Jump to content

Frog Town

Members
  • Content count

    122
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About Frog Town

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTOL
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Toledo

Recent Profile Visitors

696 profile views
  1. Frog Town

    April 10-12 Winter Storm

    Wow! Some epic output 12Z runs on many models for the lower great lakes.
  2. Frog Town

    April 10-12 Winter Storm

    How apropos....... this "Winter" season will be book ended by two epic off season Blizzards......possibly.
  3. Frog Town

    3/3-3/5 IL/IN/OH Snow Potential

    Has the energy been fully sampled? Is it possible this could be a stronger system?
  4. Frog Town

    February 2019 Discussion

    Same with Toledo.
  5. Frog Town

    February 17th, 2019 Snow Event

    Smelt it dealt it.
  6. Frog Town

    February 2019 Discussion

    Well, DTX pretty much sums it up for much of the sub forum......talk about a rock and hard spot, lol.
  7. Frog Town

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Well, DTX pretty much much sums it up for much of the sub forum......talk about a rock and hard spot, lol. Relentless pattern of anticyclonic wave breaking over the NPAC & CWB over the NATL domain will continue for the duration of the extended period courtesy of a retracted Pacific jet and active STJ extending across the USA. This will, at least, result in stagnation of the current pattern but will more likely favor some degree of longwave amplification accompanied by a tendency for retrogression of the mean storm track when energy occasionally ejects from the western US trough. The forecast is therefore one that migrates toward increasingly mild outcomes with time. The best chances for snow will require suppression from the polar jet which will in turn limit amplification potential and subsequent impact potential while deeper cyclones will be far more likely to track west of the area and bring snow-mix-ra transitions. The first manifestations of this tendency are Sunday`s suppressed low-impact snow potential (discussed above) followed by 12z NWP depictions of a warmer STJ-influenced system lifting west of the CWA mid-week next week.
  8. Frog Town

    February 2019 Discussion

    Well, DTX pretty much much sums it up for much of the sub forum......talk about a rock and hard spot, lol. Relentless pattern of anticyclonic wave breaking over the NPAC & CWB over the NATL domain will continue for the duration of the extended period courtesy of a retracted Pacific jet and active STJ extending across the USA. This will, at least, result in stagnation of the current pattern but will more likely favor some degree of longwave amplification accompanied by a tendency for retrogression of the mean storm track when energy occasionally ejects from the western US trough. The forecast is therefore one that migrates toward increasingly mild outcomes with time. The best chances for snow will require suppression from the polar jet which will in turn limit amplification potential and subsequent impact potential while deeper cyclones will be far more likely to track west of the area and bring snow-mix-ra transitions. The first manifestations of this tendency are Sunday`s suppressed low-impact snow potential (discussed above) followed by 12z NWP depictions of a warmer STJ-influenced system lifting west of the CWA mid-week next week.
  9. Frog Town

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I know the models are not eye candy right now, but anyone in the southern great lakes is sitting pretty right now pattern wise, going into March.
  10. Frog Town

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    Are you surprised they didn't upgrade Fulton and Williams just to your south? They also seem to be in same axis as you and the Lenawee and Monroe
  11. Frog Town

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    Anyone notice what the 06 3K nam did with a secondary low coming up through Ohio Tuesday? Or is that just the low re-positioning itself? Weird.
  12. Frog Town

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    Thank you for your insight into this.
  13. Frog Town

    February 14th-16th Winter Storm Threat

    I remember as a kid in Toledo watching it down poor rain for hours and then all of a sudden, in the middle of the night, it switched to snow and we picked up 10". I don't remember what the actual storm did, but i'm guessing it was a situation similar to what this one could do. Pulls cold air in as it strengthens going by to one's south. I'm not foretasted to be in that area, but with some changes occurring with other telleconnections suggest this one may trend south as we progress through the week. We shall see!
  14. Frog Town

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    Is the nam to be taken seriously in NW OH/SE MI? I know a lot of that is freezing rain/sleet but something else is going on now, 3 runs in a row.
  15. Frog Town

    Winter Storm - February 11-13, 2019

    So do we ignore the 00Z nam or what. Seem's like a game changer to me. At least as far as the hi-res american models go.
×