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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


MAG5035
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11 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Hello Mount Joy Snowman!  I work in Mount Joy.  How much did you get?  I am at home in YNS.

Hello anotherman!  I used to take the train from Mount Joy everyday and hopefully will again if we ever get back to working in-person.  I got 2.0" on the nose.  Not bad, was hoping to squeeze out 3-4 but was always hesitant given that northeastern cutoff gradient that had be showing up on most of the models for days on end.  On to the net one....

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16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Nam 12 continues to deemphasize the Saturday "Round 2/3" with just scattered mixed for most of PA. 

yeah i saw that.  Scratchin my head a bit as i though the shredder was runnin outta gas.  Might set up Tuesdays potential a bit better..??  Dunno

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19 minutes ago, daxx said:

I think I’m being brainwashed in to believing the nam is great. I have to stop reading. lol!

This is probably the only thing we disagree on buddy. I do like the NAM a lot more than you do - in no way do I think it's great but I think it's better than what most give it credit for. It absolutely nailed the January 2016 storm, and as I recall it did well with some of the biggies back in '09-'10. 

Honestly, this winter, I'm not trusting any model. :) 

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1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This is probably the only thing we disagree on buddy. I do like the NAM a lot more than you do - in no way do I think it's great but I think it's better than what most give it credit for. It absolutely nailed the January 2016 storm, and as I recall it did well with some of the biggies back in '09-'10. 

Honestly, this winter, I'm not trusting any model. :) 

I get so sucked into the NAM precip panels that is my problem that I need to stop that. I should know better after all these years in this hobby the NAM is mostly overdone on precip on every storm. I need to remember to cut those panels in half. 

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2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

This is probably the only thing we disagree on buddy. I do like the NAM a lot more than you do - in no way do I think it's great but I think it's better than what most give it credit for. It absolutely nailed the January 2016 storm, and as I recall it did well with some of the biggies back in '09-'10. 

Honestly, this winter, I'm not trusting any model. :) 

Sure it has it’s good moments, but if you ask me it has far more bad. If the model works for you then all is good.  I just look at it and move on. 

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3 minutes ago, paweather said:

I get so sucked into the NAM precip panels that is my problem that I need to stop that. I should know better after all these years in this hobby the NAM is mostly overdone on precip on every storm. I need to remember to cut those panels in half

I always do and it usually verifies pretty well.  Hard part is the deliniation between frozen varieties but like I said earlier, as long as i dont have green above me.....I'm ok w/ whatever

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1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

BTW, everyone in the southern tier should go look at the 6z GooFuS snow maps through end of run for purely entertainment purposes.  

I'd post, but I don't want anyone to think less of me than they already do. :lol:

Come on, this isn't the mid-Atlantic forum.  Snow maps are not dependable but they're fun to look at.

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Germans showin love to the forum for next Tuesday.  Bellied under and nice transfer....all snow.

as we are looking for consensus, i think we now have ICON Euro and GFS all in similar camps (staying under us - no cutter).

Hoping that theme continues to gain traction....

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