STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Anyone have a Boxing Day accumulation map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Hey neighbor...plainville here. Hoping for the same. Up at about 500 ft. Not sure if that will play a role on all snow..or some mixing, but, for Defember first.. I'll take it for sure! Oh absolutely. Lots of precip seems to be in the cards for us...we take. Fun tracking and exciting times for us this weekend. Enjoy pal. And A lil elevation never hurts too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 40 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z Euro ticked nw and warmer: Well.. For where I am about 18 miles west of Hartford.. The amounts for what I will see is almost exactly the same 12-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Thank goodness for folks out here that the WAA frontogenesis in part one of this system looks far more robust than Boxing day ever was, where many picked up less than 3" total. Almost like we get a SWFE to start and then we'll take any bonus we get from mid level magic thereafter, along with the caution flags associated with downsloping and banding that we're used to in the valley. Give us the relatively high floor, evenly distributed, and the usual favored spots for dynamic systems can do their thing after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: Well.. For where I am about 18 miles west of Hartford.. The amounts for what I will see is almost exactly the same 12-14" Ya..I like our spot on all guidance currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: He's lurking in the weeds waiting for the token uber amped euro run that jackpots him to Hermiker NY. There were some decent little mid-level changes later on in the system there on the EURO and UKMET. I liked the banding getting further NW on the second round. Certainly don’t need to jack, just drop 4-8” while SNE gets 18” and call it a day. I doubt the Euro’s 0.87” QPF works out but the UKMET almost had 1.0” at MPV, so not out to lunch. The entire SNE crowd does not want to see me and Dryslot start posting more frequently though lol. This is about the time frame we started seeing some model swings with the other storms...after days of consistency so we’ll see if it takes us anywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Honestly, best of both worlds right on that EURO run? SNE gets smoked with the WAA and then mid-level magic for the deeper interior on the second half.... while Weymouth gets absolutely destroyed in CJ magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Honestly, best of both worlds right on that EURO run? SNE gets smoked with the WAA and then mid-level magic for the deeper interior on the second half.... while Weymouth gets absolutely destroyed in CJ magic. Ea Euro Ensemble run has been ticking up on the QPF as more members are coming on further NNW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Anyone have a Boxing Day accumulation map 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Honestly, best of both worlds right on that EURO run? SNE gets smoked with the WAA and then mid-level magic for the deeper interior on the second half.... while Weymouth gets absolutely destroyed in CJ magic. And Merrimack valley sees dimsun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Eps? 1-3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Multiple grains of salt. 11 right on the CT coast! I hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: 1-3 inches a lot of NW members? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Havent been following closely the past few days but already afraid to look at soundings and fear how this story plays out. even if models show 925/850/700 0c line near or south of any given point, there will inevitably be a warmer layer in there ripping north quicker and farther N than anticipated to muck everything up and when that happens, its basically over for the waa part. then we are relying on the wcb ml banding to make up for the sneaky changeover that happened sooner than predicted. I'm not saying it is time to panic in much of SNE, but it is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: And Merrimack valley sees dimsun That map is excluding the front end precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That map is excluding the front end precip. we know still that is an abortion for that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2019 Author Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: we know still that is an abortion for that area Yes, I don't veiw this as a blockbuster with the secondary tucking in so tightly. Great storm, nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: we know still that is an abortion for that area Meh. The ASH area is in one of the best spots for front end. Gonna be hard to jack in both parts of the storm. This is an incredible event for this early in the season so unless someone really gets raked over the coals in an epic subsidence zone and gets like 3" for the entire event...then they aren't getting my empathy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Euro gives us a pause but we'll see if it continues tonight. Not like we really have to wait long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Here's what I'm thinking 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Meh. The ASH area is in one of the best spots for front end. Gonna be hard to jack in both parts of the storm. This is an incredible event for this early in the season so unless someone really gets raked over the coals in an epic subsidence zone and gets like 3" for the entire event...then they aren't getting my empathy. I don't want empathy Just a Continued disco in here that isn't afraid to say wether the shafted areas on models via coastal look to have increasing confidence or not and what needs to be watched 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 NAM a tad north so far compared to 12z GFS same timeframe . High a bit weaker so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: He's lurking in the weeds waiting for the token uber amped euro run that jackpots him to Hermiker NY. The current Euro run was like a weenie dream for ENY. Lock it in. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don't want empathy Just a Continued disco in here that isn't afraid to say wether the shafted areas on models via coastal look to have increasing confidence or not and what needs to be watched The stuff Monday afternoon/night is definitely favored to be better further west. It's looked that way for a few runs now. But eastern spots will probably get in on it late Monday night and early Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Here's what I'm thinking I personally think the 5"-10" zone you have may be slightly further southeast than you have it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 32 minutes ago, powderfreak said: There were some decent little mid-level changes later on in the system there on the EURO and UKMET. I liked the banding getting further NW on the second round. Certainly don’t need to jack, just drop 4-8” while SNE gets 18” and call it a day. I doubt the Euro’s 0.87” QPF works out but the UKMET almost had 1.0” at MPV, so not out to lunch. The entire SNE crowd does not want to see me and Dryslot start posting more frequently though lol. This is about the time frame we started seeing some model swings with the other storms...after days of consistency so we’ll see if it takes us anywhere. I always worry about QPF a little at this range. The area of 1"+ rarely ever ends up being as widespread as modeling thinks. I get especially skeptical when the QPF starts tickling 2" over large areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 NAM through 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, Greg said: I personally think the 5"-10" zone you have may be slightly further southeast than you have it here. Ya..I thought the exact same thing. I’d put the 5-10 inches in the entire 84 corridor.. seems safe bet currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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