NYCweatherNOW

SnoSki14 Posted November 13, 2018 I'm going to enjoy my 20 minutes of sleet before it turns to a cold rain. Honestly I'm just happy the pattern is so active. November will be well AN Precip wise , it already is. qg_omega Posted November 13, 2018 On 11/13/2018 at 10:15 AM, Snowlover11 said: while im not expecting anything great seeing flakes in the air will be nice to see. I think we can pull off a coating to 2 inches at the start before going to sleet/rain Merry

This is a 4-6 inch snowfall to sleet for five minutes and some rain at the tail end.

We’ve been through this a million times you’re not a rookie gfs is horrible. The only thing GfS seems to be decent is the track

Fyp

It’s the same crap it’s thermals are terrible so take it with a grain of salt, the best model for thermals is the nam but it’s not in range

There’s still plenty of time. I’d like to believe the cmc is the best case scenario barely any rain. Still plenty of time... btw weatherpruf dan76 you’re being ignored cause your analysis in my opinion is the analysis of a 4 year old.

We go through this every time and snow overperforms and it ends as some light rain and drizzle I’m willing to actually take bets now

There’s no sleet with this system there’ll be snow and rain that’s it I don’t care what the models show I don’t think there’ll be sleet maybe for five minutes as snow is transitioning to rain

There’s never any sleet with these systems maybe for five minutes. It’s either snow to freezing rain or snow to rain and two minutes of sleet

Same crap. Clown maps have actually more frozen for the city

Eps 18z for the bigger event?

I don’t think that’s true, imo this will be mostly a snow event... than once the main slug of moisture goes in the water, the coastal takes over and moves out quickly like the navgem depicts...it may end as some rain or sleet shower and/or drizzle

Although the gfs FV3 18z a.k.a gfs para show heavy rain at the end of the system, it also shows some incredible snow rates for the whole region the first 6-7 hours of snow. I would think these rates could accumulate 4/inches an hr. Take a look below...

The question was who called for 70? I know now it was you and it’s fair at least you answered. The pattern setting up, I don’t think I’ve ever seen a better outlook for the next month at least! have fun with the snow and the tracking of course!

Who called for 70 tomorrow? Looks like we won’t even hit more than 64 somewhere in Staten Island of Newark. but New York City should top at 59. Other city areas like Staten Island briefly could hit 64 than to freezing tomorrow night.