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About showmethesnow

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  • Location:
    Hanover, PA

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  1. Rude shock walking outside after enjoying yesterdays temps. And did you see the snowstorm the 06Z GFS threw out there? _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Made you look didn't I?
  2. Thought this was an appropriate song for the winter we just dealt with. Not to mention how dead these boards have become. Guess wxwatcher007 did too good of a job of reaping. Besides I like it. https://www.bing.com/search?q=comfortably+numb+pink+floyd&PC=U316&FORM=CHROMN Hello? Hello? Hello? Is there anybody in there? Just nod if you can hear me Is there anyone at home? Come on now I hear you're feeling down Well I can ease your pain Get you on your feet again Relax I'll need some information first Just the basic facts Can you show me where it hurts? There is no pain you are receding A distant ship smoke on the horizon You are only coming through in waves Your lips move but I can't hear what you're saying When I was a child I had a fever My hands felt just like two balloons Now I've got that feeling once again I can't explain you would not understand This is not how I am I have become comfortably numb Okay Just a little pinprick There'll be no more, ah But you may feel a little sick Can you stand up? I do believe it's working, good That'll keep you going through the show Come on it's time to go There is no pain you are receding A distant ship, smoke on the horizon You are only coming through in waves Your lips move but I can't hear what you're saying When I was a child I caught a fleeting glimpse Out of the corner of my eye I turned to look but it was gone I cannot put my finger on it now The child is grown The dream is gone I have become comfortably numb
  3. Okay, which one of our Winchester crew finally snapped from this crapolla winter? http://abcnews.go.com/US/virginia-police-arrest-sword-wielding-man-dressed-joker/story?id=46365754
  4. If you wish, you can throw me into the mix as well. Roughly 15 inches. Looks as if your map is already spot on for me though.
  5. If the ensembles are to be believed, it looks to be a somewhat wet 2 weeks coming up though it will be on the warm side. Overnight GEFS has 2.5 to 3.5 qpf area wide. And considering that the EPS has a dry bias in the mid to long ranges 2 to 2.5 that it shows isn't too shabby.
  6. Sounds like it would be a good time. Are northerners allowed?
  7. Is it over?
  8. Preferably we would want to see that drop to the west and then underneath or even possibly through our region.. Probably doesn't matter though because the upper levels are lagging behind the surface anyway causing a late developing Miller B.
  9. Down through central Pa and then E MD before it pulls out to sea.
  10. Nah, it's about the same as it has been for several runs now at 500mb and the surface.
  11. I had been following it for the last couple days but at this point it looks to develop to late for our region. Still 2 1/2 -3 days out so you never know.
  12. The Euro shows trace amounts through the full 10 days, Eps has through day 11 (through possible storm) a 2 inch mean through Balt/DC and 3 around the PA/MD line. Full 16 day EPS snowfall mean only goes up slightly from the 11 day means.
  13. The last day of runs have been somewhat Blah. GFS and GEFS moved toward the Euro overnight for the weekend but that is the only good news in regards to that. We needed to see the trends continue on the Euro that we had seen over a few runs but they stopped over the last day and actually degraded a touch. At this point it looks as if development of the Miller B will be too slow and out to sea to effect anyone except possibly some extreme eastern coastal regions to the north. As the upper level energy swings through we may luck into a little something but that will probably be about it. As far as the day 9/10 potential. It is still there. Overnight run of the EPS actually came in a little stronger with the trough in the east as well as the low to our south/southeast. Would like to see the -NAO west based or at least neutral instead of east based to better position the 50/50. But it is what it is. We did see a very noticeable decrease with the EPS snowfall means for this possibly event though.
  14. Wife was grouchy this morning. Brewed some coffee. She is much better now.
  15. The overnight EPS run has once again seen improvements. Trough has shifted once again slightly west as it enters the US. We are seeing better dig from that feature as well. The closed low embedded within that trough is coming in stronger and has shifted a touch south. The low pressure anomalies would suggest a possible further adjustment south with that embedded low as well. Though the ridging we see between the departing 50/50 and our trough is a touch weaker that is being more then offset with the higher heights we are seeing over top of the trough. Surface reflection has seen a slight uptick with mean low pressures off the coast as well as another shift south centering them just off shore and slightly north of the mouth of the Chesapeake bay. Also of note is the fairly strong banana high over the top and west of our developing Miller B. At this point though the means as well as the individual ensembles still suggest that the development of this low would probably occur to late for our region. As far as the snowfall means through this period we see an uptick with lesser amounts around DC to higher amounts to the north. Dc sees a 1/2 inch increase, Balt sees an inch and the MD/PA line is at 1 1/2 inches. Hard to compare to the prior run, which was muddied by our now departed low, but the mean snowfall looks to have increased a touch from the 12Z. One thing to note though is some of this snow may be reflecting the ULL pass through our region and not be associated a possible Miler B. Overall the overnight run IMO increased the odds through this period. But considering that we are talking a late developing MillerB (favors regions to our north) and a timing issue with the transient 50/50 I think the odds are still long. Note: Just a quick mention on the means for the full 15 day period which are fairly impressive for this late in the season. We are seeing the 6 inch mean running roughly around the MD/PA line, Baltimore clocking in with 4 and DC with 3.