TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Toss the snowmaps for actual amounts, but a consistent theme has been showing up for days. MA gets it good... we get screwed, and it gets its act back together for Eastern Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GGEM was barely east of 12z...the QPF looks a lot worse, but again, I wouldnt be paying attention to QPF too much yet. The main features shifted like 15-20 miles toggling the 00z 66h panel vs 12z 78h panel. Yeah the posts in here had me scratching my head. Didn't look THAT bad to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GGEM was barely east of 12z...the QPF looks a lot worse, but again, I wouldnt be paying attention to QPF too much yet. The main features shifted like 15-20 miles toggling the 00z 66h panel vs 12z 78h panel. Yeah I have the queen crown tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Every time I drink crown royal during a model run we get crap. Should be drinking the Crystal head vodka to fill your blood with some Labrador current waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Well the good news is now folks see the CMC's worthiness and hopefully going forward, throw it in the trash bin with the srefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Toss the snowmaps for actual amounts, but a consistent theme has been showing up for days. MA gets it good... we get screwed, and it gets its act back together for Eastern Maine. If a 954mb low is sitting 140 miles to your southeast I doubt you'll be screwed. Crushed is probably the apt word choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Should be drinking the Crystal head vodka to fill your blood with some Labrador current waters. Good tip! Maybe tea totaling ala potus....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 H7 low was 20 miles east of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The UKIE looks like it came west somewhat from its 12Z position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Is this little piece of energy what's causing the shift east? It's showing up more on the CMC and GFS than in the previous runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Good night friends-hopefully the euro lifts my spirits in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: Is this little piece of energy what's causing the shift east? It's showing up more on the CMC and GFS than in the previous runs... There was something like that on the Nam that the low seemed to chase too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The German (ICON) 00z shifted east a bit. I dont know about its relative skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The UKIE looks like it came west somewhat from its 12Z position Tough to tell, But it looked like it did but i get a sore neck looking at that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Tough to tell, But it looked like it did but i get a sore neck looking at that map. It started as far to the east at 48 but I’m relatively sure that north of 40N it was west of 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: BS. It doesn't always have to mean a huge shift, but its very real. It's more often used for a weenie's assurance than anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 No huge or whole-scale changes so far in the 00z models...c'mon some model has to get a better outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: It's more often used for a weenie's assurance than anything else Sorry...wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: Tough to tell, But it looked like it did but i get a sore neck looking at that map. I laughed out loud at that. I though tonights models were fine, too much focus on QPF. The GEM barely east, GFS about the same, NAM about the same...we do want to see a westward shift tomorrow though to get something more than adv type stuff. Can someone post the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: Precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 38 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM was barely east of 12z...the QPF looks a lot worse, but again, I wouldnt be paying attention to QPF too much yet. The main features shifted like 15-20 miles toggling the 00z 66h panel vs 12z 78h panel. Just looked and expected something horrific. CMC is not that bad at all. But I digress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Precip? Should be out soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sorry...wrong. When in doubt, you need better sampling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Ukie came a little west. Not surprising through since it was one of the further east models at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The sampling has done absolutely squat for this threat, in a positive direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ukie came a little west. Not surprising through since it was one of the further east models at 12z. GFS ensembles, then Euro. We'll know a lot once Euro Ensembles finish up late tonight. Could be waking up to news of an impending blizzard if tonight goes well. In all honesty, I don't care what the GFS shows. Ride the euro, then wait until rgem, and <84 hr models are in full swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: GFS ensembles, then Euro. We'll know a lot once Euro Ensembles finish up late tonight. Could be waking up to news of an impending blizzard if tonight goes well. In all honesty, I don't care what the GFS shows. Ride the euro, then wait until rgem, and <84 hr models are in full swing. I think the picture will become much clearer mid day tomorrow with the models. I know I'd feel good if I was in dryslot's location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: When in doubt, you need better sampling Do you collect the dropsondes from the Pacific? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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