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About WarrenCtyWx

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    Hope, NJ

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  1. WarrenCtyWx

    Winter Predictions

    An MECS with a sharp cut off west of the city. Long Island pummeled.
  2. WarrenCtyWx

    E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2018 OBS Thread

    Any type of trough would be more than welcome at this point. FWIW, I recall 2002 and 2009 having traces of snow in the area, so it's not automatically a death sentence.
  3. Not in Central Park. To be fair I haven't checked other stations. The early September heat wave may have done it.
  4. Despite all of the warmth, I don't think NYC has had a record high temperature. Daily highs haven't been that impressive despite the consistent warmth and high dews.
  5. And that had a chilly September and October, ironically enough...
  6. I didn't think any areas had as much as 60" in the month of March alone. The highest I could find was the month of 45" in interior NNJ. Unless I misinterpreted your post?
  7. If anything we're "due" for a colder winter with below normal snowfall, which was actually a common occurrence in the 80s.
  8. WarrenCtyWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    I read a couple predictions about a pattern change around Thanksgiving. Would that really make sense in a Nino winter?
  9. I wouldn't go that far but cool autumns will probably be considerably harder to come by. I suppose a pattern perfectly conducive to troughing from September to November would do the trick.
  10. WarrenCtyWx

    Meteorological Fall 2018 Banter

    To be fair, we did have a period of relatively cooler conditions from late 2013 to early 2015. That would probably help account for more than 10 months overall.
  11. WarrenCtyWx

    Central PA Fall 2018

    This stagnant, human pattern has remarkable longevity.
  12. I’m addition to GW, I would also think we simply haven’t had a favorable pattern for below average temperatures for early fall in quite some time.
  13. While some are hoping for a large scale pattern change, I'm just hoping for a couple of dry days with highs below 80 degrees with dew points in the 50's or even 40's.
  14. WarrenCtyWx

    E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2018 OBS Thread

    Last year we were in the midst of a relatively chilly pattern that lasted until mid September, when we promptly roasted until November. Perhaps this year will follow suit but in the reverse direction. That might be a bit too optimistic, though.
  15. Biting my fingernails here in Northern Warren County. Hopefully guidance shifts back to give a healthy amount of precipitation on the north and west side.