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moneypitmike

The Pope's 'And There You Have It" SWFE Feb 7 2018

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11F/8F...beautiful sunrise this morning as the OVC takes hold. Everything still looks on track imo. Mid levels will torch as expected...we'll see how the sfc shakes out.

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@moneypitmike

In an effort to remain humble, and avoid coming off as prideful-- I must admit--it's still not over, and things could obviously change; but I absolutely appreciate the early recognition. Def makes the struggle of forecasting more enjoyable. I'll remember this. 

19/15 - Overcast

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1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

@moneypitmike

In an effort to remain humble, and avoid coming off as prideful-- I must admit--it's still not over, and things could obviously change; but I absolutely appreciate the early recognition. Def makes the struggle of forecasting more enjoyable. I'll remember this. 

19/15 - Overcast

Just throw some ASOUT's around in your posts. The true papal 'we'.

HRRR has an ugly track.

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4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Just throw some ASOUT's around in your posts. The true papal 'we'.

HRRR has an ugly track.

Certainly not banking on the HRRR, even at this range, but I still feel great about the map I put out yesterday afternoon for MA and the implied totals for points north....

 

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Left for work at 6:15 and pre-dawn sun glow in the clouds to the east was awesome.  Evil pinks and reds.

All I care about today is what happens with the weather in Dover, N.H.

Please keep my updated.

Thanks in advance.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I feel like ice could be an issue interior NE MA SW through ORH county maybe into nrn ct? I just do not see that area getting above freezing.

Seems like it’s all low track dependent. I agree. 

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HRRR also has signs of a weak mesolow near the Cape. It seems to want to hold ZR even in interior SEMA. Might be something to watch to see if it happens. Would have implications for sure.

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10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I feel like ice could be an issue interior NE MA SW through ORH county maybe into nrn ct? I just do not see that area getting above freezing.

Seems like that was the main argument yesterday. If the low track squeezes south they won't hit freezing. Mid levels have warmed a bit since yesterday but I don't see any wholesale changes, maybe take them down an inch or 2?  

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6 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Seems like that was the main argument yesterday. If the low track squeezes south they won't hit freezing. Mid levels have warmed a bit since yesterday but I don't see any wholesale changes, maybe take them down an inch or 2?  

Yeah amount of snow will be less. Solid 6 for you anyways. 

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58 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

@moneypitmike

In an effort to remain humble, and avoid coming off as prideful-- I must admit--it's still not over, and things could obviously change; but I absolutely appreciate the early recognition. Def makes the struggle of forecasting more enjoyable. I'll remember this. 

19/15 - Overcast

Since this is your event please provide frequent observation/ updates/ pics of slush puddles this afternoon. How many miles are you from the sea coast? We don't have any members in Portsmouth.

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8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

And how is it determined if the Pope verifies or not?  

 

17 hours ago, jbenedet said:

 

Pink 6-12" all frozen (some sleet).

Yellow 4-8" snow/sleet to 3 hr period of moderate rain.

Light Blue 3-6" front end thump to a 3-6 hr period of rain. 

Gray: 1-3" to rain.

Green: 1" to rain.

 

The 4-8" gradient goes along Rt 125 in NH. west of there is 6-12", east of there is 4-8" 3 hr period of rain.

massachusetts.gif

 

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