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July 2017 Observations & Discussions Thread


bluewave

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47 minutes ago, TriPol said:

A nor'easter in July? Has Autumn come ealry?

Decent area of gales along the coast for a surfers delight without any tropical influence. Not every year we see a nearly 4 SD NAO drop in late July.

 

ecmwf_uv10g_neng_14.thumb.png.f22a71d2096ea35d785b403e97e98b7b.png

 

 

 

 

 

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48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

12z Euro is about 25-50 miles north of last night's run....huge jackpot in far SNJ with close to 9 inches!  LOL

We saw that once in the past I think in the 90s a summer nor'easter that dumped 14" over south jersey and led to major flooding. I think ACY had 13" in 24 hours 

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Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

We saw that once in the past I think in the 90s a summer nor'easter that dumped 14" over south jersey and led to major flooding. I think ACY had 13" in 24 hours 

 

2006 June i believe.

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7 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

JB all in...notes a system in 8/94 that it reminds him of-says that if the energey does not escape b/w hour 78-84 this could be even worse than advertised. Also notes the boiling AMO will help it feedback...

I guess we're due for a deluge, i hope it stays away from the region but wouldnt shock me

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2 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

I guess we're due for a deluge, i hope it stays away from the region but wouldnt shock me

Been a weird July here...3 days where temps never got out of the 60's and 10 days of fairly decent heat bookending the cool.  Guess a big ol noreaster would be the !!! point.

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1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

Of course it figures that the biggest rainstorm of the season is going to occur while I'm completely out of the area.

The 15z SREF was wet too, 2"+ in NYC proper. 3"+ for parts of coastal NJ.

you missed a biggie earlier this summer too-I think you were in Florida.  Since you won't be here, I'm forecasting a jackpot of 10 inches right over your house from this one.

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Just now, Brian5671 said:

you missed a biggie earlier this summer too-I think you were in Florida.  Since you won't be here, I'm forecasting a jackpot of 10 inches right over your house from this one.

Yes I did, I was out of the country for ten days so I'm not sure on the exact timing of that.

New Orleans looks surprisingly dry, just normal scattered afternoon storms. I half expected a hurricane to be bearing down on the city when I booked this trip six months ago.

My main concern right now is getting out of dodge before the rains arrive on Friday.

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54 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

JB all in...notes a system in 8/94 that it reminds him of-says that if the energey does not escape b/w hour 78-84 this could be even worse than advertised. Also notes the boiling AMO will help it feedback...

One of my favorites. That was a weird hybrid nor'easter that produced 50mph gusts and minor tree damage on the island. It also caused massive waves and beach erosion. Some of the biggest summer time waves I have even seen with water under the board walk at jones beach. 

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2 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said:

July 97 I thought we had a classic winter like nor Easter with 3-4 inches of rain and highs like 55-60 

I believe the August 97 event over SNJ was close to a 500-1000 year rainfall for that location.

Mid-Atlantic Region
Heavy downpours from thunderstorms hit Atlantic City, New Jersey and caused very severe urban flooding across southern New Jersey. 10.36 inches of rain fell in 3 hours on August 20-21 with a storm total of over 13 inches at the Atlantic City Airport.

 

 

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Newark is getting close to its first below normal temperature July since 2014. Departures continue to fall across the area with the cooler late July pattern. 

EWR...+0.3

NYC....+0.7

LGA....+1.3

JFK....+1.3

ISP....+2.0

BDR...+1.6

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44 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Newark is getting close to its first below normal temperature July since 2014. Departures continue to fall across the area with the cooler late July pattern. 

EWR...+0.3

NYC....+0.7

LGA....+1.3

JFK....+1.3

ISP....+2.0

BDR...+1.6

Given how cool the weekend may be, we may very well slip into the negatives this month and definitely for Newark and NYC. 

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23 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Trakcing the Cool down dailies  7/23 - 7/31


LGA:
7/23:  80/72 (-2) 
7/24: 73/64 (-9)
7/25:  71/62 ( -11)
7/26: 78/65 (-6)

EWR:
7/23: 81/70 (-2)
7/24: 75/65 (-8)
7/25: 73/62 (-10)
7/26: 76/66 (-7)


NYC:
7/23: 79/71 (-2)
7/24: 73/6 (-9)
7/25: 71/62 (-10)
7/26: 77/65 (-6)

 

TTN:
7/23: 83/71 (+1)
7/24: 82/65 (-2)
7/25: 77/64 (-5)
7/26: 77/65 (-5)



PHL:
7/23: 89/72 (+3)
7/24: 88/70 (+1)
7/25: 79/66 (-5)
7/26: 82/67 (-3)

 

 

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