• Member Statistics

    16,025
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Wxman3441
    Newest Member
    Wxman3441
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
dryslot

New Year Storm Thread 12/29-01/01

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

 

 

isn't the vast majority of any QPF from Monday 6z to Tuesday 0z  (i.e there isn't much to part 2 on most guidance)

The second part has been weaker/warmer on the models today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Really not impresssed with FRZR potential  or Snow in eastern Areas of New England.  Maybe a sliver of extreme NE mass and SE NH can cash in more snow but it looks like a sleet fest with primary FRZR threat in Western SNE N of CT

  • Confused 1
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Really not impresssed with FRZR potential  or Snow in eastern Areas of New England.  Maybe a sliver of extreme NE mass and SE NH can cash in more snow but it looks like a sleet fest with primary FRZR threat in Western SNE N of CT

Glad you don’t forecast .

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
38 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No doubt big ice is disruptive to life. I just don’t fear it like I used to. Mainly because I’m well prepared for it nowadays. 

As a weenie, ice storms are fascinating, especially monster ones like 1998.  As a forester, there's no wx phenomenon more to be feared, unless Maine were to be hit by a cat 2 or stronger 'cane that maintains at least cat 1 until well inland.

Those clown maps posted above show nothing reaching my area by 00z Tuesday - what's 2/3 of zero?  (GFS has been showing a good hit, fwiw.)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying. The only hiccup is the sleet, which sucks. Hopefully the ml warming takes care of that

  • Haha 2
  • Weenie 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said:

Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying. The only hiccup is the sleet, which sucks. Hopefully the ml warming takes care of that

What's the deal with the cutter?  Are you CG or is that a reference to your storm hopes?

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

Perfect winter event on the table. lots of rain for the coast, hopefully zr and long duration power outijs for interior SNE. Cherry on top is hearing rain to Maine , just makes it that much more satisfying.

 

FU.gif

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 3
  • Weenie 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Anyone else annoyed by this event?

I actually kind of hate it right now.  
 

Lmao...it’s probably gonna be a flop(Rain) for most in SNE.  You and a few others In NE/NW SNE actually have probably one of the best chances currently of scoring a lot of frozen. The vast majority of us will probably just rain.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not much precip at all for NNE on that 00z NAM.  Don't want it if it isn't going to be snow.

Might make sense with that high building in and the low levels have some dry air advecting in from here to Dryslot.

qpf_acc.us_ne.thumb.png.9a7095ff36a49129a8563f738b564300.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Wouldnt it be interesting if the models just started converting this more and more to a coastal as we get into near terms

I’d take that in a hot second Tippy. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:


wow that’s headed for quite the protracted event in that NAM solution. 84 hrs the ice/sleet converts to a coastal just getting going

Models have slowed the development of the secondary the last several runs which allows the block and high to retreat.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Models have slowed the development of the secondary the last several runs which allows the block and high to retreat.

That’s not what’s happening in that solution tho. No high retreat - in fact its stall is partial in why that secondary is getting pinned s of LI

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.