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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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25 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Hey guys. Here's my updated snowfall totals. After getting up at 315am this morning, I'm dog tired and will not be doing a long post this go around. We all know what's been transpiring in terms of model guidance. I think I'm still hedging conservative in spots, but this is my final call for the storm. Now, here's a great storm for everyone in here. Enjoy!! I'll be watching from the sidelines in the Lone Star state.

Snowfall Forecast by Zone:

Zone 1: Havre de Grace: 1-4"

Bel Air: 2-5"

Baltimore County Hereford Zone: 3-6"

Timonium/Towson/Western Baltimore County: 3-7"

Eastern Baltimore County: 3-6"

Baltimore City: 3-6"

Northern Carroll: 4-9" with local highest along Parr's 
Ridge (Manchester/Westminster/Hampstead/Mt Airy)

Southern Carroll: 4-8"

Howard County: 4-8"

Eastern Frederick County: 3-7"

Northwest MoCo: 4-8"

Zone 2: East of Bay including all MD/DE counties: 4-10" with 
highest totals across interior areas including 
Easton/Kent Co/Interior Sussex Co. 3-7" along the 
Atlantic shore

AA County: 5-10" with max to the south

South-Central MD counties, including PG Co: 5-11"

Central and Southern MoCo: 5-10"

NW DC: 5-10"

SE DC: 6-12"

Center City DC: 4-9"

NoVa: 6-12"

Frederick County: 4-10" with highest in Western Fdk Co 
and along South Mountain/Catoctins

BWI: 5-10"

IAD: 5-10"

DCA: 4-8"

Zone 3: Valley Areas with elevation below 1200': 5-10"

Appalachians and Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
1200-2400': 8-14"

Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
2400': 10-16"

Zone 4: Shenandoah Valley areas: 7-12"

Central Va: 8-13" with highest to the east

Southern MD: 6-12"

SBY to OC: 4-9"

Richmond and Areas south of Dashed Line: 2-8" with 
highest to northwest of Richmond. Mixing issues 
possible south of dashed line.

 

173015344_SnowfallZoneForecast1_11-13_19.thumb.PNG.050d46708328108a216c7bd46ededf6f.PNG

If you wind up being right N.Frederick Co at the Catoctins is in for a rude awakening. I'm in Emmitsburg and no one I've talked to is expecting more than an inch. Accufail is even saying maybe 1-2. 

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5 minutes ago, Beachin said:

Icon looks great little more improved for us up north. LWX doesn't match MT holly at all for harford and cecil. Wsw needed up here too.

ICON brings 0.75" to my yard and 0.5"+ well into PA. The whole northern crowd is going to love this run.

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