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November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said:

LOL @NycStormChaser I didn't even know that was you.

Great spot.

I saw the racing clouds and felt the temps and humidity and didn't think to check the sheer.  And I don't know what TOR parameters there are besides.  But it's amazing how many of these setups we have had.  What a goofball summer/fall.

There have been many articles recently on the setups we have had, more so new england, but our area too the past few months. It is quite interesting. 

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This remarkable late season severe pattern continues around the Northeast. It has gone along with record warm minimum temperatures. Islip has experienced the highest number of 60 degree or warmer low temperatures for the fall. Yesterday was also the 3rd highest minimum temperature on record for the month of November.

ISP....highest number of fall 60 or warmer minimum temperatures

#1....32 days....2018

#2....28 days....2017

#3....23 days....1971

Highest November minimum temperatures

#1....65....1971

#2....63....1977

#3...62.....2018....2015

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Recent model runs have extended the duration of this warm, stormy, and wet pattern. Notice how the next shot of cold has been delayed by several days as another cutter finds a way to sneak in.

Gfs doesn't delay the cold as much, could be the Euro slow bias in play. 

However a delay wouldn't surprise me, that's been the story for months now. 

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Some rainfall totals:

000
NOUS41 KOKX 031325
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-040125-

Public Information Statement
Spotter Reports
National Weather Service New York NY
925 AM EDT Sat Nov 03 2018

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 25
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
on our home page at weather.gov/nyc

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     RAINFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...Fairfield County...
   New Fairfield         2.78   630 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter
   Bethel                2.06   730 AM 11/03  Emergency Manager

NEW JERSEY

...Bergen County...
   Oakland               2.09   700 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter
   Ridgewood             1.15   700 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter

...Passaic County...
   Bloomingdale          2.82   916 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter

NEW YORK

...Orange County...
   Monroe                4.96   800 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter
   Blooming Grove        3.00  1200 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter

...Putnam County...
   Carmel                1.95   800 AM 11/03  Co-Op Observer

...Suffolk County...
   Baiting Hollow        1.48   800 AM 11/03  Co-Op Observer
   Upton                 1.13   800 AM 11/03  NWS Office

...Westchester County...
   Somers                1.76   100 AM 11/03  Trained Spotter
 

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