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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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Saturday STJ wave is the most interesting looking one I've seen this year so far (that's not saying much). The 12z NAM at 84 hours has this system much more cutoff over the southwest. The thicknesses are supportive of snow/rain. Only issue could be the boundary layer conditions being too warm.If we could trend this a bit strong aloft/more cutoff, it would manufacture some cold air. Something to watch.

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11 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

Saturday STJ wave is the most interesting looking one I've seen this year so far (that's not saying much). The 12z NAM at 84 hours has this system much more cutoff over the southwest. The thicknesses are supportive of snow/rain. Only issue could be the boundary layer conditions being too warm.If we could trend this a bit strong aloft/more cutoff, it would manufacture some cold air. Something to watch.

:D:snowing: I hope!

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3 hours ago, eyewall said:

I stand by my call that RDU zeros out this winter.

When was the last time that happened?

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Hey btw, Pivotal Weather now has UKmet maps... surface and upper air.  I'm sure the free days are numbered... but maybe not?  

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Here's Pivotal Weather's UKmet sounding for Saturday over GSO with total QPF of around 0.4"... so very close.  This kills me.  

ukmet_2020012712_114_36.04--79.78.png

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1 hour ago, SteveRDU said:

When was the last time that happened?

I have been trying to find a comprehensive list of past seasons but I know it has happened on multiple occasions.

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16 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said:

Ensembles continue to target between the 7th-10th, couple of juicers in there too

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

How many 10 day out storms have verified this year?  This will be gone by thursday and, I'd be willing to bet a sizable amount of money.

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Credit: WFMY 2.  This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow.  How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. 

62EF96EE-D681-4BBB-A2E5-831F7D23E248.jpeg

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15 minutes ago, jjwxman said:

Credit: WFMY 2.  This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow.  How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. 

62EF96EE-D681-4BBB-A2E5-831F7D23E248.jpeg

2nd or 3rd place may be in jeopardy

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41 minutes ago, UpstateSCGamecock said:


We know the faults of the GFS but it’s shown this storm signal for this date multiple times. Can we finally score?


.

 

1 hour ago, JoshM said:

At least this fantasy storm is at hour 240 :weenie:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_40.png

well here we go with the 10 days out thing again. why couldn't this be showing for this Friday and Saturday? :axe:

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31 minutes ago, Isopycnic said:

 

90BCF359-F148-49D0-9651-51DCB171BF1A.jpeg

We've had a TRACE this year?  Must have missed that. 

Guess I didn't chase the trace.

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7 hours ago, eyewall said:

2nd or 3rd place may be in jeopardy

 

8 hours ago, jjwxman said:

Credit: WFMY 2.  This is for the GSO reporting location, we move into 5th place tomorrow.  How in the heck did we survive the early 90’s... geez. 

62EF96EE-D681-4BBB-A2E5-831F7D23E248.jpeg

Not sure I'm buying #1.

TW

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47 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

There have been many ,many runs of the gfs with a storm around this time(6/7th) 

Thats is the best look yet!

trouble is where will the cold air come from, that's been the problem all winter.

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1 hour ago, CaryWx said:

We've had a TRACE this year?  Must have missed that. 

Guess I didn't chase the trace.

November 12th. Rain/snow line was right over RDU. 

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The odds continue to increase for a snowless winter for most of the southeast. I would put the odds of a trace or less of snow for Charlotte, GSP, Raleigh and GSO at 70%. 

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Just now, mackerel_sky said:

Verbatim, temps are in the mid 20s over the upstate and CLT, while we are getting plastered with snow!

 

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

Verbatim, temps are in the mid 20s over the upstate and CLT, while we are getting plastered with snow!

what date are you referring to ?

 

 

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