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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


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24 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Lol @MillvilleWx might win "coldest snowstorm of the winter" down there in Midland, TX with the storm that becomes our Tuesday event. Yes those temps are in ºF

ecmwf-deterministic-tx-t2m_f-3379600.thumb.png.c0dcef9fa7806d65f92ce2d074ece055.png

That's some pretty impressive cold for that far south. Those reds are low teens all the way down into old Mexico. Crazy!

As for me, just got home from work. Decided not to do my last load, which was a good call. The guy that loaded ahead of me made the right onto 309 to go up the Blue Mountain and lost traction and got stuck. That would have been my fate as well, had I loaded and tried to go deliver it. After helping him blindside back onto the road he came out of, we both went back to the yard and called it a night. 309 was completely snowpacked.

Just went out and we have 1.5" so far.

 

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5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

My bar for this event for MDT is 3.5 inches to get the seasonal total to 30 inches. This would get them to be within 2 inches of exceeding the climo seasonal average. Everything after this weekend through March would just be stats padding to see how much we can pile on!

just outside Middletown when i came home around 230am at work I had 3 inchs on my car. when I got home a 20 min drive I had 3.5 and still snowed pretty good for 2 hours. I havent went out since I got home but safe to say we hit just over 4 inchs

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21 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

28 degrees, still some pixie dust. Putting this in the books at 2.5" come on @pasnownut bring these next couple home brutha

The 6z GFS took just about an ideal track for the Tuesday event. It keeps the low under us and was mainly a snow event for CTP.

The snow map is just for the Tuesday storm.

119AC749-7982-42A9-A201-0B6D17610FEE.png

D30170B3-CAF4-42F2-8EA2-423BF5F8C10F.png

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For Tuesday, The 0z EPS is starting to come around to the idea of the initial low giving way to a developing coastal storm that tracks off of the DelMarVa.

Here are the low clusters and the snow map just for the Tuesday storm on the 0z EPS.

Still work to do on the EPS to get to a GFS like solution, but the trend is good for now.

 

E2F7BB6B-C706-4535-8D75-348310F96C57.png

2910BD07-5BE5-4C2C-B560-A2D39C776CA8.png

0D9CF384-B38A-439D-A6A7-BFF9D594105E.png

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Craziest thing I saw on the models this AM is the CMC with an emergency level ice event a week from today for the LSV especially the southern part where it spits out. 5. to .75 all Frz. with ground temps in the mid 20's.  The theme for now is less cold and more qpf next week.  @losetoa6 would almost be in the epicenter.

image.thumb.png.386600d70cf76fb4c979d4bde99e89a5.png

 

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Craziest thing I saw on the models this AM is the CMC with an emergency level ice event a week from today for the LSV especially the southern part where it spits out. 5. to .75 all Frz. with ground temps in the mid 20's.  The theme for now is less cold and more qpf next week.  [mention=8832]losetoa6[/mention] would almost be in the epicenter.
image.thumb.png.386600d70cf76fb4c979d4bde99e89a5.png
 

I take full responsibility if we get an ice bomb due to my questioning when we last had a serious icing event here


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5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

6z Eps continues the trend for a further east and weaker slp for early week . Snow chances going up :sled: The cutting members well west are dwindling fast 

 

Moderate snow again around Littlestown ,Pa atm.

Measured  4.2" ( extreme N. Carroll Co.) before I left 

Thats great to hear.  As we've seen quite often, the extreme cutters of the past have seem to hit some resistance thanks to our Canadian friends. 

Belly under baby....belly under.  At last look, tellies would support more souther solutions for next week.  Gonna have to see where things are headed beyond that.   

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I know what canderson really wants is a 970 behemouth with a strong tropical connection to plow right at us with a 1050 H right over Ontario/Quebec that crawls to almost a stall with surface temperatures about 15 and 850s about 50, dropping 3” of qpf over 4 days with sustained 40mph winds for 3 of them


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