AvantHiatus Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Woah lol. Denver gets snow as early as September and as late as May. As much as i love living here i would love being there when it snows Depends on your perspective for sure. Over the years I want my winters/snow season be only 2 months long, especially to make room for more intense spring-like storms and coastal water heating. At heart, I like rain and snow equally and dry, cold, or stable conditions are my enemy outside their respective seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Hopefully we have a better thunderstorm season next year. 2015 has been another disappointment in that department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Hopefully we have a better thunderstorm season next year. 2015 has been another disappointment in that department. This was one of the first years I can remember without at least one higher end severe threat. We had a few higher risk days but nothing that actually transpired out my way. I know that there was that one event which hit Long Island and SNE pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Hopefully we have a better thunderstorm season next year. 2015 has been another disappointment in that department. '14 was bad too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 '14 was bad too.I believe he was alluding to that when he said another bad year. The best lightning I saw all year was a storm that didn't even hit me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 I believe he was alluding to that when he said another bad year. The best lightning I saw all year was a storm that didn't even hit me. we had some decent storms here early on in the season, but from mid July on, it was a snooze fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 could tomorrow be our last 80 degree day of the season? Lmao..I can guarantee it will not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 '14 was bad too. Indeed. Actually, this year was a bit more productive than last year, so I guess I shouldn't complain too much. Had a few gusty thundershowers and even a minute or so of hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Tstorms were nonexistent this season, you'd think with some super warm ssts that it would help with a good trigger. Then again there hasn't been much of that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 can the weather be any more boring as it has been in the tri state area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 can the weather be any more boring as it has been in the tri state area.... Whats the saying...."Payback is a .....'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Pretty wild stat courtesy of Philip Klotzbach.... https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/644855034564313088?lang=en 63 Atl hurricanes since FL's last hurricane (Wilma). Odds are ~1:5000 given 20th century basin/FL landfall ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 It's obviously way out there, but the GFS has subfreezing temperatures for the far NW suburbs on the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Pretty wild stat courtesy of Philip Klotzbach.... https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/644855034564313088?lang=en 63 Atl hurricanes since FL's last hurricane (Wilma). Odds are ~1:5000 given 20th century basin/FL landfall ratio. I would take that with a grain of salt. Allot of deep basin storms were missed pre satellite era. So that would reduce the odds. It's still incredible though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 I would take that with a grain of salt. Allot of deep basin storms were missed pre satellite era. So that would reduce the odds. It's still incredible though This can only mean one thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 '14 was bad too. '13 wasn't anything to write home about either, iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 upton's got a write up up on the Sept 38 cane-77th anniversary approaching http://www.weather.gov/okx/1938HurricaneHome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 I would take that with a grain of salt. Allot of deep basin storms were missed pre satellite era. So that would reduce the odds. It's still incredible though Maybe he takes that into account when making the calculation since he is a top hurricane researcher. Some research suggests that the pre satellite era missed 2 storms a year which were short lived that ships couldn't report. But even if the true calculation is 1:2500 or lower, that's still very impressive. The other oddity is that the previous record for Florida happened during the -AMO era. We should start a pool on when the next Florida hurricane will be. Follow Brian McNoldy@BMcNoldy #Florida's unprecedented #hurricane "drought": 9yrs and counting. Previous longest stretch was 5yrs (1980-1984) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Wow, great shots Don!. I would never have known. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Even as the temperature soared to 87°, the Monarch migration is beginning to gather momentum in and around the New York City area: With little wind today and yesterday saw quite a few cruising along with little effort over the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Highs; 9/16: HPN: 85 TEB: 91 NYC: 86 EWR: 88 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 86 BLM: 82 TTN: 86 PHL: 87 ACY: 87 9/17 HPN: 86 TEB: 92 NYC: 89 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 83 New Brunswick: 88 BLM: 84 TTN: 86 PHL: 86 ACY: 85 9/18: HPN: 83 TEB: 88 NYC: 87 EWR: 85 LGA: 85 JFK: 83 ISP: 81 New Brunswick: 87 BLM: 82 TTN: 84 PHL: 84 ACY: 82 Once again I call bs on the TEB highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 I'm seeing a lot of stress on the trees, even that 1.5-2.5" wasn't enough last week to counteract it. I love the foliage season and I hope it's not a dull, brown mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Once again I call bs on the TEB highs. They are legit. Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Much better look on the 00z GFS for rain chances towards the end of next week with cut off low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 19, 2015 Author Share Posted September 19, 2015 00z gfs is also showing highs in the 60s by the end of the month. Fantasy range but something I would like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 00z gfs is also showing highs in the 60s by the end of the month. Fantasy range but something I would like to see. I just hope it happens gradually. I don't want to go from almost getting sunburn today to 60s as highs too quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 I just hope it happens gradually. I don't want to go from almost getting sunburn today to 60s as highs too quickly. I agree, an extended period of mostly 70s would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Well that'd be your kiss of death for winter. Luckily it's only September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Well that'd be your kiss of death for winter. Luckily it's only September. It probably means plenty of big highs rolling across SE Canada blocking the rain to our south. Maybe something can sneak in here for some much needed rains if we get lucky. The daytime heat potential should diminish from earlier in the month as we see plenty of days with easterly flow. But the warmer than normal SST's will probably mean that mins continue to run above normal especially closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 The CPC is getting into the week 3 to 4 forecast game now. They are using the Euro/CFS/JMA weeklies like we do on here. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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