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George BM

July Discobs Thread

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22 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Actually started raining here.  Miracle.

lol you're just in another climate.  it's been a legendary soaker here, like need an umbrella type of rates.

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The weather channel is calling for a colder than normal October with troughiness in the east due to El Nino base-state. We'll see if it verifies...

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2.52" so far here.

From looking at radar, I don't think the metro area has much more to go. 1 or 2 hours tops. Looks like the rain demarcation is going to level off and exit up north. Will there be fill in?

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i'm impressed with this system.  did not expect it to be a gully washer like this.  euro was really jumpy the last 2 days.  seems like the short range guidance did pretty well overall.  it shifted the legend band a little each run, but kept it close enough to stay in the game.

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7 minutes ago, coolio said:

2.52" so far here.

From looking at radar, I don't think the metro area has much more to go. 1 or 2 hours tops. Looks like the rain demarcation is going to level off and exit up north. Will there be fill in?

Sterling says for northern zones .. it will be a while 

The low moves north of the
area later tonight, though a bit slower than earlier projected.
Rain may last until 3 AM or so for northern Maryland
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Flash Flood Warning
VAC059-153-600-685-220230-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FF.W.0049.180721T2323Z-180722T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
723 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2018

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia...
  Fairfax County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia...
  Southeastern Prince William County in northern Virginia...

* Until 1030 PM EDT.

* At 722 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the area.
  Three to four inches of rain has already fallen, and an additional
  two to three inches is expected. Flash flooding is expected to
  begin shortly.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  Centreville, Dale City, Reston, Annandale, Springfield, Fairfax,
  Vienna, Groveton, Mantua, Fort Belvoir, Woodbridge, Quantico, Lake
  Ridge, Burke, Oakton, Chantilly, Lincolnia, Tysons Corner,
  Montclair and Lorton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 7707 3868 7711 3862 7712 3860 7722
      3852 7727 3850 7730 3877 7745 3878 7748
      3879 7747 3892 7747 3893 7746 3894 7724

$$

DHOF

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17 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

Our snow burst from October 2011 was leading into a nina. lol

It could still snow early and El Nino would still follow. Anything is possible. I hope we get shellacked by snowstorm after snowstorm.

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Just now, MN Transplant said:

3.40”.  Out for dinner.  Everyone’s phones are going off for the flood warning.

Def think we could approach 5" of rain before we are done

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This event is cool because it is pretty darn uncommon to get a (non tropical) low tracking up the east coast in mid summer producing widespread heavy rain and relatively cool temps. This has been a fall-like storm. The rest of the week should also be fun, with several perturbations moving through with a deep southerly flow between the blocking atlantic ridge and the trough/upper low just to the west. Much more summer like with high dews and chances for convection. Quite a few places in the area should see totals the next few days exceed what fell today.

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2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Pushing a foot and ripping. Drifting on the deck. Temp down to 28F

:lmao:

Oh how we pray. Congrats on a nice storm to break the boredom. That big rain event a year or two ago was one of my favorites because of how I saw my backyard stream turn into a raging river.

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Some convection and a tall cloud top down by the mouth of the Potomac river on the satellite.

1.69'' of rain and the temperature has rose from 69.6 to 73.4/73

humid

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1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

Radar looks like the eastern band might be starting to take over.  Might start to wind down over the western burbs in the next hour.

Perhaps the heavy rain... but I think it will still be raining till past ten in the DC metro

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