• Member Statistics

    15,885
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    bvmcode
    Newest Member
    bvmcode
    Joined
madwx

February 9-10 Winter Storm

Recommended Posts

All of the models are consistently showing a swath of 3-6"+ for the northern half of the subforum from early Sunday through Monday, with the higher totals to the west and lower totals to the east as the wave weakens.  The Euro is further N with the band of snow while the GFS, Canadian and UKMET are in the southern camp for now.  GEFS mean looks solid for N Iowa, S Minnesota and Wisconsin.

  • Weenie 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If winter trends hold it will fade south and end up another wet dog turd duster. Mad town will see a few flurries.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is some significant model spread.  The Euro is north and is the best for MSP.  The Canadian is south and is best for Iowa.  I even get heavy snow from the Canadian.  Other models are in between, but the trend is to drift it south a bit.  The latest UK now has the best snow from northern Iowa into southern Wisconsin.

  • Thanks 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

No point in discussing, unless you're in MN/WI/MI.

i think we get a brief period of daytime WAA snows before the flip to drizzle, gonna be a top 10 event of the winter

  • Haha 2
  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
i think we get a brief period of daytime WAA snows before the flip to drizzle, gonna be a top 10 event of the winter
Sometimes the WAA wing in these setups can produce a short period of nice rates.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
31 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Sometimes the WAA wing in these setups can produce a short period of nice rates.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

agree, euro playing ball now as well

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Not only did the Euro trend south with this one, but also for the big dog next week.  

While the CMC and and GFS trended it clean out of existence

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

While the CMC and and GFS trended it clean out of existence

easy toss on those two. We are clearly in a pattern where storms should be on the models 5 days out. The fade does not occur until within 36 hrs. 

  • Haha 2
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Baum said:

easy toss on those two. We are clearly in a pattern where storms should be on the models 5 days out. The fade does not occur until within 36 hrs. 

This is so true it hurts. 

Locked in for 6" at 18 hours? Think again! Here comes .9"

  • Sad 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not expecting a whole lot of accumulation this far south but this kind of setup does look good for a quick mini thump before thermal profiles become hostile.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This clipper will ride the polar jet. Not much room for amplification but some localized areas might score some decent amounts. 

We'll get more clarity once the current storm moves out of the region. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

GFS with a very solid hit for N IA through S WI. Even Rockford gets 3-4” on this run.  But it’s the GFS 72 hours out so who knows 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

First and final call 1.0"

The only problem with that call is that you have a full inch

There are elements to this one the scream spread the wealth. Warm air advection over a cold snow pack. That being the main one. However there’s not much wealth for spreading. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.