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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2


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6 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

It’s wrapped up by 3-4a judging by radar.  This thing is really moving 

If the 18Z GFS timing works out then it would be ending between 5 and 6am unless things have changed with the 0Z run.  It's been moderate snow here the past 30 minutes with nice flakes accumulating about 0.5"/hr.  That rate should increase over the next 2 hours.  0.3" on the board as of 10:30.  Temp down to 27.5.  Roads/Sidewalks now caving also.

It's fun to stand under my street light and look straight up and get lost in all the flakes falling like a snow globe.

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6 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

If the 18Z GFS timing works out then it would be ending between 5 and 6am unless things have changed with the 0Z run.  It's been moderate snow here the past 30 minutes with nice flakes accumulating about 0.5"/hr.  That rate should increase over the next 2 hours.  0.3" on the board as of 10:30.  Temp down to 27.5.  Roads/Sidewalks now caving also.

Looking on tt is 3-4 " ending 8-9 am it seems.  For Cumberland, Franklin, Adams. 

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24 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

Radar looks good for you.  Mag should be S+ now

It's been crushing pretty good for a little while though starting to get on the edge of the best stuff. Glance at the snowboard out in the yard from inside using binoculars with the lights on looks like almost 3". How much back building happens is likely going to determine if I can get into the 4-6" forecasted range. 

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2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

It's been crushing pretty good for a little while though starting to get on the edge of the best stuff. Glance at the snowboard out in the yard from inside using binoculars with the lights on looks like almost 3". How much back building happens is likely going to determine if I can get into the 4-6" forecasted range. 

I like your style.  Im going to have to invest in a pair of binoculars.   I’m currently on crutches:oldman:

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5 minutes ago, paweather said:

Now I will take next Tuesday even though it may be ICE for me. Great look. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png

 

This is snow to sleet and then heavy sleet, ending as sleet.  There's obviously plenty of time for this to correct south, or get worse.  Axis of heaviest snow is only 50-75 miles north of us.  Another @Wmsptwx special.  This would put them way over the top for climo for them.

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The GFS on Tuesday takes the low from North Carolina to off of the coast of the DelMarVa. With all of the High pressure to the north & west that is supplying Arctic air, this should trend to a colder look with at least a very solid front end thump of snow & then mixing for some areas depending on the final track.

73B1BB81-C09B-491D-A93C-2F03FA958550.png

EB77111E-0655-4339-A500-15215A7A107E.png

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4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The GFS on Tuesday takes the low from North Carolina to off of the coast of the DelMarVa. With all of the High pressure to the north & west that is supplying Arctic air, this should trend to a colder look with at least a very solid front end thump of snow & then mixing for some areas depending on the final track.

 

Yea even though this still looks mixy you can see tonight's run gets the low to the coast under us and with that banana high to the north it def favors deeper cold and a more frozen outcome. 

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Don't get me wrong 2-4" of snow, any snow is good with me. But the models are just teasing right now with these NS systems. Next Tuesday might be the first one with a full phase NS and SS phase that for us down here would be ICE/Rain and N PA would capitalize. I am fine with with that. I just want a blossom storm instead of an NS storm. Models will change many times over the next couple of days as the did with the Weekend Storm. Mag and others can tell me wrong I am an rookie at this and I am fine with it. 

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1 minute ago, Cambria County Wx said:

Snow has ended here. Looks like about 1.5 maybe a little more. Just missed the best snows by about 5-10 miles. 

Looked like that upper band of snow is still over Northern Cambria on radar, not getting anything?

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Here in Carlisle, at midnight, it continues to snow moderately.  Since the snow began back around 9:30pm I have recorded 1.0" of snow on the board so far.  Temp holding now at 27.1 degrees with a dew point of 25.2 degrees.  I'll be back in the morning with an update.  Hopefully I'll be reporting more than an inch of additional snow.  We'll see.  Night all.  Enjoy it while you can.  We're going to suffer for a whole 48 hours before we see more fall again...lol.

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Don't get me wrong 2-4" of snow, any snow is good with me. But the models are just teasing right now with these NS systems. Next Tuesday might be the first one with a full phase NS and SS phase that for us down here would be ICE/Rain and N PA would capitalize. I am fine with with that. I just want a blossom storm instead of an NS storm. Models will change many times over the next couple of days as the did with the Weekend Storm. Mag and others can tell me wrong I am an rookie at this and I am fine with it. 

Man, I would 2-4” twice a week for a few weeks straight hands down over one big one that mixes 60-75% of the time here.


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