CarlislePaWx

Monday: 0.73" Tuesday: 1.35" Wednesday (through 3:00pm): 1.52" 3-day total: 3.60" Last month total: 4.00" YTD: 17.33" Heaviest rains were occurring during the overnight hours here in Carlisle.

Rain just beginning here with thunder and lightning within 5 miles. Temp 62.8 and falling. Thunderstorms flying along at 70 mph! Special out for possible wind gusts to 50 mph.

Ending this late May day with a high temp of 77.5 degrees. With a dew point of 42 it feels quite pleasant out there. Currently temp holding at 75.4. Boy what a shock it will be when the cold returns.

Here in Carlisle the high temperature exceeded 70 degrees for the first time this year with a high of 71.2 degrees. The low this morning was a cold 36.0 degrees. Diurnal range of 35.2 degrees. I'm not quite ready to shoot into the 70's when my normal high is 48 and normal low is 27 for today's date.

What an afternoon! I've had 3 separate snow squalls fly through here on pretty stiff winds. This 3rd one, which ended about 5 minutes ago, was easily the heaviest with the lowest visibility of about a quarter mile. My snowboard got enough accumulation for me to call it 0.1". The first squall came through around 2:00 with probably the strongest wind gusts of over 30mph and the snow blowing around wildly. That one was interesting because nearly all of the snow fell as snow pellets. That one lasted long enough to whiten the ground / mulch. The middle squall was the weakest, but still was accompanied by gusty winds and briefly heavy snow. The temps were in the low 40's when the snow began but dropped to 34 during #1, and #3 dropped down to 33. Looking at the radar it looks like more squalls may be on the way. What a shock after 60's last week!

Low of 21.9 degrees here this morning. Quite breezy out there with wind chills in the upper teens at the moment. With clear skies and sunshine the temp has recovered to 28.9.

Well, the snow squall just flew through here about 15 minutes ago. While the winds were briefly blowing 20 mph the snow was flying around like a blizzard. Temp went from 34 at the start to 29.1 in about 15 minutes. That 29.1 tied my low from this morning. No accumulations. I love squalls because you can typically see them coming from miles away. I was out walking my dog with the sun shining. Half-way through the walk I noticed dark clouds off to my northwest, getting closer and closer. I was back inside for maybe 5 minutes before the squall got underway. If you aren't driving on a highway, squalls are an exciting part of wintertime weather. At 2:49 blue skies have returned with the sun and everything looks like nothing happened. Temp back up to 30.7 with the sun out.

Good morning folks! In Carlisle it is 31.3 degrees and windy. Since midnight I recorded an additional 2.0" for a storm total of 2.3". The 2.3" melted down to 0.17" of qpf. This produced an SLR of roughly 13:1. I hate to say it but misery loves company. As I read through all of the posts since 1:00am, many of you recorded amounts similar to mine (<3"). Like everyone else, it stuck to everything except the sidewalks and the street. The snow looked like it had compacted some despite a temperature of 29-30 degrees during the storm. Congrats to the band winners. Those totals of 6, 8, and a few 10" amounts were incredible. With the 2.3", when combined with the Mon/Tue event of 5.8" I have had a total of 8.1" for the week. That's not all that far from my entire season last winter! My total for the entire season to date now stands at 19.8". On to the next one...

At midnight, here in Carlisle the temperature was 31.8 degrees with a dew point of 30.6 degrees and a wet bulb of 31.3. As of midnight the snowfall had not accumulated any further from the 11:00 obs. So, for the date, yesterday, 2/16 I recorded a total of 0.3". This was also the storm total thus far. My melted snow produced 0.02" of water. I'm not calculating an SLR because the melted snow was less than 1 inch. Just before midnight the intensity was beginning to ramp up again with larger flakes, but still only light snow. More at 1:00am.

Well I guess that band somehow skipped over me on its way to you. At midnight I only had recorded 0.3". The rates were ramping back up again slowly so we'll see what falls during this next hour. Congrats. You're only 1" away from verifying the 3" minimum for the WSW. (I'm being a little facetious).

The snow began here in Carlisle around 10:00pm or so. By 10:45 only grass and mulch had accumulated (and my board). All sidewalks and my street were just wet. The temperature was 35 degrees when the snow started. It did not start as rain. However, this first little batch was just as wet as Mon/Tue. There was a brief steadier period between 10:45 and 11:00. At 11:00 the new snow and storm total for this event had accumulated 0.3". The snow also stuck to the shrubs and trees. By 11:15 the intensity let up to just flurries. The temp has just dropped to 32.0 in the last 10 minutes. The lowest the temp dropped to Tuesday morning was 32.2 F. I'll be back shortly with my midnight readings. If this storm manages to reach 5.0" or above, it will be the third event of this season with 5"+.

Your readings are precisely where I am at the moment...40.5 / 22.3 with mostly cloudy skies

Back at 10:00 on NWS disco they seemed to indicate that WWA's were more likely in the current watch area. We're only 7 hours away from the start and they haven't updated the watch. I wonder if in the back office there is a war going on between METS on which decision to make??

Good morning all. After a snow-induced, radiational cooling night I managed to drop down to 15.1 degrees this morning. Coldest temperature of this month so far. With filtered sunshine I'm back up to 33.1 at 10:49am. I still have complete snow cover both in my back yard (which faces north) and in my front yard (which faces south). Looking forward to tomorrow night's event. I wanted to take a moment to clarify the conversation earlier between @Bubbler86and @Blizzard of 93 and the different maps. Bliz frequently posts two surface maps that are 3 hours apart. In this case he was showing hour 57 in the first and hour 60 in the second. Because the time interval is 3 hours and not 6 hours, it leads to confusion because each map is showing the accumulated precip for the preceding 6 hours (not 3). That creates an overlap of 3 hours where hour 57 is showing precip from hour 51 through hour 57, while the hour 60 map is showing total precip between hour 54 and hour 60. If you don't look closely you could easily think that the second map is showing new, additional precip to add to the first map, thus the confusion. The 3-hour interval between the 2 maps is great for showing the movement of the "L" and how quickly or not quickly it is moving. I saw Bliz say that WB also gives precip maps with 3-hour intervals. Lining up the precip interval with the time interval removes any confusion. Bubbler's Pivotal map(s) is not the same depiction because it is showing the preceding 6-hour average of the precip intensity, not accumulated precip. If you want to see what is happening at the timestamp of that map you would want to post the composite reflectivity map of the timestamp. Then you accurately know where the snow has ended as of the timestamp hour. Finally, the Tropical TIdbits map from Bubbler is the map of the averaged 6-hour precip intensity/rate. The accumulated precip during the map interval is not shown. You would need to take the intensity range of that map and estimate the true qpf for each time interval. I hope this is not confusing. And, of course, if I have made a mistake with the info above, feel free to correct me.

At 9:00am here in Carlisle the temperature is 33.6 degrees and beginning to rise. The back edge of the snow has just reached me and I'm down to flurries. During the past hour an additional 0.2" of snow has accumulated, giving a storm total of 5.8". I'm going to melt down the snow and then I'll at least know the entire liquid equivalent of the rain + snow. I'm thinking I'll estimate an SLR of 8:1 which would give the melted snow water content of 0.73". I'll be back to give the final total melted equivalent in the next hour.

At 8:30am in Carlisle, the temperature is 32.7 degrees. It is still snowing moderately, but in the process of ending. Radar shows the back edge about 15 miles to my west. Only picked up an additional 0.2" for a storm total of 5.8". I'll take a final measurement at 9:00.

At 8:00 here in Carlisle, the temperature is 32.5 degrees. It continues to snow heavily. During the past hour I picked up an additional 0.8" of new snow for a storm total of 5.6". Lots of trees have many branches weighed down considerably. When the wind arrives it should blow at least half off with the rest melting during the day. Great storm...but SHORT again!

The back edge is rapidly approaching. The sharp definition of the back edge looks interesting. Snow rate has decreased to under 1" / hr, but over 0.5"/hr. I'd estimate only about another hour remaining of accumulations.

Just before 7:00am here in Carlisle, it is snowing heavily. The temperature is 32.2 degrees. As of 6:45 I have recorded 4.5" of new snow for a storm total of 4.5". Unfortunately, I could not stay up or get up for the changeover, but I am estimating close to an inch of rain had fallen before the changeover. It was raining heavily at 1:30 am. Everything is weighed down and getting heavier. My power has also flickered on and off several times. We have underground cables around here, which helps in these situations. Easily on the way to 6"+ with the current heavy rates. NWS should have left things alone with the forecast from yesterday morning of 4 to 8". I'm just about to exceed the current 3 to 5". Just remeasured after 15 minutes more of snow and I'm up another 0.3" to 4.8" storm total as of 7:00am.

It's 1:00 am and I have moderate rain, occasionally heavy. Rainfall since midnight is 0.15", coupled with yesterday's 0.18" gives an event total so far of 0.33". The temperature is holding at 41 degrees, just like @Itstrainingtimeposted over an hour ago. I hope to be back here for the fireworks around 6:00am if I can get myself up. See some of you around 6:00ish. Night.

GFS has me with 10" Kuchera. This is the nicest looking distribution I've seen from many of the earlier runs. I think air/ground temps are what will ultimately determine final amounts. At 11:15 I'm holding at 42.3 degrees with light rain. Accumulation of rain so far is 0.13". Pressure down to 1003 mb. Looking at the radar it looks like the low center is approximately over I-75 along the KY/TN border. You can see rotation which is positive for strengthening lows. I hope to catch a bit of the max blitz around 6:00-7:00am. For the moment I'll be back at midnight with a final on today 2/12.

Just checked for me...23z gives me 1.22" and 0z gives me 1.12". >>EDIT: I see you were referring to snowfall. Yes, I dropped from 5" to 3". (Kuch) Eeek.

I've never seen this before...(NWS forecast for Carlisle as of 7:00pm) Tonight Rain before 3am, then rain and snow. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 32. East wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tuesday Rain and snow before 11am, then a slight chance of rain between 11am and noon. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 38. North wind 13 to 15 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Even the morning forecast (when it will be all snow) says rain & snow. Since when does heavy rain accumulate 2-4" of SNOW??

A quick review of snowfall from 0Z shows that I get 9" in 9 hours using Kuchera. Starts around 4:00am and snows one inch per hour for 9 hours then quits around 1:00pm. I would love to be able to sit and watch 9 inches accumulate with mostly heavy rates throughout.

Here's 10:1 even more wow...