bluewave Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Great to see the forum back up again. The big story this month continues to be the record warm average minimum temperatures. Most stations are running +6 to +7 for the average low temperature departures. This places most stations in the top 3 warmest on record for 9/1 to 9/21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Fantasy, but interesting on GFS, Reminds me of 10.4.87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Feels cool today being in the upper 60s outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 On 9/19/2018 at 11:24 AM, Brian5671 said: it's 8 days away, plenty can change... It wasn't 8 days away. He was talking about the front that came through last night. Or at least that's what I thought he was talking about. Doubt he would be talking about severe potential that was more than a week away. And next friday looks dry so I doubt he meant then. I think he meant friday's night's (last night) front. Too late at night for us to get severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Withdrawals are over the site is back!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Wow, happy amx is back. Today was the quintessential early fall day! Should be an interesting week in the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 HELLO FALL ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 2 hours ago, sferic said: HELLO FALL ! Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Winter is almost here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 56 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Winter is almost here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Next 8 days(remainder of Sept.) averaging 68degs., or about 4degs AN. Month to date is +3.3[72 7]. Should end month at +3.5[72.0]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Here we go again. More 70 degree dew points and PWAT's near 2.00 on Tuesday. So expect heavy rain potential with the storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 23, 2018 Author Share Posted September 23, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Here we go again. More 70 degree dew points and PWAT's near 2.00 on Tuesday. So expect heavy rain potential with the storm system. Yeah the models look like they are pretty wet, at least the NAM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 34 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Yeah the models look like they are pretty wet, at least the NAM/GFS. The Euro has heavy rain potential also as the warm front slows in response to the big high over New England. We could also sneak in another 80 degree day behind the front on Wednesday with enough sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Going back to 2010, with the exception of 2013, all septembers have seen above normal temps with many significantly so. October's are similar with only 2015 near normal. Miss cool autumns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Since Sep 7 this is day # 14 of 17 that's been mostly cloudy. 1 full sun 2 partly sunny. What could have been on departure side with the overall ridging and higher heights. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_NE/anim8vis.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, doncat said: Going back to 2010, with the exception of 2013, all septembers have seen above normal temps with many significantly so. October's are similar with only 2015 near normal. Miss cool autumns. I think the cool autumn ship has sailed permanently. At this point we'd be fortunate just to avoid the top 10 warmest fall months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Good to see the forum back! Beautiful, nice cool morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 15 minutes ago, TriPol said: Good to see the forum back! Beautiful, nice cool morning. had the heater on last night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 23, 2018 Author Share Posted September 23, 2018 First full day of fall and it certainly feels like it. Current temp 60/DP 53/RH 75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Great to see the board back and operational. Last night was great sleeping weather. No heater necessary yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Looks like today's rain will be a miss for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 I don't think we're going to see 90 again this year. Looks like a stretch to hit 80, too. Glad it's finally over with. October looks cooler than normal, so maybe a warm winter on tap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Down the shore for a late vacation week; looks rough. Raining all day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 3 hours ago, TriPol said: I don't think we're going to see 90 again this year. Looks like a stretch to hit 80, too. Glad it's finally over with. October looks cooler than normal, so maybe a warm winter on tap? We could hit 80 on wednesday. There are signs of a strong cold front during the first week of October, but it could just be a brief cool shot. I think most forecasts are for a warmer than normal pattern overall for this Fall. Not sure where you're hearing a cooler than normal October. It's pretty rare for us to get a cooler than normal month these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 5 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: I think the cool autumn ship has sailed permanently. At this point we'd be fortunate just to avoid the top 10 warmest fall months. I wouldn't go that far but cool autumns will probably be considerably harder to come by. I suppose a pattern perfectly conducive to troughing from September to November would do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 33 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: I wouldn't go that far but cool autumns will probably be considerably harder to come by. I suppose a pattern perfectly conducive to troughing from September to November would do the trick. I understand the dynamics going on in the background....But these statements are very early on and speculative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 7 hours ago, bluewave said: Here we go again. More 70 degree dew points and PWAT's near 2.00 on Tuesday. So expect heavy rain potential with the storm system. So expect my flight to be delayed Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 Steady light rain currently in wantagh despite zero rain forecast and not much on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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