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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast


Bob Chill
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25 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Hey guys. Here's my updated snowfall totals. After getting up at 315am this morning, I'm dog tired and will not be doing a long post this go around. We all know what's been transpiring in terms of model guidance. I think I'm still hedging conservative in spots, but this is my final call for the storm. Now, here's a great storm for everyone in here. Enjoy!! I'll be watching from the sidelines in the Lone Star state.

Snowfall Forecast by Zone:

Zone 1: Havre de Grace: 1-4"

Bel Air: 2-5"

Baltimore County Hereford Zone: 3-6"

Timonium/Towson/Western Baltimore County: 3-7"

Eastern Baltimore County: 3-6"

Baltimore City: 3-6"

Northern Carroll: 4-9" with local highest along Parr's 
Ridge (Manchester/Westminster/Hampstead/Mt Airy)

Southern Carroll: 4-8"

Howard County: 4-8"

Eastern Frederick County: 3-7"

Northwest MoCo: 4-8"

Zone 2: East of Bay including all MD/DE counties: 4-10" with 
highest totals across interior areas including 
Easton/Kent Co/Interior Sussex Co. 3-7" along the 
Atlantic shore

AA County: 5-10" with max to the south

South-Central MD counties, including PG Co: 5-11"

Central and Southern MoCo: 5-10"

NW DC: 5-10"

SE DC: 6-12"

Center City DC: 4-9"

NoVa: 6-12"

Frederick County: 4-10" with highest in Western Fdk Co 
and along South Mountain/Catoctins

BWI: 5-10"

IAD: 5-10"

DCA: 4-8"

Zone 3: Valley Areas with elevation below 1200': 5-10"

Appalachians and Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
1200-2400': 8-14"

Blue Ridge/Allegheny with elevation above 
2400': 10-16"

Zone 4: Shenandoah Valley areas: 7-12"

Central Va: 8-13" with highest to the east

Southern MD: 6-12"

SBY to OC: 4-9"

Richmond and Areas south of Dashed Line: 2-8" with 
highest to northwest of Richmond. Mixing issues 
possible south of dashed line.

 

173015344_SnowfallZoneForecast1_11-13_19.thumb.PNG.050d46708328108a216c7bd46ededf6f.PNG

If you wind up being right N.Frederick Co at the Catoctins is in for a rude awakening. I'm in Emmitsburg and no one I've talked to is expecting more than an inch. Accufail is even saying maybe 1-2. 

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