Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Violent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 up to a balmy 22.8f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 I could never shoot anything but I’d be foolish and a hypocrite not to understand the necessity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 I think the key is to either rid or devote to one of those in that double wave structure of that L/W migration through the E late in the mid/ext range. This isn't an issue in the GGEM or the Euro or the GFS ... it's endemic to all of them. And there's a small bit of destructive wave interference there.. If either becomes dominant, would be better for storm enthusiasts. Either way, the profile has cooled again ... that encouraging. At mere fractions but you can see that latter of the two systems is now cold enough to blue-job the region...albeit the low has deepened slightly too far E in the GFS - a distinction hardly worth concerning over at D7/8 range. There's something to definitely watch in there. There is a presentation of it in some form or the other in most of the ensemble members of these model types. It's also timed well with this run-around MJO phased 8-1-2 that's been in the progs in all guidance envelopes for days. It's interesting how that is the case, and in the last two days or so, the lost -EPO is transitioning into more of a +PNA look - I think someone mentioned that earlier? I'm just not sure a moderate strength MJO is actually forcing "as much" as it would in DJFM ..because of the Hadley Cell expansion issue. If that's relaxed though, leverage away. Be that as it may, the +PNAP structure is there regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I could never shoot anything but I’d be foolish and a hypocrite not to understand the necessity Take away the provisional access eases of this bubble-illusion of security, post Industrial Revolution, and you'll change your mind real, real quick. Right around day three of having eaten lawn grass - But I appreciate your seeing the hypocrisy of the latter, too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Pretty interesting how much the euro and the GFS differ on the PAC side of things...pretty solid agreement regarding the configuration of the ATL. At least there is a window to get something potentially decent (actually perhaps two opportunities). What scares me with the Euro is if we miss out on a storm potential we're just going to get nailed with cold straight out of the Arctic or even Siberian origin :x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ve killed 3 deer by car the past two years commuting to and from work. I’m not a hunter but I kinda feel like one behind the wheel. I've killed 3 with vehicles this time of year. #1 was 11/12/96 just south of MHT as I was taking 4 HHS students back to school in Dublin, NH. Had my foot on the way toward the brake (light ahead turned yellow) when deer!-thud-gone, in no more time than it takes to read those 3 words. Small deer, probably that spring's fawn, yet $2,900 damage to our Subaru. No doubt dead but 150 miles from home, pitch dark and water running everywhere from the morning's SE gale/deluge. #2 came on a late October Sunday morning (Maine firearms season opening the following Saturday) in 2008 when a 6-8 pt buck rammed the side of our Outback at speed, $1,900 this time. Neighbor with scanner called the police and got permission to look for it, found it dead about 500' from point of impact. #3 was 6 years later and maybe 2 miles south of #2 on the same road, evening of last Sunday in November, day after the firearms season closed. Doe popped out in front, I slowed to about 15 but hit broadside, shattering the plastic grill into dozens of shards - $1,600 this go-round. Pickup was drivable and the deer ran into the woods. The State trooper who came to the house (no cell, so had to call from home) said I could have the critter if I could find it, so I went back the next morning. Easy to track in 4-5" SN left from the 13" dump 4 days earlier, found a nice doe with small velvet-covered antlers about 500' from the road. Pprobably ended up with 90% of the meat, the rest being bloodshot (impact damage) and discarded by the butcher. Even with our collision insurance, the deductible made it the most costly deer meat ever to reach our freezer. (Note: That's the 3rd hairy-horned doe I've seen. Shot one on T18R12 NW of Allagash Village in 1982 - gamiest deer we've eaten, though the 2014 roadkill tasted just fine - and in 1983 a co-worker bagged one about 15 miles SW from where mine fell.) Still blowing hard in Augusta, struggling to get much past 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2019 Author Share Posted November 13, 2019 Logan thermometer... my house is 26, Logan is NOT 33 with land breezes. BVY 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Logan thermometer... my house is 26, Logan is NOT 33 with land breezes Looks a few high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks a few high. 34 now. LOLOLOLOLOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Pretty interesting how much the euro and the GFS differ on the PAC side of things...pretty solid agreement regarding the configuration of the ATL. At least there is a window to get something potentially decent (actually perhaps two opportunities). What scares me with the Euro is if we miss out on a storm potential we're just going to get nailed with cold straight out of the Arctic or even Siberian origin :x To me, it is more amazing the agreement. I remember in HS and college in the 90's looking at the crude PSC images for the EC, MRF/AVN/GFS etc. and you'd be lucky to see agreement like that D3 or D5. Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: 34 now. LOLOLOLOLOL Probably really 33F because of rounding, but yeah...lol. BVY 30F and GHG 32F. Probably a legit 34F at OWD too with a half hour of +1C obs. So the usual suspects look overly warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Wizzy analyzing 00z d8-10 means as the 12z euro is half rolled out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Probably really 33F because of rounding, but yeah...lol. BVY 30F and GHG 32F. Probably a legit 34F at OWD too with a half hour of +1C obs. So the usual suspects look overly warm. BOX acknowledged OWD and BED too. But their hands are tied. This is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: BOX acknowledged OWD and BED too. But their hands are tied. This is ridiculous. What about LWM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hope they all survive without a wound. Odds are 50% 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Violent Generally its quite sudden, Just like overtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: To me, it is more amazing the agreement. I remember in HS and college in the 90's looking at the crude PSC images for the EC, MRF/AVN/GFS etc. and you'd be lucky to see agreement like that D3 or D5. Heh The 90's? This explains alot................ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: BOX acknowledged OWD and BED too. But their hands are tied. This is ridiculous. BED actually looks decent today. Maybe the good mixing is helping whatever issue they have. I wish the climo sites had a 2nd or even 3rd temp sensor to be used for backup and error triggering algorithms. Get more than a 1F or 1C different in the 2 and start chucking the $'s in the METARs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Probably really 33F because of rounding, but yeah...lol. BVY 30F and GHG 32F. Probably a legit 34F at OWD too with a half hour of +1C obs. So the usual suspects look overly warm. 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: BOX acknowledged OWD and BED too. But their hands are tied. This is ridiculous. How common is this around the country.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: What about LWM? LWM looks fixed to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: BED actually looks decent today. Maybe the good mixing is helping whatever issue they have. I wish the climo sites had a 2nd or even 3rd temp sensor to be used for backup and error triggering algorithms. Get more than a 1F or 1C different in the 2 and start chucking the $'s in the METARs. Apparently Logan Asos checked out so it must be a siting issue around the Asos station and not the instrumentation itself? Not sure what would it be...maybe they called up Stowe to install a heated sidewalk to the fence there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Apparently Logan Asos checked out so it must be a siting issue around the Asos station and not the instrumentation itself? Not sure what would it be...maybe they called up Stowe to install a heated sidewalk to the fence there. Yeah true...probably more black mulch around the ASOS for easy maintenance purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Yeah true...probably more black mulch around the ASOS for easy maintenance purposes. Could someone reach that spot and add white mulch. A weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: LWM looks fixed to me. I'm not so sure about that. Seems to be still running on the "warm" side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Hope they all survive without a wound. i was driving on the parkway this weekend and the car next to me annihilated one. the antlers spun through the air and dinged my windshield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 18 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: To me, it is more amazing the agreement. I remember in HS and college in the 90's looking at the crude PSC images for the EC, MRF/AVN/GFS etc. and you'd be lucky to see agreement like that D3 or D5. Heh Yeah that agreement is pretty solid. Even though there are those differences in the eastern PAC/western US...not sure it would really amount to significant differences...either way it's a solid look 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Wizzy analyzing 00z d8-10 means as the 12z euro is half rolled out. but not fully out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I'm not so sure about that. Seems to be still running on the "warm" side. Last I checked it was ok on the MADIS site. Also, anecdotally it doesn't have the noticeable warm bias it had over a year ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Record low maxes today: BOS: 36F (1874) ORH 32F (2013) BDL: 33F (1911) PVD: 37F (1911) CON: 30F (1894) PWM: 33F (1990) BTV: 28F (1916) Hard to see any of these standing up....even the BOS battle of ** vs Oxen of yore Do you have the link for this type of information for different reporting sites? Can't seem to find one anywhere. TYIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i was driving on the parkway this weekend and the car next to me annihilated one. the antlers spun through the air and dinged my windshield Something like this? The slow-motion version is sad.....but somehow funny in spite of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 13, 2019 Share Posted November 13, 2019 From Eric Fisher From a temperature standpoint alone, the 2010s gave us: Hottest year, 2nd hottest, 3rd hottest, 8th hottest, 9th hottest. Hottest spring. Hottest summer. Hottest fall. Hottest winter. Hottest month. Hottest every month except Jan, Mar, and June in fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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