psuhoffman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 13 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Was comparing the Euro and Ukmet snow maps when I realized something. There is very little difference on the Euros 10:1 and snow depth maps. So evidently it's algorithm is accounting for sleet and freezing rain on its 10 to 1? It's flawed. I think it just uses the 10-1 then accounts for melting. But if I still have 2" of snowcover on Thanksgiving from this storm I will dive naked into it! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 WAA precip advance ftw... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 32 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m still retired. Not taking calls at this time. LOLz. Careful with that sickle! Pop that flamingo and it’s into a pool of piranhas for you mister. Meh. What do you care!? Are we in storm mode? I’ll excuse myself now so I can continue my dream of the Euro clown map coming to fruition. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 22 minutes ago, mappy said: not sure i can even picture what 10 inches of sleet looks like I think it was 07?, I had 7.5 inches of SLEET........packed in and laid on the ground a long, long time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: I think it was 07?, I had 7.5 inches of SLEET........packed in and laid on the ground a long, long time. feb 14 2007? i was still living in Salisbury then, so missed that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 8 minutes ago, mappy said: feb 14 2007? i was still living in Salisbury then, so missed that one. I grew up there a few blocks off Camden Ave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 40 minutes ago, mappy said: feb 14 2007? i was still living in Salisbury then, so missed that one. My bad, it was Feb '03. Yeah, it was wild. Called for 20 inches of snow, got almost the entire storm in sleet. EDIT: Old man memory disease lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: My bad, it was Feb '03. Yeah, it was wild. Called for 20 inches of snow, got almost the entire storm in sleet. EDIT: Old man memory disease lol. i missed that year too lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 18z 12km NAM still has the 2m freezing line running right through the District at noon Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3k Sounding below at onset near DC. About an hour faster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 18z 3k went a little colder in the mids than 12z. Step in the right direction at least... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 18z 3k went a little colder in the mids than 12z. Step in the right direction at least...High was in a slightly better position.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 18z 3k went a little colder in the mids than 12z. Step in the right direction at least... This is about as close as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 18z 3k went a little colder in the mids than 12z. Step in the right direction at least... Mesos taking a step towards the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Mesos taking a step towards the euro? I'd say so. It wasn't just a little colder clicking through the panels. It was a clear step towards the euro imho 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 hour ago, showmethesnow said: Was comparing the Euro and Ukmet snow maps when I realized something. There is very little difference on the Euros 10:1 and snow depth maps. So evidently it's algorithm is doing a good job on accounting for sleet and freezing rain on its 10 to 1? I figured it out. The wxbell snowdepth is mislabeled. It's actually liquid content of snowpack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 14, 2018 Author Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Got the WWA in Arlington. Perhaps the WAA will do some work on the front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Not that it means much, but ICON and RGEM have stepped up from their 12z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Shocked at the WWA for down here around Fredericksburg. Was expecting a Flood Watch honestly, we will see what happens. Its 40/19 so theres plenty of potential to wetbulb..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I think north of I-70 picks up a half inch ro inch on the backside. This is a sporty system and both the NAMs/EURO show it...hard to go against the old E/E Rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The rgem is a heck of a snow/sleet storm for I - 81 corridor. Frozen precip noticeably further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 GFS is 2 to 4 degrees cooler at the surface across the area compared to 12z. Nice trends for the 18z suite. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Whoa GFS. Happy hour has been kind 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 18z suite has been great start to finish. Aw yiss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Both GFS and RGEM have a heavier band move through central MD before changeover that rips as snow. Looks like maybe a 850mb frontogenesis band. That’s a big part of why they look better, combined with being slightly colder. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Heck yeah it has. Feeling pretty good right now. If this busts good that means you have to come back for every storm this winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Both GFS and RGEM have a heavier band move through central MD before changeover that rips as snow. Looks like maybe a 850mb frontogenesis band. That’s a big part of why they look better, combined with being slightly colder. Yea that would probably even put down some accumulations on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Was there an event in mid November 1995? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Was there an event in mid November 1995? Yes the laurels got 2' from that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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