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George BM

July Discobs Thread

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The new and "improved" (lol)  FV3-GFS as has already been pointed out is not off to a great start accuracy wise.

Here is the run of the model just 36 hours before the start of the event.

:cliff:

 

fv3p_apcpn_us_10.png

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20 minutes ago, frd said:

Thanks 

I'll refine this a bit more by saying Baltimore east to Philly.  That's my favored area.

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5 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

That's not good to see.

Imagine if this was a mid winter SECS  :-)   Hopefully it just requires fine tunning, from what I read 3 months ago I thought it was good / better than the current model.  

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3 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

HRRR keeps shifting the death band around gradually.  Back a shade east on the 14z.

15z well east, back to Annapolis.

Ellicott City 3.0 today...calling it.

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.80 since this event started this am.

Also, if you want it to really open up, order some chinese takeout.  It was light to drizzle for me a while back. As soon as I ordered and had to pick it up, whamo! Probably picked up .5 in those 30 minutes.

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Days like today are what make me laugh when people say, "This area is hot too..." when I tell them from Louisiana.

 

That I'm not going to break 70 degrees today in July... my god, this is why I moved here.

 

And I love the rain too. About to take a nice Jebwalk... in my sleep, comfortably in my bed.

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46 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

HRRR keeps shifting the death band around gradually.  Back a shade east on the 14z.

15z well east, back to Annapolis.

lol the HRRR

16z has it over the bay.

 

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2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Never trust the NAM

Unless it's showing 3 feet of snow, then hug it and don't let go.

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3 minutes ago, Fozz said:

64/63 with 0.34" so far.

Feels like a fall day today. Amazing for late July.

Wow, I'm surprised we have such a discrepancy. I just checked and .82" here so far, and while I was out there, my garden smiled at me.

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Just now, nw baltimore wx said:

Wow, I'm surprised we have such a discrepancy. I just checked and .82" here so far, and while I was out there, my garden smiled at me.

Hmmm... I was going by the nearest station on Wunderground. Sometimes its precip totals seem low, so maybe it was more than that in reality. Another nearby station has almost 0.7".

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