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July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


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4 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

The Euro pushed Friday's rains well south-we're high and dry while Baltimore gets 8 inches....

It wouldn't surprise me if the heaviest rains stayed to our south since that seems to be the theme of the summer for both heavy rain/severe storms. The 12z GFS was also further south but the 18Z has brought it back north with both the 12z and 18z NAM being north as well. Obviously the models are having a hard time figuring out where the heaviest rain/storms will set up but the potential is there for a heavy rain event Thursday and Friday.

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this year IMBY we have 4.64 inches of rain which is above normal but nothing crazy....10 days of measurable rain....last July I had 7.91 inches and 17 days of rain highlighted by a 7/25-7/31/2016 stretch where I got 4.49 inches. So yes people have short memories on how much rain we have had other years. Last July was a wet month...hot too we had an extended heatwave of more than a week which ended with the above wet period.

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Trakcing the Cool down dailies  7/23 - 7/31

7/23:  80/72 (-2) 
7/24: 73/64 (-9)
7/25:  71/62 ( -11)

7/23: 81/70 (-2)
7/24: 75/65 (-8)
7/25: 73/62 (-10)

7/23: 79/71 (-2)
7/24: 73/6 (-9)
7/25: 71/62 (-10)


7/23: 83/71 (+1)
7/24: 82/65 (-2)
7/25: 77/64 (-5)

7/23: 89/72 (+3)
7/24: 88/70 (+1)
7/25: 79/66 (-5)


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30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Late July nor'easter signal Friday into Saturday. Only question at this point is the exact storm track and rainfall amounts.







models liking a south of NYC solution right now but we know how that usually works out....

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