Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Some mixed messages. Hearing not going above freezing until midnight on the Euro and hearing it might not be much longer once the moderate rain moved in and warms the surface.......... either this is a major ice storm starting or the melting process has begun as the temp warms to match the rain. The short range guidance has been incredibly consistent that DC doesn't go above freezing until late evening. Doesn't mean DCA won't be 33 or something. If we are like 34-36 at 7-8pm or something like that it would be a pretty big model bust. Of course models do bust so it could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Uhoh. Thats not good news for me. I will flip soon then. enjoy it while it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Radar blowing up to the sw of Winchester. Gonna be some nice rates shortly if it's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Some pingers mixed in up here Same. What was your total? I've been out all day and just wanted to see how the northerners made out. 1.6" total here. Lower than I thought it would be, but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 8/10 of an inch of snow.. Now moderate snow falling for the first time today. 23 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raven94 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 No sleet pellets here yet still snowing nicely with a NNE wind temp 25.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Anyone know if an 18Z sounding was launched? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I think immediate DC metro has quite a while (6 hours +) before going above freezing even if DCA goes to 33. Could be wrong of course. That's probably true. HRRR isn't till like 2a or beyond. I'm not sure we'll see a whole ton of precip before it warms up.. but I should stop making predictions on this one perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 25 degrees and rain - impressive for the city... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I'm talking before this all began. Most snowfall forecasts had the typical N&W look to them. I said a few days ago watch for a wave going to our south then the main storm cuts west. I'm glad it got the dc area pretty good though. And Wes deserved a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 8/10 of an inch of snow.. Now moderate snow falling for the first time today. 23 degrees. Roads just tanked in Lineboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Mist and drizzle has turned into showers that will accrete at 27.0, especially with the sun going down and darkness looming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Radar filling in here but we are already mixing with sleet during the light returns. yea that's why I was pessimistic last night. The initial wave was going to our south and once the main band started to move north so was the warm air so it would be a quick transition even up here. Nothing to slow it down now that the storm to our west is lifting north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 You may not be that far off, especially for the overnight ratios. I read LWX updates that mentioned 20:1 ratios in some reports. Thanks. That's good to know. Some of my measurements were actually a little above 20:1. Snow has stopped for now. I'm still at about 2 1/4", maybe 2 3/8", but there has been some compacting. I just tried measuring ratios again, and it's now closer to 14:1. 12z RGEM ensemble got icier for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 26 imby. 26 at bwi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 enjoy it while it lasts. And. Freezing rain. 2.2 is my final measurement. Better than nothing I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Even though radar has returns I have been nothing falling for last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 That's probably true. HRRR isn't till like 2a or beyond. I'm not sure we'll see a whole ton of precip before it warms up.. but I should stop making predictions on this one perhaps. I think you've handled this event pretty well. When you stick your neck out there with very specific, detailed predictions starting a week out, like some of us do, there are going to be some stumbles along the way. It was a complicated event. I didn't pay any attention to the JB's of the world, but as far as the people in this forum, we are a talented group. Collectively we've done well with a complex event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Same. What was your total? I've been out all day and just wanted to see how the northerners made out. 1.6" total here. Lower than I thought it would be, but oh well. officially 1" here. never really got under any good bands. all good though, adds to the stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I said a few days ago watch for a wave going to our south then the main storm cuts west. I'm glad it got the dc area pretty good though. And Wes deserved a good event. well i think most people thought it was going to snow before the storm even though a few folks were trying to act like they were the only ones calling for snow. i do recall that though, and perhaps was closest to actual evolution of most of us. still don't feel like anyone bit on the southern bullseye really.. nor hit on the higher totals. actually in the end for DC this will probably end up fairly close to how many of us expected but on the higher side maybe. there was probably too much focus on the main low.. though the spinsters will just pretend that doesn't happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Even though radar has returns I have been nothing falling for last hour It's freezing drizzle. Snow is getting crusty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 BWI reporting -FZRA, looks like about 2" total here, and now IAD is FZRAPL. On a side note, Para Euro has the GFS day 9-10 storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Freezing Drizzle. The porch I cleared earlier, has a glaze of ice. Temp 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I said a few days ago watch for a wave going to our south then the main storm cuts west. I'm glad it got the dc area pretty good though. And Wes deserved a good event. You did well for this area. Shouldn't you have a red tag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Was snow/sleet mix here for a bit but it looks like it just transitioned to freezing drizzle. 26/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 2.5" imby for the snow total. Like I commented earlier....the cities forecast wasn't bad. Bust north/west, boom south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Good stuff about to move in. Stuck at 28. DCA 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 Going with 3.25. Seems to have packed down some. Some light freezing rain/drizzle. Temp has been stuck at 26 for a couple hours. Today was a major win imo. Cold smoke most of the night. That was beautiful. Then today was great. Stayed cold all day. I definitely was able to enjoy my snow. I had a ton of fun in this one. I was out cutting trees down at 9 this morning lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 25 degrees and rain - impressive for the city... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I think I saw you measured around 3 inches, looks awesome out there in Roland Park. I just heard some pings too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 15, 2016 Share Posted February 15, 2016 I thought most of the short range models had south of DC the jackpot Yeah, the NAM twins had it all day yesterday. The RGEM picked up on it around 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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