusional.....I don't think lol

and what you call shit I call my favorite hobby and sunny and 60 is year around but snow chances are brief so I and many others here will keep on keeping on ....tracking winter weather until its obvious it's done. 

 

But how many times do you have to remind us that YOU think winter is over . We heard you the 1st time . Why keep saying it every day . Me personally even if I lived on a house boat in the Potomac in DC I wouldn't cancel winter storm tracking on Feb 28th . Even there they have 2 weeks + of legit chances at accumulating events . Up here and many other n+w areas have almost 4 weeks left of legit chances.  I track discrete threats inside 7 days and the way mid range and long range has been . It'll definitely change in a day or 2 . 

Good day !

I generally hold out hope around here for one more good event in March each year.  Of course "good" is relative, but at any rate I normally think it's reasonable to expect a measurable or better snow most Marches even in the DC area.

This year, I still am hopeful we'll see something more than a few mangled wet snowflakes and 35-40 degrees before we're done, though that's dwindling in a hurry.  Let's be honest:  the current indications aren't exactly pointing to much of anything, other than maybe a few days of chilly and dry right now through the next week or so.  I kind of hold out hope that maybe next weekend will "show up" again but who knows.  This isn't like 2014 or 2015, or even 2018, where you could see indications in the longwave pattern that we could score some good snow events.  I honestly just don't see that at this point.  So I don't blame anyone just finally saying "it's over (except perhaps for regions outside more favored areas)."  You are correct, things certainly could change over the next week or so, and we've seen that often this year, so I guess we'll see.

ETA:  I definitely don't care for a "torch" even in March, though some have said "bring it on".  Hell, we'll see plenty of hot weather guaranteed until late September!!  I'd be fine with some good, mild spring weather where you're not sweltering.  Don't care to see even the 80s for a little while yet, thank you very much!

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7 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

I generally hold out hope around here for one more good event in March each year.  Of course "good" is relative, but at any rate I normally think it's reasonable to expect a measurable or better snow most Marches even in the DC area.

This year, I still am hopeful we'll see something more than a few mangled wet snowflakes and 35-40 degrees before we're done, though that's dwindling in a hurry.  Let's be honest:  the current indications aren't exactly pointing to much of anything, other than maybe a few days of chilly and dry right now through the next week or so.  I kind of hold out hope that maybe next weekend will "show up" again but who knows.  This isn't like 2014 or 2015, or even 2018, where you could see indications in the longwave pattern that we could score some good snow events.  I honestly just don't see that at this point.  So I don't blame anyone just finally saying "it's over (except perhaps for regions outside more favored areas)."  You are correct, things certainly could change over the next week or so, and we've seen that often this year, so I guess we'll see.

The bottom line is I can’t stand the eternal optimists that speak for the rest of us they live in nearly 1,000 ft on a moutain or 30 miles west of us. I’m over it. Track away. But speak dont  for the rest of us that haven’t got shit 

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Just now, Baltimorewx said:

The bottom line is I can’t stand the eternal optimists that speak for the rest of us they live in nearly 1,000 ft on a moutain or 50 miles northwest. I’m over it. Track away. But speak for the rest of us that haven’t got shit 

Oh I hear you and know exactly what you're saying.  Overall I agree, too.  I was just trying to say I try to hold out hope most years come March, but that honestly, this year there really is no indication that there's much of anything "going on."  Is there even much real chance on the 1000 ft. mountains or 50 miles northwest, at this point this year?  So saying "screw it, we're (probably) done" in my opinion isn't exactly an outlandish statement.  For at least 90%+ of us, it's not exactly looking like much of a realistic chance looking into the medium range indications right now.

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9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Good news is the weather don’t care what any of us think 

My yard has been partially or fully snow covered for the better part of a month.   Really OK.

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