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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season


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6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What I'm saying is that 2005 was 12/5/3 on September 1. Save the outrageously rare phenomena of having not one but two long track majors in July, some of you would have been hating all the storms that developed that season too, save Katrina. We're lucky to get 40-50% of systems turn into eye candy in a given year. 

I'm not saying that this is the worst season ever, and I get that it's one thing to joke around, but I can't get how some have their expectations so out of whack with this season as to think it's a dud, given that it's objectively on par at this date with some of the biggest we've seen. Can we just let it play out through the peak at least? lol

I’m not saying you’re wrong objectively. The season is very active. I am more commenting on the subjective experience that people tracking the tropics feel. I was getting good tingles preseason. If you had told me we’d be to Omar on 9/1 back in the Spring I’d have felt even more excited...but this season is smoking the boof so far. I want better satellite porn, recon that doesn’t turn around and can actually transmit data, daytime landfalls, a solid sub 930 Caribbean cruiser, some MDR threats to Bermuda, and one or two storms threatening Atlantic Canada and the northeast. Some of those will come but I also suspect we are cursed a little. 

we can  revisit after the secondary peak in October. I just hope you aren’t like “it’s 29/8/2...second best season ever”

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What’s skewing the season so far, is the “Build Up.”

Anytime all the talk and hype precedes a season (be it hurricane or winter etc etc), it gets folks envisioning their wildest dreams with monster storms galore all over the place.  when that doesn’t happen/Or live up to the hype as they imagine it...well, you get the bust calls.  

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12 minutes ago, andyhb said:

When a derecho outclasses every storm but one so far, yeah it's been pretty lacking quality wise (then again, that derecho was historic, but I digress).

Somebody measured a 25 mb pressure drop in 7 minutes in the derecho.  You don't even get that drop rate in the eyewall of most (if not all) hurricanes. :guitar:

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9 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said:

This is coming from  meteorologist, seriously? Were you expecting major hurricane in June or July?

And I said that where? Learn to read for context please.

By no means am I calling for a "season fail" the rest of the way through, but consider some actual, I don't know, statistics.

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1 minute ago, andyhb said:

And I said that where? Learn to read for context please.

By no means am I calling for a "season fail" the rest of the way through, but consider some actual, I don't know, statistics.

I can grasp context, you are bemoaning the lack of quality. So, my question was, why on Earth you expect such quality before September?

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10 minutes ago, BYG Jacob said:

I can grasp context, you are bemoaning the lack of quality. So, my question was, why on Earth you expect such quality before September?

I don't know, because expecting more than 1 out of 15 storms through August to be beyond a Category 1 seems reasonable? Again, it's all relative to the amount of actual activity. Sure if we had only 6 named storms by now, it might look more impressive in terms of "quality" if we had 3-4 canes and 1 major.

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9 minutes ago, andyhb said:

I don't know, because expecting more than 1 out of 15 storms through August to be beyond a Category 1 seems reasonable? Again, it's all relative to the amount of actual activity. Sure if we had only 6 named storms by now, it might look more impressive in terms of "quality" if we had 3-4 canes and 1 major.

August was either 4/3/1 on formations in August (Isaias formed in July, but wasn't a hurricane until August). No kidding we didn't get a category 2 above hurricane in June and July, that's not how the Atlantic works.

 

EDIT: I totally forgot Arthur and Bertha were in May, point still stands

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