EasternUSWX Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 euro ens. mean is bullish for a SNE hit then over boston. it is also bullish on the western extent of the precip for va. 1" back to roa/lyh------ ric to winchester 2" --------dc 3"+ Heard there was a lot of stretching of isobars to the west signaling a good deal of members making a landfall south of LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted October 23, 2012 Share Posted October 23, 2012 some improvements so far on the 18z GFS FWIW. EDIT: It looks like an almost phase before it somehow detaches itself and moves back NE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 18z GEFS. The trend for more ensemble support continues. Another view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 More nice images courtesy of Superstorm UKM and CMC ensembles (respectively) 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Great link from BOX and being used in the SNE and NYC forums - http://ruc.noaa.gov/tracks/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 p18 please http://www.atmos.albany.edu/products/gefsplots/F156.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 That would be one exciting thing...if we have to have damage...might as well make it historic :| Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I hope that this doesn't turn out like March 2001. Looking at partly cloudy skies as areas to the north and northeast get pounded is not much fun. I'd like to see at least a little bump back west in the modeling tonight. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Good lord... the GFS gave Sandy a new engine or something... she's zooming thru 48... may miss phase all together at this rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 LOL at the NOGAPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 LOL at the NOGAPS Might be the nogaps, but a bit of a signal I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Nogaps would give us a good 20" of rain,yes rain but it's be worth paying Jonjon a visit if that setup verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GEM hits the weenie panic button... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 GFS ENS SW of 18Z. OP has to give up sometime. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 New Euro is wild.... Upper/central NJ landfall, then moving WSW towards Philly. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 New Euro is wild.... Upper/central NJ landfall, then moving WSW towards Philly. MDstorm Not to mention that 850s are pretty darn cold at 168 hr (-3?)...I cant believe Im saying this in October, but I would imagine dynamics would favor a pretty darn good snowfall around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro is epic. Winter storm after a marine corps marathon crushing rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Euro is epic. Winter storm after a marine corps marathon crushing rainstorm Lots of snow west of 95, even some around DC per wunderground snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 God, I have such a weather fet for insane dynamics that EURO is like my dream scenario. Lets use the banter thread for these type of posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Amazing turn on the 0z euro from being off DE and hooking W into NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Amazing turn on the 0z euro from being off DE and hooking W into NJ i'm going to go look, but didn't Irene do the same thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Ludacris... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benchmark Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 06z GFDL at 126hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 06Z GFDL.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If only the GFDL didn't suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 If only the GFDL didn't suck. I dont know enough about it one way or the other - but I do know it had a huge shift west from 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 I dont know enough about it one way or the other - but I do know it had a huge shift west from 00z. 0z was near Bermuda. So an 800-900 mile shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Stating the serious obvious about this being unusual but still, the Euro is the goto at this point. It has consistently done the best with a timed shortwave / trough / phase scenario. The fact that it isn't wavering all the much is a serious deal. It may be overdoing strength (likely of course) but the timing of the trough going negative and the position of Sandy really opens eyes. Another thing is the constancy of the HL blocking. Another feature that isn't wavering much on the euro. It's not unreasonable to see how it's quite possible that ex-sandy can slow way down and make a left turn. The block is strong. It's got strong consensus to be in the neighborhood of -2 to -3. This is quite significant: Still doesn't mean the whole system can easily make a right turn and stay offshore though. If the trough stays neutral or positive then there can still be a phase but most of the action will remain east even with a strong -nao. The euro may do it's thing and burp today and shoo away all the weenies but even then it definitely doesn't mean it won't come back. Another thing we've seen time and time again. I do know this, if the euro never wavers and verification is close then it will be another euro hugging winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 24, 2012 Share Posted October 24, 2012 Why, hello there. Nice symmetry to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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