That GFS 18z run looked great for an early winter storm. 850’s are plenty of cold and storm track looks good. A bit of stale cold but I think if the storm comes in at night we can get some snow this weekend.
I’m going to predict this again... rain Friday night after midnight. Heavy rain up until 10am Saturday. Showers continuing until about 3-4pm drizzle for the evening. Cloudy Saturday night with some showers and sprinkles Sunday.
no winds higher than 50mph gusts. This will be a flooding problem at most with some surge Saturday morning!
You’re right it’s not cutting yet, but the trend is for this to cut and go over philly and the poconos. That would be a cutter. Regardless if this was a true bm track we would have snow in burbs like the gfs was showing yesterday at 6z run
This is cutting that means rain for everyone and rain up from Friday after midnight until Saturday afternoon. Drizzle Saturday night, Sunday sprinkles a bit windy with a shower or two turning colder Sunday night.
Gfs 06z run has white rain the entire storm for westchester county. I wonder what the models were showing for us 5-6 days out for winter storm Athena lol I’m such a geek I remember the Halloween 2011 snowstorm name!