dendrite Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Its a crush job here Yeah...nice front end thump there followed by PL/ZL and then transitioning back to snow at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Pretty sweet deformation band there. Yeah, But is it right........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Will if you could , what would a reasonable range for BOS by 5pm tommorrow be in ur opinion? 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Congrats Milinocket Patten pounder, Katahdin krusher. Between CAR and GYX, that's 10"+ for about 90% of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NMM guidance finally coming around...this model was missing NVT every run until this past run. Now croaks us up here with that "backlash" as some have been talking about. image.jpg It's good to see you are finally coming around to the idea of big snows up there now that premium model gudiance like NMM are no longer showing a VT screwjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 So, to sum it up if you are in the interior, many reach double digits on front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM still not buying it up here. BTV forecasting 10-16" here in the warming statement, with some models like the NAM still under 0.5" QPF. High stakes. I think MPM has an extra shawl for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Damn Nam. I bet it corrects East some in it's 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You should respond to the posters that read your earlier post and were talking about 2-3" amount in the Hartford/Springfield area. I was only responding to as why they were saying that. Oh that's OK I wasn't sure what they were talking about. The Euro still has good QPF but a relative min compared to areas to the east. That's what I was getting at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Will if you could , what would a reasonable range for BOS by 5pm tommorrow be in ur opinion? 4-8" Yeah that sounds reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Patten pounder, Katahdin krusher. Between CAR and GYX, that's 10"+ for about 90% of the state. Pretty impressive right there, Not often you see 100% coverage statewide as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 SPC WRF is a paste job and a half for ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 This storm could be broken into parallel zones that curve back toward the SW from MA on into CT/RI: Zone 1, CC and Islands, 0-2" then wind swept cold rain. In fact, the outer arm of the Cape may actually surge toward 50F, depending how wrapped up this system gets prior to reaching the CCC. Zone 2, roughly the CCC to BVY line and pts about 10 miles W, 2-5" from east and west across that range, then IP/R mix, then all rain, followed by a misty lull, then, snow recommences as a rather rapid freeze passes though, for another 2-3" more uniform. Zone 3, roughly NW RI to BED line, and pts 10 miles east and west of that axis, 5-8" from east and west across that range, then IP/R mix east, IP/ZR mix west ending as drizzle e, and freezing drizzle west, then, snow recommencing and snowing at a pretty good clip west, to somewhat less east, with 3-5" of snow rapidly becoming powdery. Zone 4 (zone 3 may include ORH City), roughly NW of Worcester city to ASH and pts 10 miles east and west of that range, 8" of snow, then IP/ZR, then freezing drizzle, then moderate to heavy powder snow for a number of hours. Perhaps 5" Because of the combination of snow and icing, this may be the highest impact region. Zones 5 and 6 are likely to be one zone, but 5 may have IP/S mix, before going to flurries and some freezing drizzle, then light to moderate more powder, where 6 is all snow. 10-14" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah...nice front end thump there followed by PL/ZL and then transitioning back to snow at the end. Wow, even that far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow, Tip. That is pretty awesome. Summed up like a Chinese restaurant menu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow, even that far north? NAM gets 800mb above 0C briefly up to BML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's good to see you are finally coming around to the idea of big snows up there now that premium model gudiance like NMM are no longer showing a VT screwjob. I don't go all in until the Korean version of the RAP is showing a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This storm could be broken into parallel zones that curve back toward the SW from MA on into CT/RI: Zone 1, CC and Islands, 0-2" then wind swept cold rain. In fact, the outer arm of the Cape may actually surge toward 50F, depending how wrapped up this system gets prior to reaching the CCC. Zone 2, roughly the CCC to BVY line and pts about 10 miles W, 2-5" from east and west across that range, then IP/R mix, then all rain, followed by a misty lull, then, snow recommences as a rather rapid freeze passes though, for another 2-3" more uniform. Zone 3, roughly NW RI to BED line, and pts 10 miles east and west of that axis, 5-8" from east and west across that range, then IP/R mix east, IP/ZR mix west ending as drizzle e, and freezing drizzle west, then, snow recommencing and snowing at a pretty good clip west, to somewhat less east, with 3-5" of snow rapidly becoming powdery. Zone 4 (zone 3 may include ORH City), roughly NW of Worcester city to ASH and pts 10 miles east and west of that range, 8" of snow, then IP/ZR, then freezing drizzle, then moderate to heavy powder snow for a number of hours. Perhaps 5" Because of the combination of snow and icing, this may be the highest impact region. Zones 5 and 6 are likely to be one zone, but 5 may have IP/S mix, before going to flurries and some freezing drizzle, then light to moderate more powder, where 6 is all snow. 10-14" total. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Looking at the snow depth maps 12Z NAM for Fri AM: VS 18Z NAM Increases from NNJ-CT Valley and a nice extra bump for the MPM region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Box just upgraded Northern Ct (north of 84) back to 10-14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM gets 800mb above 0C briefly up to BML. Holy crap. That far up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Not looking fun for MBY. Enjoy this one guys further west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 SPC WRF is a paste job and a half for ern areas. Can you link? Googling leads to a million different WRF's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah that sounds reasonable. Man too bad you are not living in ORh for this one, classic ORH special, kind of Meh in Natick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 14-18 seems rather bullish...even the 10-14 in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 big difference extrapolated at CON (14-18) vs the GYX map (8-12) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Intense gradient on that snow map from Box. Many see 10 mile difference being huge. For example, ten mile bust I'm 10-14" or 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Can you link? Googling leads to a million different WRF's http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 )))" data-cid="2778082" data-time="1392239421">Not looking fun for MBY. Enjoy this one guys further west! Where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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