RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 2 8 16 forcst 1.jpg Quick map I whipped up. I think coastal areas in MA could see a little OE. looks good, west of 91 will struggle as I thought. need more ticks today through tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Much better persistent mood snows for CNE this run Mon night. Overall improvement from 06z for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 As we saw with the MA blizzard last month, the mesos, may have an advantage resolving this very deep convection and how this translates into upper level height rises along the coast. At least GC may wind up with a light fresh ground cover after this rather than the sunny afternoon with the one last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 I know--last year we wound up pretty close to normal, it just sucked missing out on doing really well. This year just plain old sucks the big one. I'll take solace that I'll be in Boston tomorrow, but being in the city for snow doesn't exactly thrill me. Snow in the streets turning into brown slush. At least it'll look nice in the Granary graveyard. That is a pretty spot. I always used to say a quiet hello to James Otis, Sam Adams, and Ben Franklin's parents as I walked by. Beautiful with a coat of snow, or when the magnolias bloom in April. Anyway, OT. Looks like low pressure centered SE of South Carolina at this hour and bombing the heck out. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Nice shift on the GFS. Definitely worth getting excited about for eastern areas. Several inches of snow likely. Higher ceiling where enhancement/coastal front/banding develops. Regionwide heavy snow is still unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 At least GC may wind up with a light fresh ground cover after this rather than the sunny afternoon with the one last month.You will Eeyore yourself to 3-5" out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 the gfs should be biting better by now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47644-the-debra-spot/ Sorry--I'll do my best not to b**ch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 6 to 12 for most on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Sorry--I'll do my best not to b**ch.Didn't you do ok on Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 WSW's will be brought west and blizz warnings from Scooter south at 4:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 ...and of course, wouldn't you know it: the stakes have to be usually high for direct verus indirect impact. this is a multifaceted event, rout with three aspects for calamity: 1 wind... this is achieving a pretty deep pressure, and as the cyclogen feed-backs may cause this to shift west as these MESO imply... we then have to run that deep pressure core up into this building polar high over eastern Canada ...nosing down through the area. I noticed the synoptic charts show that squeeze play on the 12z NAM's depiction of the NW arc of the llv pressure field. If that pushes deeper into that +PP then even now, we got a wind problem into eastern section from SE NH south along the coastal plain. 2 tide... this is a New Moon event. ...Seems these things always find a way to land on a tidal headaches. wonder if there's any science to that.. In any event, CF watch is side-Press right now but could become much more of headline scenario if should #1 take place. It's like the perfect combination of components for denuding beach front properties.. 3 of course, snow... mainly, if #1 we have deformation band(s) pivoting in with big wind going on, and you have to consider headlining even more. The problem is, this is possibility that is only hinted at these NW shifts. Man, that puts a big big time responsibility on the operational teams, because the margin for error is pretty darn tight here. I'd say this Euro run is pretty hugely important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 BOX still thinking late afternoon and evening around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Through 54, the GFS has the .5 line right on 495. The .25 gradation extends from there to the NYS line. Looks like the BOX map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Didn't you do ok on Friday? Wound up with perhaps 4.5" before compacting. And, it didnt' take long to compact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Didn't you do ok on Friday? he got some snow...i dont know that i would call it ok, i did ok down here and i mean just ok i am going to try to channel march of 01 and 07 for him, oh and feb 01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 John, Ginx brought up the New Moon Goon thing yesterday. I think you are both right that this will enhance the coastal aspects a bit I'm not sure where this will be felt the most. Truro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Went to bed hopeful of a westward nudge, got it in the morning. Now we get greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Wound up with perhaps 4.5" before compacting. And, it didnt' take long to compact. I thought you did a bit better. Your area and VT out to ALB area have been so awful Pretty bad here this season but nothing compared to yours. We also did very well (if not in blockbuster fashion) last season so this hurts less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Another day of telecommuting? Ideas on start times? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Now would be a good time to send out some special sounding flights ...down wind into the ridge side of this developing monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 looks like moves in just before or around morning rush for bos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Another day of telecommuting? Ideas on start times? Pre dawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Was thinking the same thing a while ago ... going to be a spectacular satellite cinema! The 24 hour w/v loop on COD is spectacular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This has been a strange time in t=48 hrs or less of modeling. I can't recall such a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Classic weather breeder today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 This has been a strange time in t=48 hrs or less of modeling. I can't recall such a time. Yeah I don't know what the hell's been going on lol, but it's made for interesting times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 PF/Eduggs rejoice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2016 Share Posted February 7, 2016 Here's to hoping for another big shift similar to the last storm to get western CT into the action! 9.5 more inches to get Easton to the average of 30. Any chance the precip is pulled west as a result of the trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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