Randy4Confluence

Yes SoCal did very well in late November and December and got way ahead of their average early and have had other s/ws that we've missed out on so they are better off than us here in N. Cal this year.

Yes, February has been the absolute worst month with not a drop of nothin' all month. And on top of that, we've also had several dry wind events ( Santa Anna!) this month which is drying the plant life right down to their roots, so this potentially makes fire season start earlier. What weather enthusiasts hope and pray for with all their hearts around here are "Atmospheric River" events...basically a sub-tropical weather system off the Pacific that brings feet of snow to places like the Sierra Mtns and Mammoth mountains. Anyhow, hopefully things improve in March which isn't hard to do considering how bad it's been this month.

Cali having a winter to forget also with bone dry Jan/Feb. Unless March is different, you'll be seeing lots of fires on TV again. Edit: SoCal isn't as BD off this year as NorCal so if things keep up this way, NorCal could have real problems with fire season.

Or just forget about models and the storm and move to California where your hiny is on fire and you won't see even a cloud for 6 months let alone rain! Just think, no more hopes being dashed to pieces, 384 fantasy storms, and living model run to model run lol.

Man we can't get rid of this damn resilliant ridging here ( CA). The LR showed some sign of it finally breaking around November 10th or so, but today took that all away. I'm sure this is good news for you. 3rd year in a row of never ending fire season. I really get sick of the sun at this point. Man I miss normal 4 seasons. Just bitching ..thanks for reading.

Still stuck in the 50's? What's taking you so long! Not missing Mass. "Spring" at all.

4th Quarter comeback.

Anyone remember '06/'07 in SNE? I recall that being really horrible up until Valentines Day when we had a nice SWFE ( Snow and ice in Dedham). Then on St Pattys Day there was another nice storm.

Any signs of -NAO in the weeklies. Seems that's the missing piece right now.

Sweet! Been a long time coming for you guys. I'm a little worried about the storm track, but a -NAO would theoretically take care of that. Either way that's a nice base you have cemented in YBY. I'm sure you only build on that.

Sweet! Been a long time coming for you guys. I'm a little worried about the storm track, but a -NAO would theoretically take care of that. Either way that's a nice base you have cemented in YBY. I'm sure you only build on that.

Are you up to 2" yet you think?

Being on the West Coast now, I don't have to stay up 'till 1:00AM to catch the Euro

Hi. Wasn't sure, did your LR forecast include X-treme cold. Looks to me that's coming to a theatre near you as well. The GFS is really locking in some snot-freezing cold in the 10+ day! Good luck on your KU. Hard to imagine you not having anything OTG before we enter Feb.

Seems that the GFS is locking in on the PNA rising and part of the PV making a move south @ around the 22nd or so.

What a beauty!

This makes me realize that I'm fortunate to take with me to California Feb 2015, winter '13-'14, winter '02-'03, and countless isolated events outside of these periods. Been there and done that. And so it helps me join in embracing the warmth. Although this year's "Winter" has been warmer than I'd like it ( We've been running estimating 10 above normal this year). Otherwise, I would have fealt how you did in LA during those years probably.

Are we talking like a fun sized storm (1-3") or something more moderate on the EPS?

What does the Euro show?

Spring 6 weeks away?? WTF?

Man what an ugly one-eyed warhog from hell of a pattern this month. Much better here ( N. CA ) this month with rain and cooler temps. Even SoCal's picking up some good rains this month.

Dec. looking nothing like November in the Pacific...

Spin that EPO 'round and 'round bringing my heights lower, even upside down ☺

A little snowfall in mid November is nothing out of the ordinary for your lattitude....and should be expected ☺

I know that you know you want something out of this -EPO pattern you've been in for tbe past month ( at my expense ). I think you'll get something pedestrian. The low almost closes off south of you. Good luck.