Ian Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I think mitchnick called for the coastals to start in Oct when I queried a while back. I'd be tempted to count this even tho he wants a way ots recurve. It's only just begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 High of 56 with 0.84" of rain today. Temps near 50F with steady rain and gusty NE winds is a pretty good winter preview probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Nice gusts and rain on the dog walk. While I wouldn't want days and days of this stuff, I really enjoy the appeal. Fall would suck without a couple days like today. Ian, agree about the coastals. Mid month pattern looks pretty good for a possible storm. Ridge placement out west isn't perfect but the overall height pattern in the NH looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 1.79" since midnight. It stopped raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Gusting to 52 mph at Ocean City at the 7:53 pm observation. Just a bit more increase, and the observations would match the max gusts from Sandy (58 mph) and Isabel (53 mph). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 It really just sucks outside right now. 46 and rain. Lets hope this noreaster is a sign of things to come this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 35 and rain in Davis. Good thing I'm going to Canaan next weekend and not this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 35 and rain in Davis. Good thing I'm going to Canaan next weekend and not this one. I was up at Cass/Snowshoe Wednesday, up high was almost peak, I'd say a lot of color (that remains on trees) will peak late weekend into early next week out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 35 and rain in Davis. Good thing I'm going to Canaan next weekend and not this one. I wonder if there's any mixing on the peak of Timberline or Canaan valley. 4200' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Gusting to 52 mph at Ocean City at the 7:53 pm observation. Just a bit more increase, and the observations would match the max gusts from Sandy (58 mph) and Isabel (53 mph). This is really impressive considering there is no surface low anywhere near us. Not to change the subject and bring in the weirdos but watching something like this makes me thing of climate change's involvement more than a lot of other events. This is going to end up a very high impact event considering it's a "miss".. and yes the flooding is heavily separate but Joaquin is delivering a lot of the moisture. And I'm sure it's happened before.. we saw something somewhat similar with the interaction of Katia and Lee of course. But the pics up and down the coast are something. I mean it's not even hard to envision popular spots facing issues if the erosion continues at a strong pace for too long. The whole ocean is just on fire this year. There's no doubt this nino is still producing the names because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Well thought out post Ian. A gift for your efforts, I agree with your line of thinking. The el nino signal is strong and working alongside a growing AGW background forcing, which has been causing nutty high pressure regions to our NE and the resulting gales. The gradient kills more than anything else despite the system being thousands of miles away. These are not public domain so use sparingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Well thought out post Ian. A gift for your efforts, I agree with your line of thinking. The el nino signal is strong and working alongside a growing AGW background forcing, which has been causing nutty high pressure regions to our NE and the resulting gales. The gradient kills more than anything else despite the system being thousands of miles away. These are not public domain so use sparingly. 20151002_113246.jpg 20151002_125605.jpg Don't often see a 1042+ High north of the Lakes this time of the year. I hope that bodes well for the winter.http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=pr&inv=0&t=cur&expanddiv=hide_bar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Currently 46 with light rain. 1.00" so far....I think I saw a sleet pellet. Pretty raw out. OC getting cross hair's of the pressure gradient atm according to latest meso. Friend from Salisbury called and wanted to know when the worst part of the storm would hit. Lol Apparently, the local stations are hyping it pretty good.He said wind gusts are blowing everything in his yard all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Almost exactly 100mb pressure difference between the high and Joaquin (1042/943--hrr is well off on the storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Almost exactly 100mb pressure difference between the high and Joaquin (1042/943--hrr is well off on the storm) I don't know exactly how they'd do it, but it would be nice to see how that gradient stacks up to previous ones along the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Hmmm, nice direct flow from Hudsons Bay to Cuba http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=st&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Drive from Burke to Hilton Head was pretty horrible. 51 with wind and rain when we left, and it didn't steadily get above 62 until well into SC. Rained nearly the whole way until it cleared up about 2/3 of the way into SC, too. 68 with drizzle when we arrived. We're progged to be on the south end of the heaviest rains tomorrow. Curious to see what happens. How much rain did the airports end up with today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I don't know exactly how they'd do it, but it would be nice to see how that gradient stacks up to previous ones along the east coast. Probably could get a general idea through NARR and other tools. Not EC but RITA was 895mb and there is a 1020mb high analyzed over the MA at the same time. That's gotta be pretty close to the extreme overall in this region. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2005/us0922.php Earl 2010 is the closest strongest storm we've seen recorded.. was 927mb at 6z... NARR has a 1016 over the Apps looks like peak http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2010/us0902.php I'd wager it's well up there esp on the EC angle and it was actually probably a little higher at peak. Plus the gradient is tight at distance here.. in those other events there wasn't really a strong high pressure (actually I think the 'low' we tracked last week was a 1016 on models) as much as super deep lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Here in Oak Hill, in the CoCoRaHS gauge as of 1030PM: 1.19" since midnight. 1.45" for the month of October. 3.35" in the last 7 days. 4.42" for meteorological autumn. Nice to see the grass green again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 1" on the dot here. Looks like we might miss out on the heavy stuff overnight. How often you you see a storm going east to west through Indiana? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 46 degrees and dropping. Only 0.35" for the day. Rain is just disappearing as it moves into from VA from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Old Town Alexandria experiencing the typical coastal flooding with water up a couple of blocks on King Street. The coastal flooding in Ocean City looks substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Pouring. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 1.06" in the past 24 hours. 2.00" for this event, and 2.14" from the Tuesday event. The ground seems to be handling the slow rates well. We have no flooding or serious standing water issues so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Quite the bust overnight. Only 0.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 4.44" over the last 4 days. Bit of an underperformer yesterday/overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 .30 overnight. 2.20" since Thursday. Definitely not the most exciting storm. Glad we got the rain we needed. Temp is a lovely 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Just a hair under 1 inch in last 24 hours here, temp is 46.6/45.3 with a NE wind at 9 mph. Still raining, but not quite as hard as last three hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 1.82" yesterday, 0.45" today so far and raining at a moderate pace again. There's never been much wind here. A bit underwhelming compared to Tuesday's historic rainfall, but I wouldn't call it a bust (not here, anyway). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 Not that much more overnight. Only about .7 Total since Thursday: 3.07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.