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NorEastermass128

February 2019 Discussion I

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25 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’ve been checked out since day 1. I was hoping for a low precip season, and instead it’s been way above normal. No one wants to hear about my coop drainage issues again though. :lol:

But yeah, I’m fine with some snow, but I could do without the crap events and 1-3” from every cutter. I fell on my driveway Friday and totally oliterated a bird feeder in the fall. When the driveway builds up as much ice as Lake Winni that’s usually when I start pulling my hair out.

I glanced at the GFS and wondered to myself how much w.e. can a snowpack actually hold?  3-5" of glacier here now, 4"+ coming tomorrow night and then a cutter or two currently modeled with arctic intrusions in between.  I won't see my shaded areas until May if we really build an ice pack but sounds like you NNE folks are already there.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I'm sure enough people are about ready to give the NAO the finger....but there's also been a steady trend the last 24+ hours to hold the big PV vortex that swings through our region this week over northeastern Labrador/N of New Foundland instead of slingshotting it back into Baffin Island region....so what it does by getting stalled south like that is suck the ridging near Iceland back across Greenland and even into the Davis strait and that is a pattern that will tend to press any cold-loaded airmasses in Canada east and southeast rather than allowing warm air advection to overcome the southern periphery. 

Essentially, we're getting some weak, but impactful NAO ridging next week. 

I wish I could pass on that. I'm done with anything other than a major snowfall, at this point.

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7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wish I could pass on that. I'm done with anything other than a major snowfall, at this point.

A horrible winter was bound to happen eventually. I'm rooting for 50s & 60s now. 

Get that subzero crap outta here. 

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Wasnt 2001-02 a winter that many Mets said would be cold and snowy or was it only jb?

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Finally some light at the end of the tunnel. Some coastal storms finally showing up in the LR it's better than them showing just more and more cutters. I have to imagine that at least one of these are going to materialize. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_52.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_52.png

 

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_42.png

 

 

 

 

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31 minutes ago, Ji said:

Wasnt 2001-02 a winter that many Mets said would be cold and snowy or was it only jb?

I’m sure you remember DT’s forecast. lol

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7 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Weeklies cancel February but it has been shaky

Well maybe now that they cancel it...maybe this is when it starts to work out???  Cuz they’ve sucked royally the last couple months!

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Well maybe now that they cancel it...maybe this is when it starts to work out???  Cuz they’ve sucked royally the last couple months!

I swear that’s what I was going to say.

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2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wish I could pass on that. I'm done with anything other than a major snowfall, at this point.

6"+ or pass.  

Looking ahead into the 1st week of February, for this area, I'm not optimistic about the prospects of this happening

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Well maybe now that they cancel it...maybe this is when it starts to work out???  Cuz they’ve sucked royally the last couple months!

Nvm they arent bad

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27 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Nvm they arent bad

Weeklies aren’t. Very nina like. Cold Candan and Plains. They try for a -NAO but I will believe it when I see it.

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If we can accomplish some Davis straight blocking i will be on board for a decent pattern . Till then it’s so so and Certainly not what i would call “good”. Not torch either . 

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25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

On the GFS 15 Dendrite doesn't sniff non frozen precip. That's a sweet run

18z gefs is probably the best h5 look inside of 15 days I've seen this entire winter. Whether it's a total blip or the beginning of a long awaited move towards a better upper level pattern is tbd. I'll take the under but I'm not mad at the run. 

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1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

18z gefs is probably the best h5 look inside of 15 days I've seen this entire winter. Whether it's a total blip or the beginning of a long awaited move towards a better upper level pattern is tbd. I'll take the under but I'm not mad at the run. 

Lol been a battle but, we're still here.

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Gonna be in the NEK Sunday-Tuesday next week. Particularly Jay Peak Monday. Hope I'm not dodging raindrops. Starting to trend better.

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56 minutes ago, Zand said:

Gonna be in the NEK Sunday-Tuesday next week. Particularly Jay Peak Monday. Hope I'm not dodging raindrops. Starting to trend better.

Tough to rain at Jay or Sugarloaf at peak winter climo, maybe it continues to trend that way but I doubt it.

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18 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Tough to rain at Jay or Sugarloaf at peak winter climo, maybe it continues to trend that way but I doubt it.

This season rain is easy bro

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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Couple of toasty days to start the week next week on the euro.

Looks like we be mild for a couple of days and then a gradual shift colder. Looks active.

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11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like we be mild for a couple of days and then a gradual shift colder. Looks active.

Does the end of the week/ weekend still have that overrunning/ice look to you?

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Does the end of the week/ weekend still have that overrunning/ice look to you?

Looks warm right now early next week. Perhaps mid week and beyond could be overrunning, but that starts to get beyond the range of any accuracy. I suppose things could change, but plan on some warmth I think. Even up north.

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12 hours ago, leo2000 said:

Finally some light at the end of the tunnel. Some coastal storms finally showing up in the LR it's better than them showing just more and more cutters. I have to imagine that at least one of these are going to materialize. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_52.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_52.png

 

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_42.png

 

 

 

 

I wouldn’t imagine anything at this point lol

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