moneypitmike Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 BOX calling for a mostly sunny day in GC. Training season for my low qpf winter. Enjoy coastal folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Good day to mow the lawn. I think I have only mowed it 3 times since June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 On 9/2/2016 at 7:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Let's take some down Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 45m45 minutes ago Monday in NewEng likely to bring AM thru early afternoon rain squalls that may focus localized gusts to 50+ mph for scattered damage. Any update on this? Can we get our cookout in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Interesting approach of a weakening LP if indeed that was a major hurricane it is the worst most damaging possible angle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 12z nam closer and stronger models really have no idea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 5, 2016 Author Share Posted September 5, 2016 25 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z nam closer and stronger models really have no idea! well ... the long awaited 'hook' back toward the coast has apparently begun judging by the last 2 hours of high resolution looping of satellite. question now becomes, how far backward does it come, and in what form. the asymmetric phase transition from Hermine has been a chaotic mess. Long before it even began to intermingle with the cold core trough, it was probably becoming somewhat baroclinic outside of it's core, due to interaction with land and pulling continental dry (thus, thermodynamically colder air) off the continent as it escape back to sea. Then, as the trough subsumed over the area ... huge shear arrived over top, which stripped away what was left of the mid/U/A core components almost if not entirely completely off... annihilated it as any kind of classical system. However, during all that ... the lowest level gyre remained in tact during yesterday, overnight; if analyzing just that lower level feature's thermal layout it probably was/is barotropic in nature. earlier this morning... some new convection erupted closer to the centroid axis again... but has since stripped off again, exposing a broad strata swirl. And so yet again the system has taken on the 'look' of a mid latitude cyclone ... I suspect we probably are left with some sort of cut-off hybrid deal going on out there. The spectrum of thermodynamic engines that power these cyclones, "weather" pure tropical or pure cold core, is really a smooth gradient. As environmental variables support more and less, in time, a given system dances along the spectrum. ...think blue end and red end ... this guy is sort of yellow right now, but part in parcel with the lower level probably more orange/red and while the mid-level's pretty green. anyway, it's now moving away from the Gulf Stream and is passing over the interface waters SE of LI, and it won't take long to upwell and normalize ... so we probably have lost any hope of this getting stacked and properly closer to the red end of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Looks to me as if we almost have two, dual llc's on vis sat with the ne one being the original llc. Seems like center is widening overall, more hints that it's transitioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Some pretty strong winds across SE MA and CC right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some pretty strong winds across SE MA and CC right now. Gusting up. To 25mph now. Wind had subsided last night and has now picked up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Those bands are packing decent punch on velocity. Likely going to verify tropical storm conditions on the Islands. Chances increasing for middle to outer Cape every second this ticks NW. Winds are kicking up in Boston. Can hear gusts in trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 A few wind gusts, cloudy and waiting for some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Suns out. this is going to sound shocking, but I don't think we end up getting much rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 At least we'll have some interesting weather for a day or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Sun peeking out here in SE CT as well. Severe meh underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 12z GFS looks pretty potent for Cape and Islands. 40+kts out on ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Wind increasing here on FI. I've got about 5 miles of water to my north and my place is about 40 feet off the deck. Would guess 25 sustained with some solid gusts to 35-40 at the moment. Still hoping for some rain this afternoon. Also, best waves I've personally seen out here since Bill on the south side of the island. Sure beats endless talk of heat and drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Suns out. this is going to sound shocking, but I don't think we end up getting much rain here Yeah we weren't ever supposed to get much unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Even if Herman comes west it's weakening greatly, moving over cold water , and winding down. Sunny, breezy should rule the roost this afternoon away from Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 ACK had sustained TS Force last hour. METAR KACK 051553Z 02034G44KT 9SM SCT025 BKN055 OVC070 19/15 A2997 RMK AO2 PK WND 03044/1553 RAE12 SLP147 P0000 T01890150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even if Herman comes west it's weakening greatly, moving over cold water , and winding down. Sunny, breezy should rule the roost this afternoon away from Cape Herman.. but yeah this afternoon it will. Should become stormier in east ma past dark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 And just like that, full sunshine. What an odd system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Btight blue sky with beautiful cirrus, stormy and dark looking toward storm 15 sustained with 25 mph gusts here. About 75 degrees and not an ounce of humidity. Love this event, nice change up. At least something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Bright blue sky and dry air with approaching tropical cyclone is not a good sign if you want a landfalling tc.. but we're far past the purely tropical stage of this one. It's become hybrid obviously with a secluded warm core. Doesn't mean it can't pack a punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even if Herman comes west it's weakening greatly, moving over cold water , and winding down. Sunny, breezy should rule the roost this afternoon away from Cape Overcast here and windy. First rain shower of Hermain just rotating through. Street and yard getting filled with leaves and small dead twigs. Latest gust was 37. Surf along Misquamicut and Weekapaug beaches coming in groups of 5 to 8 swells every 2 to 3 minutes. Wave heights about 6 to 10 feet. Lots of surfers and onlookers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Windy has definitely picked up here in the past 30 minutes. No idea what the speed is, but it's strongest it's been all day. Blue skies are mostly gone too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 10 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: Windy has definitely picked up here in the past 30 minutes. No idea what the speed is, but it's strongest it's been all day. Blue skies are mostly gone too. Stay safe. Dangerous out there with the leaves blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Big spike in lightning due south of Chatham closer to the center. Shows up well on radarscope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 31mph gust last hour at TAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 5, 2016 Share Posted September 5, 2016 Just had a gust that was over 45mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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